West Virginia Mountaineers vs Baylor Bears Prediction, 10/9/2021 College Football Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: West Virginia Mountaineers vs Baylor Bears

Date: Saturday, October 9, 2021

Location: McLane Stadium in Waco, TX

TV: FS1

Odds/Point Spread: Bears (-3)

Total/Over-Under: 44

The West Virginia Mountaineers (2-3) are headed to McLane Stadium on Saturday where they will compete against the Baylor Bears (4-1). Baylor opens this matchup as 3-point favorites. The over/under is 44.

The West Virginia Mountaineers step onto the field holding a record of 2-3 for this season. In their last contest, the Mountaineers went up against the Texas Tech Red Raiders and took a loss by a score of 23-20. Jarret Doege connected on 25/33 with 318 yards through the air and 1 touchdown. He had a QB rating of 166.7 and ended the contest without throwing a pick. Leddie Brown was the best rusher for the Mountaineers with 17 attempts for 57 yds (3.4 yards per attempt). Once the final whistle blew, they tallied 62 plays for 424 yds. The West Virginia Mountaineers ran the football 27 times and recorded 94 yds, which came out to an average of 3.5 yds per attempt. When it came to the battle of the line of scrimmage, the Mountaineers conceded 80 yards on 30 attempts, which is 2.7 yards per run surrendered. West Virginia gave up 23 pass completions on 35 attempts for 266 yards, and a completion rate of 65.7%.

The Mountaineers have attained 1,904 yards in total for the year. When it comes to notching touchdowns, West Virginia has earned 7 touchdowns through the air and 10 rushing touchdowns. They have turned the ball over 9 times. West Virginia has recorded 105 first downs as an offense, and they have been called for 32 infractions for 251 yds. As a unit they average 116.2 yards rushing ranking them 108th in D-1. In terms of scoring, the West Virginia Mountaineers have an average of 30.0 PPG.

When talking about passing yards, the Mountaineers are giving up 1,137 yards which ranks them 87th in the country. They are allowing 227.4 yards per game through the air in addition to conceding a completion percentage of 66.0%. For the year, they have yielded 315.2 yards per game putting them 46th in the country. They have relinquished 6 touchdowns via the pass as well as 3 touchdowns pounding the rock. The opposition is running for an average of 2.5 yards per rushing attempt and 87.8 rushing yards per game this year. Overall, they have allowed 439 yards via the ground game in 5 games. The Mountaineers rank 39th in the nation when it comes to their opponents scoring, conceding 18.0 PPG.

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The Bears come into this matchup with a record of 4-1 for this season. In their last game, the Bears walked away with a loss by a score of 24-14 when they faced the Oklahoma State Cowboys. Abram Smith ran the football 10 times for 97 yards, walking away from the game with 9.7 yds per attempt for Baylor. Gerry Bohanon ended the contest with 173 yds on 13/27 passing while his quarterback rate was 102.0. He didn't toss any interceptions and his average yards per pass attempt was 6.4. Baylor gave up 59 rushing attempts for 219 yards (3.7 yds per carry). The Bears secondary conceded a completion rate of 56.5%, surrendering 182 yards on 13 out of 23 passing. The Bears finished with 280 yds and they ran 56 plays (5.0 yds per play). Baylor ran the ball for 3.7 yards per attempt, finishing with a total of 107 yds on 29 attempts.

The Baylor Bears average 448.8 yards/contest, which has them ranked 29th in the country. The Baylor offense has compiled 334 penalty yds on 37 infractions, which is good for 22nd in the nation in terms of making mistakes. For the year thus far, the Bears currently sit at 1,049 yards through the air in addition to holding an average of 209.8 passing yards per outing, which ranks 83rd in college football. In relation to their scoring prowess, the Bears are sitting 22nd in Division 1 holding an average of 37.0 points per game.

The Bears are relinquishing 17.4 points per game, which has them sitting 36th in Division 1. Baylor has conceded a total of 807 yards via the ground game (161.4 yards/game) in addition to 6 touchdowns by way of the ground game this season. Over the course of the season, they have allowed 87 total points. They have allowed 4 touchdowns through the air in addition to 155.6 yards/outing, which has them in 24th in the country. The Bears defense has participated in 334 plays, which ranks 75th in the country.

Who will win tonight's Mountaineers/Bears college football game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Bears -3

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