UCF Knights vs SMU Mustangs Prediction, 11/13/2021 College Football Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: UCF Knights vs SMU Mustangs

Date: Saturday, November 13, 2021

Location: Gerald J. Ford Stadium in Dallas, TX

TV: ESPNU

Odds/Point Spread: Mustangs (-7)

Total/Over-Under: 59

The SMU Mustangs (7-2) will try to defeat the UCF Knights (6-3) at Gerald J. Ford Stadium on Saturday. UCF opens this game as 7-point underdogs. The betting total is set at 59.

The UCF Knights come into this game with a record of 6-3 this year. In their last game, the Knights went up against the Tulane Green Wave and earned the victory with a final of 14-10. Mikey Keene finished 19/25 with 229 yds through the air and 2 TDs. He had a quarterback rate of 179.3 and finished the contest with no picks. Isaiah Bowser was the best rusher for the Knights with 14 attempts for 54 yds (3.9 yds per carry). Overall, they ran 56 plays for 279 yds. The UCF Knights ran the football 30 different times and recorded 50 yds, which is an average of 1.7 yards per carry. When it came to stopping the run, the Knights conceded 132 yards on 36 attempts, which averages out to 3.7 yards per run allowed. UCF surrendered 17 pass completions on 28 tries for 147 yards, and a completion percentage of 60.7%.

The Knights have tallied 3,652 total yards for the season. In terms of getting in the endzone, UCF has earned 23 touchdowns via the pass and 17 rushing touchdowns. They have turned the ball over 12 different times. UCF has recorded 190 1st downs offensively, and they have been hurt by 56 penalties for 460 yards. As a unit they hold an average of 188.2 yards rushing which ranks them 40th in the country. When talking about putting points on the board, the UCF Knights are averaging 32.4 PPG.

The Knights are sitting in 70th in the country when it comes to their opponents scoring, conceding 24.1 PPG. The opposition is running for 4.2 yards per rush on the ground and 156.0 rushing yards per game this season. During the season, they have conceded 1,404 yards on the ground through 9 contests. When talking about yards through the air, the Knights have conceded 1,774 yds which ranks them 43rd in D-1. They have conceded 197.1 yards per game through the air in addition to conceding a completion percentage of 60.2%. In total, they have yielded 353.1 yards per game which has them sitting 56th in D-1. They have allowed 9 touchdowns through the air and 15 touchdowns via the ground game.

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The Mustangs step onto the field holding a record of 7-2 for this season. When they last stepped on the field, the Mustangs took a defeat with a final score of 28-25 against the Memphis Tigers. Tre Siggers ran the ball 12 times for 53 yards, walking away from the game with 4.4 yards per carry for SMU. Tanner Mordecai (2 TDs) ended the game with 262 yds on 19/28 through the air while his QB rating was 162.9. He tossed 1 interception and his average yards per pass attempt was 9.4. SMU gave up 37 rush attempts for 31 yds (0.8 yds per rush). The Mustangs passing defense conceded a completion rate of 64.8%, surrendering 432 yards on 35 for 54 through the air. The Mustangs finished the game with 323 yards on 57 plays (5.7 yards per play). SMU ran the football for 2.1 yards per tote, finishing with a total of 61 yds on 29 attempts.

Regarding their scoring prowess, the Mustangs are 8th in the country by tallying 40.1 points per game. Over the course of the season thus far, the Mustangs have compiled 2,900 passing yards as well as holding an average of 322.2 passing yards per game, giving them a rank of 10th in D-1. The SMU Mustangs hold an average of 485.3 yards/outing, which ranks them 10th in D-1. The SMU offense has totaled 423 yds of penalties on 45 violations, which has them ranked 105th in Division 1 in terms of helping out the other team.

The Mustangs are allowing 25.7 points per game, ranking them 79th in the nation. SMU has yielded a total of 1,135 yards rushing (126.1 yards/game) in addition to 7 touchdowns via the rush so far this year. In total, they have given up 231 pts. They have given up 20 touchdowns through the air and 287.7 yards/game, which puts them in 136th in D-1. The Mustangs defense has participated in 639 plays, which has them sitting 109th in Division 1.

Who will win tonight's Knights/Mustangs college football game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Mustangs -7

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