UMass Minutemen vs Florida State Seminoles Prediction, 10/23/2021 College Football Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: UMass Minutemen vs Florida State Seminoles

Date: Saturday, October 23, 2021

Location: Doak Campbell Stadium in Tallahassee, FL

TV: ACCN

Odds/Point Spread: Seminoles (-35.5)

Total/Over-Under: 61

The Florida State Seminoles (2-4) are welcoming the UMass Minutemen (1-5) at Doak Campbell Stadium on Saturday. UMass opens as 35.5-point dogs. The total comes in at 61.

The UMass Minutemen step onto the field holding a record of 1-5 for this year. The last time they took the field, the Minutemen faced the Connecticut Huskies and walked away with a win by a score of 27-13. Brady Olson went 10/22 with 162 yards passing. He had a quarterback rate of 107.3 and ended the contest with no picks. Ellis Merriweather was the leader on the ground for the Minutemen with 39 totes for 171 yds (4.4 yds per carry). When the final whistle blew, they had 79 plays which gave them a total of 407 yds. The UMass Minutemen ran the ball 56 different times and totaled 247 yards, which came out to an average of 4.4 yds per carry. When it came to stopping the run, the Minutemen gave up 163 yds on 31 attempts, which averages out to 5.3 yards per run surrendered. UMass gave up 13 pass completions on 24 attempts for 128 yds, and a completion rate of 54.2%.

The Minutemen have earned 1,769 total yards over the course of this year. When it comes to getting in the endzone, UMass has compiled 6 touchdowns through the air and 7 rushing touchdowns. They have surrendered the football 10 times. UMass has compiled 103 1st downs as a unit, and they have committed 34 infractions for 348 yards. As a team they are averaging 112.3 yards via the ground game which is 112th in the nation. When talking about putting points on the board, the UMass Minutemen are averaging 16.7 points per game.

The Minutemen are ranked 140th in the country concerning their opponents scoring, giving up 41.5 PPG. They are giving up an average of 5.6 yards per attempt on the ground and 225.8 rushing yards per contest so far this year. Overall, they have allowed 1,355 rushing yards through 6 games. In terms of yards through the air, the Minutemen have conceded 1,525 yds which ranks them 96th in college football. They have relinquished 254.2 yards per outing through the air in addition to allowing a completion percentage of 67.5%. For the year, they are allowing 480.0 yards per outing ranking them 136th in Division 1. They have surrendered 10 touchdowns via the pass and 21 touchdowns pounding the rock.

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The Seminoles come into this matchup with a record of 2-4 this season. When they last stepped on the gridiron, the Seminoles walked away with a victory by a final of 35-25 when they faced the North Carolina Tar Heels. Jordan Travis (3 TDs) walked away from the game with 145 yds on 11/13 passing while his QB rate was 254.5. He didn't toss any interceptions and his average yards per pass attempt was 11.2. Jordan Travis carried the rock 14 times for 121 yards, ending the contest with 8.6 yards per carry for Florida State. Florida State ran for 5.8 yards per tote, finishing with 238 yds on 41 attempts. The Seminoles finished the contest with a total of 383 yds while running 54 plays (7.1 yards per play). The Seminoles pass defense gave up a completion rate of 53.1%, surrendering 203 yards on 17 out of 32 passing. Florida State allowed 36 rushing attempts for 229 yds (6.4 yards per rush).

When discussing their scoring prowess, the Seminoles are sitting 81st in the country with an average of 26.7 PPG. For the season so far, the Seminoles have thrown for a total of 1,061 yards via the pass together with holding an average of 176.8 throwing yards per contest, which has them sitting 109th in Division 1. The Florida State Seminoles average 383.7 yards/game, which is good for 79th in Division 1. The Florida State offense has accrued 343 yards of penalties on 39 violations, which is 75th in Division 1 in terms of hurting your team.

Florida State has surrendered a total of 997 rushing yards (166.2 yards per game) as well as 10 touchdowns on the ground this season. They have allowed 13 touchdowns from the passing game in addition to 247.3 yards/outing, which puts them in 106th in D-1. The Seminoles defense has taken the field for 448 plays, which ranks 87th in the nation. The Seminoles are allowing 30.3 points per game, which has them 107th in college football. This season, they have surrendered 182 points in total.

Who will win tonight's Minutemen/Seminoles college football game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Minutemen +35.5

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