USF Bulls vs SMU Mustangs Prediction, 10/2/2021 College Football Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: USF Bulls vs SMU Mustangs

Date: Saturday, October 2, 2021

Location: Gerald J. Ford Stadium in Dallas, TX

TV: ESPNU

Odds/Point Spread: Mustangs (-19.5)

Total/Over-Under: 68.5

The USF Bulls (1-3) are hitting the road to Gerald J. Ford Stadium on Saturday where they will take on the SMU Mustangs (4-0). USF opens this game as 19.5-point dogs. The over/under is 68.5.

The USF Bulls come into this game with a record of 1-3 for this season. In their last matchup, the Bulls went up against the BYU Cougars and walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 35-27. Jaren Mangham was the best rusher for the Bulls with 26 totes for 86 yds (3.3 yards per carry). Timmy Mcclain went 17/24 with 186 yds passing. He had a QB rating of 135.9 and walked away from the contest with no picks. When it came to the battle of the line of scrimmage, the Bulls conceded 143 yards on 25 attempts, which calculates to 5.7 yards per rush allowed. USF surrendered 20 completions on 25 tries for a total of 305 yds, and a completion percentage of 80.0%. In the game, they had 72 plays which totaled 360 yards. The USF Bulls rushed the ball a total of 48 different times and accrued 174 yds, earning them an average of 3.6 yards per attempt.

The Bulls have racked up 1,332 total yards for the year. When it comes to getting in the endzone, USF has amassed 1 touchdown through the air and 9 touchdowns on the ground. They have turned the ball over 6 different times. USF has accrued 76 first downs as a team, and they have committed 17 infractions for 185 yds. As a team they hold an average of 157.0 yards via the ground game ranking them 75th in D-1. When it comes to getting in the endzone, the USF Bulls are sitting at 21.3 points per contest.

The Bulls are ranked 129th in D-1 in terms of team defense, allowing 34.8 points per game. The opposition is running for 6.7 yards per rushing attempt and 232.8 rushing yards per game on the year. During this campaign, they have given up 931 running yards through 4 outings. Regarding yards via the pass, the Bulls have conceded 1,088 yds which ranks them 124th in the nation. They have conceded 272.0 yards per game through the air and allowed a completion percentage of 63.3%. Over the course of this year, they are allowing 504.8 yards per contest which puts them 140th in D-1. They have relinquished 9 touchdowns by air in addition to 10 touchdowns on the ground.

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The Mustangs step onto the field holding a record of 4-0 this season. When they last stepped on the field, the Mustangs got the victory with a final of 42-34 against the TCU Horned Frogs. Tanner Mordecai (4 TDs) finished the game with 245 yards on 17/28 through the air while his QB rating was 159.9. He had 3 interceptions and his average yards per pass attempt was 8.8. Ulysses Bentley IV carried the ball 20 times for 153 yds, ending the game with 7.7 yds per carry for SMU. The Mustangs finished with 595 yds and they ran 80 plays (7.4 yards per play). SMU ran the ball for 6.7 yards per tote, totaling 350 yards on 52 carries. SMU relinquished 30 attempts on the ground for 170 yds (5.7 yds per rush). The Mustangs passing defense allowed a completion percentage of 57.1%, relinquishing 276 yds on 16 for 28 through the air.

The SMU Mustangs have an average of 552.8 yards/contest, which ranks them 4th in the country. The SMU offense has 195 yds of penalties on 20 infractions, which has them ranked 99th in the nation in terms of helping out the other team. During this campaign thus far, the Mustangs currently sit at 1,270 yards via the pass in addition to holding an average of 317.5 passing yards per game, which ranks 14th in the nation. Regarding this team's ability to score points, the Mustangs are ranked 9th in the nation by scoring 43.0 points per outing.

The Mustangs are giving up 23.0 PPG, which puts them 78th in the country. SMU has allowed a total of 543 yards on the ground (135.8 yards per game) as well as 2 touchdowns by way of the ground game on the season. Overall, they have conceded 92 points. They have allowed the opposition 9 touchdowns through the air in addition to 306.0 yards per outing, which has them in 133rd in Division 1. The Mustangs defense has been on the field for 289 plays, which has them sitting 115th in the country.

Who will win tonight's Bulls/Mustangs college football game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Mustangs -19.5

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