Vanderbilt Commodores vs Ole Miss Rebels Prediction, 11/20/2021 College Football Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Vanderbilt Commodores vs Ole Miss Rebels

Date: Saturday, November 20, 2021

Location: Vaught-Hemingway Stadium in Oxford, MS

TV: SECN

Odds/Point Spread: Rebels (-36.5)

Total/Over-Under: 63.5

The Vanderbilt Commodores (2-8) are en route to Vaught-Hemingway Stadium on Saturday where they will meet the Ole Miss Rebels (8-2). Vanderbilt opens this contest as 36.5-point underdogs. The over/under has been set at 63.5.

The Vanderbilt Commodores head into this matchup 2-8 for this year. In their last game, the Commodores played against the Kentucky Wildcats and ended up losing by a score of 37-17. Patrick Smith was the leader on the ground for the Commodores with 18 carries for 84 yards (4.7 yds per carry). Ken Seals went 12/17 with 87 yds through the air. He had a quarterback rating of 156.8 and ended the game with 1 pick. When it came to stopping the run, the Commodores conceded 284 yds on 44 tries, which averages out to 6.5 yards per run surrendered. Vanderbilt conceded 22 pass completions on 28 attempts for a total of 218 yards, and a completion rate of 78.6%. At the end of the game, they tallied 59 plays which gave them a total of 266 yds. The Vanderbilt Commodores ran the rock 30 times and accounted for 96 yards, which came out to an average of 3.2 yds per carry.

Concerning putting the ball in the endzone, the Vanderbilt Commodores have an average of 15.1 PPG. As a team they're averaging 115.2 yards in the run game which is 111th in the nation. The Commodores have tallied 2,977 total yards for the season. With reference to distribution of touchdowns, Vanderbilt has compiled 11 touchdowns via the pass and 5 touchdowns via the ground. Vanderbilt has tallied 169 first downs as an offense, and they have been called for 55 infractions for 459 yards. They have surrendered the ball 17 different times.

The Commodores are sitting in 129th in the nation concerning team defense, giving up 35.4 PPG. The opposition is running for 5.5 yards per running attempt and 190.5 rushing yards per contest so far this year. During this campaign, they have allowed 1,905 yards via the ground game in 10 outings. Concerning passing yards, the Commodores have given up 2,684 yards which has them sitting in 126th in the nation. They have conceded 268.4 yards per contest through the air and allowed a completion percentage of 65.0%. In total, they are allowing 458.9 yards per game which has them ranked 130th in Division 1. They have yielded 25 touchdowns via the pass as well as 17 touchdowns via the ground game.

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The Rebels head into this matchup 8-2 for this season. For their last game, the Rebels got the victory with a final of 29-14 against the Texas A&M Aggies. Matt Corral (1 TD) ended the contest with 247 yds on 24/37 passing while his QB rating was 379.1. He kept the ball away from the defense with no picks and his average yards per pass attempt was 6.7. Jerrion Ealy ran the ball 24 times for 152 yds, finishing the game with 6.3 yds per carry for Ole Miss. Ole Miss ended up running for 4.6 yds per attempt, finishing with a total of 257 yards on 56 attempts. The Rebels ended up finishing with 504 yards while they ran 93 plays (5.4 yds per play). The Rebels secondary gave up a completion percentage of 61.5%, relinquishing 173 yards on 16 for 26 passing. Ole Miss surrendered 55 rush attempts for 284 yards (5.2 yds per rush).

When it comes to their scoring prowess, the Rebels rank 15th in the nation by scoring 36.9 points per game. For the year thus far, the Rebels have thrown for 2,823 yards via the pass not to mention an average of 282.3 throwing yards per game, which ranks 22nd in D-1. The Ole Miss Rebels have an average of 522.1 yards per contest, ranking them 3rd in college football. The Ole Miss offense has totaled 823 penalty yards on 95 violations, which ranks 2nd in Division 1 in terms of making mistakes.

Ole Miss has allowed a total of 1,899 yards rushing (189.9 yards/game) and 22 touchdowns via the rush on the year. They have allowed 12 touchdowns via the pass as well as 237.3 yards per game, which has them ranked 91st in the country. The Rebels defense has been on the field for 760 plays, ranking them 133rd in college football. The Rebels are surrendering 26.2 PPG, which has them sitting 79th in college football. In total, they have relinquished 262 total points.

Who will win tonight's Commodores/Rebels college football game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Rebels -36.5

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