UNLV Runnin' Rebels vs New Mexico Lobos Prediction, 11/6/2021 College Football Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: UNLV Runnin' Rebels vs New Mexico Lobos

Date: Saturday, November 6, 2021

Location: Dreamstyle Stadium in Albuquerque, NM

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Lobos (-1)

Total/Over-Under: 43.5

The New Mexico Lobos (3-5) will try to defeat the UNLV Runnin' Rebels (0-8) at Dreamstyle Stadium on Saturday. New Mexico opens this matchup as 1-point favorites from Vegas oddsmakers. The total is 43.5.

The UNLV Runnin' Rebels come into this matchup with a record of 0-8 for this season. The last time they took the field, the Runnin' Rebels played the Nevada Wolf Pack and went home with a loss by a final score of 51-20. Cameron Friel went 27/41 with 283 yards passing and 2 TDs. He had a quarterback rate of 125.3 and ended the game with 3 picks. Charles Williams led the offense in rushing for the Runnin' Rebels with 17 attempts for 30 yds (1.8 yds per carry). When all was said and done, they ran 65 plays which totaled 293 yds. The UNLV Runnin' Rebels ended up rushing 24 different times and accumulated 10 yards, which earned them an average of 0.4 yds per carry. Against the run, the Runnin' Rebels conceded 22 yards on 18 tries, which averages out to 1.2 yds per rush allowed. UNLV conceded 37 pass completions on 49 attempts for a total of 417 yards, and a completion rate of 75.5%.

The Runnin' Rebels have tallied 2,370 yards in total over the course of this season. When it comes to distribution of touchdowns, UNLV has compiled 7 touchdowns via the pass and 11 rushing touchdowns. They have turned the football over 13 times. UNLV has accounted for 124 1st downs as an offense, and they have been called for 41 penalties for 336 yards. As a unit they maintain an average of 104.8 yards in the run game giving them a rank of 119th in D-1. When it comes to putting points on the board, the UNLV Runnin' Rebels are sitting at 19.6 PPG.

When talking about passing yardage, the Runnin' Rebels have given up 2,442 yds which has them ranked 137th in Division 1. They have relinquished 305.3 yards per game through the air as well as conceding a completion percentage of 71.9%. Over the course of this year, they have allowed 447.5 yards per game ranking them 125th in the country. They have yielded 21 touchdowns through the air in addition to 12 touchdowns via the ground game. Opposing teams are running for an average of 4.1 yards per rush on the ground and 142.3 rushing yards per contest for the year. For the season, they have allowed 1,138 yards via the ground game in 8 games. The Runnin' Rebels are ranked 133rd in Division 1 when it comes to the opposition scoring, conceding 36.0 points per contest.

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The Lobos come into this game with a record of 3-5 this season. The last time they took the gridiron, the Lobos walked away with a victory by a final of 14-3 when they played the Wyoming Cowboys. Isaiah Chavez (1 touchdown) finished the contest with 112 yards on 10/11 through the air while his quarterback rate was 206.4. He didn't toss any picks and his average yards per attempt was 10.2. Isaiah Chavez carried the football 16 times for 49 yards, walking away from the game with 3.1 yards per carry for New Mexico. The Lobos finished the game with 259 yds while running 55 plays (4.7 yards per play). New Mexico rushed the football for 3.3 yards per tote, finishing the contest with 147 yards on 44 attempts. New Mexico surrendered 36 rushing attempts for 108 yds (3.0 yards per rush). The Lobos secondary conceded a completion percentage of 46.7%, surrendering 147 yards on 14 for 30 passing.

Regarding the points being put on the board, the Lobos are sitting 129th in D-1 maintaining an average of 14.0 PPG. For the season so far, the Lobos have racked up 1,192 passing yards along with an average of 149.0 passing yards per outing, which is ranked 121st in college football. The New Mexico Lobos average 254.3 yards per game, which is good for 129th in the nation. The New Mexico offense has accrued 471 yards of penalties on 58 infractions, which is good for 30th in D-1 in terms of giving up free yards.

New Mexico has allowed a total of 1,187 yards via the ground game (148.4 yards per game) and 13 touchdowns rushing so far this season. They have yielded 8 touchdowns via the pass as well as 200.3 yards per outing, ranking them 45th in college football. The Lobos defense has been on the field for 556 plays, which ranks 78th in the country. The Lobos are allowing 25.5 PPG, which has them 80th in the nation. Over the course of the season, they have surrendered 204 points.

Who will win tonight's Runnin' Rebels/Lobos college football game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Lobos -1

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