Utah State Aggies vs New Mexico Lobos Prediction, 11/26/2021 College Football Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Utah State Aggies vs New Mexico Lobos

Date: Friday, November 26, 2021

Location: Dreamstyle Stadium in Albuquerque, NM

TV: FS1

Odds/Point Spread: Lobos (+16)

Total/Over-Under: 49.5

The New Mexico Lobos (3-8) are hosting the Utah State Aggies (8-3) at Dreamstyle Stadium on Friday. New Mexico opens this contest as 16-point dogs from oddsmakers. The over/under comes in at 49.5.

The Utah State Aggies come into this game with a record of 8-3 for this season. In their last contest, the Aggies faced the Wyoming Cowboys and ended up losing by a score of 44-17. Logan Bonner connected on 19/40 with 181 yds passing and 2 touchdowns. He had a quarterback rate of 102.0 and ended the contest without throwing an interception. Calvin Tyler was the rushing leader for the Aggies with 18 carries for 109 yards (6.1 yds per attempt). Once the final whistle blew, they tallied 72 plays which gave them 381 yards. The Utah State Aggies rushed the ball a total of 30 different times and totaled 200 yards, which had them averaging 6.7 yds per carry. Against the rush, the Aggies conceded 363 yds on 47 tries, which is 7.7 yards per rush allowed. Utah State allowed 12 pass completions on 15 tries for a total of 242 yds, and a completion rate of 80.0%.

The Aggies have tallied 5,066 total yards over the course of this year. When it comes to scoring touchdowns, Utah State has earned 30 passing touchdowns and 10 rushing touchdowns. They have turned the ball over 18 times. Utah State has amassed 267 1st downs as a team, and they have been called for 70 infractions for 605 yards. As a unit they are averaging 157.5 yards via the ground game ranking them 73rd in college football. Regarding putting points on the board, the Utah State Aggies are averaging 31.9 points per game.

When it comes to passing yards, the Aggies have given up 2,718 yds which has them sitting in 106th in the nation. They have conceded 247.1 yards per contest via the pass as well as giving up a completion percentage of 62.3%. Overall, they have yielded 416.6 yards/outing ranking them 104th in the nation. They have granted 14 touchdowns via the pass and 19 touchdowns running the ball. They are allowing 4.8 yards per rushing attempt and 169.5 yards on the ground per contest for the year. In total, they have given up 1,865 rushing yards through 11 games. The Aggies sit in 93rd in college football in terms of team defense, conceding 27.8 points per game.

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The Lobos come into this game with a record of 3-8 this season. In their last game, the Lobos walked away with a loss by a score of 37-0 against the Boise State Broncos. Connor Genal ended the game with 16 yds on 1/5 passing while his QB rate was 6.9. He threw 1 pick and his Y/A was 3.2. Aaron Dumas carried the ball 15 times for 36 yards, finishing the contest with 2.4 yards per carry for New Mexico. The Lobos finished the game with a total of 101 yards while running 49 plays (2.1 yds per play). New Mexico rushed the ball for 2.0 yards per tote, finishing the game with 83 yds on 42 carries. New Mexico relinquished 44 running attempts for 239 yards (5.4 yards per rush). The Lobos secondary conceded a completion percentage of 48.0%, relinquishing 188 yds on 12 out of 25 through the air.

Concerning their ability to score points, the Lobos rank 130th in college football scoring 12.4 points per outing. For the season so far, the Lobos have racked up 1,280 yards via the pass in addition to holding an average of 116.4 passing yards per game, ranking them 127th in the nation. The New Mexico Lobos hold an average of 238.8 yards per outing, which is good for 130th in the nation. The New Mexico offense has racked up 618 yards of penalties on 76 infractions, which ranks them 38th in D-1 in terms of helping out the other team.

The Lobos are giving up 27.8 points per game, which puts them 92nd in the nation. New Mexico has allowed a total of 1,601 rushing yards (145.5 yards per game) and 17 touchdowns by way of the ground game on the campaign. In total, they have conceded 306 points. They have surrendered 14 touchdowns via the pass and 210.6 yards/outing, which has them sitting 48th in D-1. The Lobos defense has been on the field for 757 plays, which is good for 85th in the nation.

Who will win tonight's Aggies/Lobos college football game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Lobos +16

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