UTSA Roadrunners vs Western Kentucky Hilltoppers Prediction, 10/9/2021 College Football Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: UTSA Roadrunners vs Western Kentucky Hilltoppers

Date: Saturday, October 9, 2021

Location: L.T. Smith Stadium in Bowling Green, KY

TV: Stadium

Odds/Point Spread: Hilltoppers (-3)

Total/Over-Under: 69.5

L.T. Smith Stadium is where the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (1-3) will try to defeat the UTSA Roadrunners (5-0) on Saturday. Western Kentucky is 3-point favorites from Vegas oddsmakers. The over/under has been set at 69.5.

The UTSA Roadrunners step onto the field holding a record of 5-0 this year. In their last contest, the Roadrunners played the UNLV Runnin' Rebels and walked away with a win by a score of 24-17. Frank Harris went 24/30 with 278 yards through the air and 2 touchdowns. He had a QB rating of 179.8 and ended the contest without throwing a pick. Sincere McCormick led the offense in rushing for the Roadrunners with 29 carries for 89 yards (3.1 yds per carry). The UTSA Roadrunners ran the ball a total of 41 different times and had 104 yds, earning them an average of 2.5 yards per carry. At the end of the game, they had 71 plays which converted into 382 yards. UTSA allowed 26 completions on 38 attempts for a total of 316 yards, and a completion percentage of 68.4%. When it came to stopping the run, the Roadrunners conceded 35 yards on 29 tries, which calculates to 1.2 yds per run allowed.

The Roadrunners have racked up 2,157 total yards for this campaign. In terms of getting in the endzone, UTSA has totaled 8 touchdowns through the air and 9 rushing touchdowns. They have turned the football over 5 times. UTSA has 117 first downs as a unit, and they have been called for 19 infractions for 189 yds. Offensively they're maintaining an average of 161.4 yards via the ground game ranking them 67th in the nation. Regarding scoring, the UTSA Roadrunners are averaging 34.6 PPG.

The Roadrunners sit in 38th in Division 1 when it comes to team defense, giving up 17.6 points per game. They are giving up an average of 2.3 yards per rushing attempt and 71.2 rushing yards per game on the campaign. Overall, they have given up 356 yards via the running game in 5 contests. When talking about passing yardage, the Roadrunners have given up 1,135 yds which ranks them 86th in college football. They have allowed 227.0 yards per contest through the air as well as allowing a completion percentage of 55.7%. During this campaign, they are allowing 298.2 yards/game which puts them 34th in college football. They have relinquished 8 touchdowns through the air and 2 touchdowns via the ground game.

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The Hilltoppers step onto the field holding a record of 1-3 for this season. When they last stepped on the field, the Hilltoppers went home defeated by a final of 48-31 against the Michigan State Spartans. Bailey Zappe (3 TDs) finished the game with 488 yards on 46/64 through the air while his quarterback rate was 151.4. He didn't toss any interceptions and his average yards per attempt was 7.6. Noah Whittington carried the rock 7 times for 37 yards, ending the contest with 5.3 yards per attempt for Western Kentucky. The Hilltoppers finished with 560 yds and they ran 91 plays (6.2 yds per play). Western Kentucky ran the ball for 2.8 yds per carry, finishing the game with 72 yards on 26 carries. Western Kentucky surrendered 43 rush attempts for 192 yards (4.5 yds per rush). The Hilltoppers pass defense gave up a completion percentage of 66.7%, surrendering 327 yards on 20 out of 30 passing.

When it comes to their scoring prowess, the Hilltoppers are ranked 14th in college football averaging 39.0 PPG. During the season to this point, the Hilltoppers currently have a total of 1,766 passing yards along with an average of 441.5 passing yards per game, which has them ranked 1st in the country. The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers hold an average of 520.5 yards per outing, which ranks them 8th in D-1. The Western Kentucky offense has accrued 223 yds of penalties on 30 violations, which has them sitting 76th in D-1 in terms of helping out the opposition.

The Hilltoppers are conceding 35.0 points per game, which puts them 129th in Division 1. Western Kentucky has given up a total of 866 yards via the ground game (216.5 yards per game) in addition to 13 touchdowns on the ground on the campaign. In total, they have conceded 140 total points. They have conceded 3 touchdowns through the air and 243.0 yards per outing, ranking them 98th in the country. The Hilltoppers defense has taken the field for 315 plays, which ranks 52nd in college football.

Who will win tonight's Roadrunners/Hilltoppers college football game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Hilltoppers -3

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