UMass Minutemen vs New Mexico State Aggies Prediction, 11/27/2021 College Football Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: UMass Minutemen vs New Mexico State Aggies

Date: Saturday, November 27, 2021

Location: Aggie Memorial Stadium in Las Cruces, NM

TV: FloFootball / CW El Paso

Odds/Point Spread: Aggies (-6)

Total/Over-Under: 59

Aggie Memorial Stadium is the site where the New Mexico State Aggies (1-10) will try to defeat the UMass Minutemen (1-10) on Saturday. New Mexico State opens this contest as 6-point favorites from Vegas oddsmakers. The total has been set at 59.

The UMass Minutemen come into this matchup with a record of 1-10 for this season. The last time they stepped onto the field, the Minutemen faced off with the Army Black Knights and took a loss by a final of 33-17. Garrett Dzuro went 7/13 with 78 yards through the air and 1 TD. He had a QB rating of 98.9 and finished the contest with 2 picks. Ellis Merriweather led the offense in rushing for the Minutemen with 17 carries for 110 yards (6.5 yards per attempt). Overall, they had 52 plays which gave them 277 yds. The UMass Minutemen ran the ball 39 times and recorded 199 yds, which had them averaging 5.1 yds per attempt. Against the run, the Minutemen gave up 377 yards on 59 attempts, which calculates to 6.4 yards per rush allowed. UMass conceded 2 completions on 12 tries for 42 yards, and a completion rate of 16.7%.

The Minutemen have racked up 3,203 total yards this season. With reference to getting in the endzone, UMass has compiled 10 touchdowns through the air and 11 touchdowns via the ground. They have turned the football over 20 different times. UMass has accumulated 180 first downs as an offense, and they have committed 68 penalties for 669 yds. As a unit they hold an average of 135.2 yards rushing which is 92nd in the country. In terms of putting points on the board, the UMass Minutemen are averaging 15.4 PPG.

Concerning passing yards, the Minutemen are allowing 2,575 yds which has them sitting in 87th in the nation. They have surrendered 234.1 yards per game through the air in addition to allowing a completion percentage of 62.9%. In total, they are granting 472.0 yards/contest which puts them 136th in college football. They have conceded 22 touchdowns through the air and 39 touchdowns running the ball. They are giving up 5.8 yards per run and 237.9 rushing yards per game on the year. During this campaign, they have conceded 2,617 yards via the ground game in 11 games. The Minutemen rank 142nd in college football when it comes to team defense, conceding 43.0 points per contest.

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The Aggies head into this matchup 1-10 for this season. In their last game, the Aggies went home defeated by a final of 56-16 when they played the Kentucky Wildcats. Jonah Johnson finished the game with 181 yds on 16/35 through the air while his QB rating was 83.4. He had 1 interception and his average yards per pass attempt was 5.2. Juwuan Price ran the football 11 times for 51 yards, ending the contest with 4.6 yards per carry for New Mexico State. New Mexico State rushed the football for 3.9 yds per carry, finishing the game with 101 yards on 26 carries. The Aggies ended up finishing with 282 yards while running 61 plays (4.6 yds per play). The Aggies passing defense conceded a completion rate of 68.6%, surrendering 459 yds on 24 for 35 through the air. New Mexico State allowed 36 run attempts for 248 yards (6.9 yards per carry).

The New Mexico State Aggies average 347.9 yards/game, ranking them 104th in the nation. The New Mexico State offense has racked up 626 penalty yds on 72 infractions, which ranks 53rd in D-1 in terms of giving up free yards. During the season to this point, the Aggies currently sit at 2,813 yards via the pass as well as an average of 255.7 passing yards per game, which has them ranked 44th in Division 1. In terms of the points being put on the board, the Aggies sit 115th in the country by scoring 20.6 PPG.

The Aggies are allowing 41.6 points per game, which has them sitting 140th in the nation. New Mexico State has given up a total of 2,057 yards via the ground game (187.0 yards per contest) as well as 23 touchdowns via the rush on the year. Overall, they have given up 458 total points. They have allowed 30 touchdowns through the air in addition to 309.7 yards/contest, which has them sitting 141st in college football. The Aggies defense has been on the field for 739 plays, which is good for 68th in the country.

Who will win tonight's Minutemen/Aggies college football game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Aggies -6

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