Vanderbilt Commodores vs Florida Gators Prediction, 10/9/2021 College Football Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Vanderbilt Commodores vs Florida Gators

Date: Saturday, October 9, 2021

Location: Ben Hill Griffin Stadium in Gainesville, FL

TV: SECN

Odds/Point Spread: Gators (-37)

Total/Over-Under: 56.5

The Vanderbilt Commodores (2-3) are traveling to Ben Hill Griffin Stadium on Saturday where they will attempt to beat the Florida Gators (3-2). Vanderbilt opens as 37-point dogs from Vegas oddsmakers. The over/under is set at 56.5.

The Vanderbilt Commodores step onto the field holding a record of 2-3 for this season. The last time they stepped onto the field, the Commodores played the Connecticut Huskies and notched a win by a score of 30-28. Ken Seals connected on 27/40 with 333 yds passing and 2 touchdowns. He had a quarterback rate of 148.9 and ended the contest with 1 interception. Rocko Griffin was the rushing leader for the Commodores with 19 attempts for 77 yds (4.1 yds per attempt). At the end of the game, they ran 73 plays for 439 yards. The Vanderbilt Commodores rushed the ball a total of 33 different times and accrued 106 yds, which is an average of 3.2 yards per carry. On the ground, the Commodores conceded 192 yards on 37 attempts, which is an average of 5.2 yds per rush surrendered. Vanderbilt surrendered 24 completions on 43 tries for 331 yds, and a completion percentage of 55.8%.

When it comes to putting points on the board, the Vanderbilt Commodores are sitting at 16.0 points per contest. As a team they're averaging 119.0 yards on the ground ranking them 105th in college football. The Commodores have tallied 1,577 total yards for the season. With reference to getting the ball in the endzone, Vanderbilt has amassed 5 touchdowns via the pass and 3 touchdowns via the ground. Vanderbilt has earned 94 first downs offensively, and they have committed 33 penalties for 307 yds. They have turned the ball over 10 times.

In terms of yards via the pass, the Commodores are allowing 1,213 yards which puts them in 99th in the country. They have relinquished 242.6 yards per outing through the air and allowed a completion percentage of 60.6%. Overall, they are granting 447.8 yards per game which has them sitting 124th in the country. They have surrendered 10 touchdowns through the air as well as 10 touchdowns on the ground. The opposition is running for 5.7 yards per running attempt and 205.2 rushing yards per contest so far this year. Overall, they have given up 1,026 running yards through 5 games. The Commodores rank 128th in the country concerning their opponents scoring, allowing 35.0 points per game.

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The Gators come into this matchup with a record of 3-2 for this season. When they last stepped on the gridiron, the Gators took a loss by a final score of 20-13 when they faced the Kentucky Wildcats. Emory Jones (1 touchdown) walked away from the game with 203 yards on 23/31 through the air while his QB rating was 133.4. He tossed 1 interception and his average yards per attempt was 6.5. Emory Jones carried the ball 13 times for 63 yards, walking away from the game with 4.8 yards per attempt for Florida. Florida rushed for 4.4 yds per attempt, finishing with 171 yards on 39 carries. The Gators finished the contest with a total of 382 yards and they ran 71 plays (5.4 yards per play). The Gators pass defense gave up a completion rate of 41.2%, relinquishing 87 yds on 7 for 17 through the air. Florida conceded 29 rushing attempts for 137 yards (4.7 yards per rush).

When it comes to their scoring prowess, the Gators are ranked 56th in the nation holding an average of 31.4 PPG. For the season so far, the Gators have thrown for a total of 1,083 yards via the pass in addition to an average of 216.6 throwing yards per outing, giving them a rank of 80th in Division 1. The Florida Gators have an average of 509.2 yards per outing, which has them sitting 10th in the country. The Florida offense has racked up 363 penalty yards on 41 infractions, which is good for 12th in the nation in terms of hurting your team.

Florida has conceded a total of 577 yards via the ground game (115.4 yards per outing) and 5 touchdowns rushing this season. They have surrendered 7 touchdowns via the pass and 210.2 yards per game, which puts them in 63rd in D-1. The Gators defense has been on the field for 318 plays, which ranks them 54th in the country. The Gators are giving up 19.8 points per game, ranking them 49th in the country. This year, they have relinquished 99 points in total.

Who will win tonight's Commodores/Gators college football game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Gators -37

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