UMass Minutemen vs Liberty Flames Prediction, 10/30/2021 College Football Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: UMass Minutemen vs Liberty Flames

Date: Saturday, October 30, 2021

Location: Williams Stadium in Lynchburg, VA

TV: ESPN3

Odds/Point Spread: Flames (-35.5)

Total/Over-Under: 60

Williams Stadium is the location where the Liberty Flames (6-2) will take on the UMass Minutemen (1-6) on Saturday. UMass is 35.5-point underdogs. The over/under is 60.

The UMass Minutemen come into this game with a record of 1-6 for this season. The last time they took the field, the Minutemen took the field against the Florida State Seminoles and went home with a loss by a final score of 59-3. Zamar Wise was the leader on the ground for the Minutemen with 12 totes for 60 yds (5.0 yards per attempt). Brady Olson connected on 12/27 with 110 yards through the air. He had a QB rating of 63.9 and ended the game with 2 interceptions. Against the run, the Minutemen gave up 365 yards on 45 tries, which averages out to 8.1 yds per rush allowed. UMass surrendered 10 completions on 15 tries for a total of 221 yds, and a completion rate of 66.7%. On the day, they ran 61 plays which totaled 241 yards. The UMass Minutemen ended up running the ball 28 different times and totaled 112 yds, which came out to an average of 4.0 yards per attempt.

Regarding putting the ball in the endzone, the UMass Minutemen have an average of 14.7 PPG. As a team they are averaging 112.3 yards in the run game which ranks them 111th in Division 1. The Minutemen have attained 2,010 total yards this season. When it comes to getting the ball in the endzone, UMass has earned 6 passing touchdowns and 7 rushing touchdowns. UMass has earned 117 1st downs offensively, and they have committed 42 penalties for 409 yds. They have surrendered the football 13 different times.

The Minutemen rank 142nd in Division 1 concerning the opposition scoring, giving up 44.0 points per contest. The opposition is running for 6.0 yards per run and 245.7 yards on the ground per contest on the campaign. Overall, they have conceded 1,720 running yards through 7 games. When it comes to passing yardage, the Minutemen have given up 1,746 yds which puts them in 102nd in college football. They have allowed 249.4 yards per outing through the air in addition to giving up a completion percentage of 67.2%. For the season, they have given up 495.1 yards per contest which puts them 141st in the nation. They have surrendered 12 touchdowns via the pass and 26 touchdowns via the ground game.

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The Flames come into this matchup with a record of 6-2 for this year. The last time they took the gridiron, the Flames got the victory with a final of 35-26 when they faced the North Texas Mean Green. Malik Willis (3 TDs) finished the game with 217 yds on 12/18 passing while his QB rating was 222.9. He kept the ball away from the defense with no picks and his average yards per attempt was 12.1. TJ Green carried the rock 5 times for 25 yards, ending the contest with 5.0 yds per carry for Liberty. Liberty ran for 1.6 yds per carry, finishing the game with 45 yards on 29 attempts. The Flames finished the contest with 350 yards while running 65 plays (5.4 yards per play). The Flames passing defense conceded a completion percentage of 62.9%, relinquishing 212 yards on 22 for 35 passing. Liberty relinquished 60 rush attempts for 242 yards (4.0 yds per rush).

The Liberty Flames hold an average of 424.9 yards per outing, which is good for 48th in college football. The Liberty offense has totaled 586 penalty yards on 62 infractions, which is 9th in D-1 in terms of helping out the other team. During this campaign so far, the Flames have thrown for a total of 1,927 yards via the pass as well as an average of 240.9 throwing yards per game, which has them ranked 58th in D-1. In terms of their scoring prowess, the Flames are 26th in the country with an average of 34.4 points per game.

The Flames are surrendering 17.9 PPG, which has them sitting 27th in college football. Liberty has surrendered a total of 992 yards on the ground (124.0 yards per game) as well as 10 touchdowns via the rush on the year. In total, they have given up 143 pts. They have conceded 8 touchdowns via the pass in addition to 178.0 yards per outing, which has them in 27th in the country. The Flames defense has participated in 532 plays, which is good for 111th in D-1.

Who will win tonight's Minutemen/Flames college football game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Minutemen +35.5

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