UCF Knights vs Navy Midshipmen Prediction, 10/2/2021 College Football Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: UCF Knights vs Navy Midshipmen

Date: Saturday, October 2, 2021

Location: Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium in Annapolis, MD

TV: CBSSN

Odds/Point Spread: Midshipmen (+14)

Total/Over-Under: 56

The Navy Midshipmen (0-3) will try to defeat the UCF Knights (2-1) at Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium on Saturday. UCF is 14-point favorites from oddsmakers. The total has been set at 56.

The UCF Knights come into this game with a record of 2-1 for this year. In their last matchup, the Knights went up against the Louisville Cardinals and walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 42-35. Dillon Gabriel was the rushing leader for the Knights with 10 carries for 18 yards (1.8 yards per carry). Dillon Gabriel went 22/29 with 188 yds through the air and 3 TDs. He had a QB rating of 157.6 and finished the contest with 1 interception. Against the run, the Knights conceded 191 yards on 37 attempts, which is 5.2 yards per run allowed. UCF conceded 24 pass completions on 39 attempts for a total of 310 yards, and a completion percentage of 61.5%. When all was said and done, they had 64 plays which totaled 420 yards. The UCF Knights ended up running the ball 34 different times and recorded 212 yards, which is an average of 6.2 yds per carry.

The Knights have earned 1,664 total yards this year. When it comes to notching touchdowns, UCF has amassed 11 touchdowns via the pass and 8 touchdowns via the ground. They have given the ball to the opposition 3 times. UCF has accumulated 88 first downs as a unit, and they have been hurt by 17 penalties for 146 yds. As a unit they're averaging 252.3 yards via the ground game ranking them 10th in Division 1. When talking about scoring points, the UCF Knights are averaging 44.7 PPG.

The Knights rank 104th in the nation in terms of team defense, allowing 29.0 points per game. The opposition is running for 3.1 yards per attempt on the ground and 78.3 rushing yards per contest for the campaign. Overall, they have conceded 235 yards via the ground game in 3 games. Concerning passing yardage, the Knights have given up 828 yds which has them sitting in 67th in the country. They have allowed 276.0 yards per game via the pass and allowed a completion percentage of 60.5%. For the year, they have given up 354.3 yards per game ranking them 75th in college football. They have granted 6 touchdowns by air as well as 4 touchdowns via the ground game.

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The Midshipmen come into this matchup with a record of 0-3 for this year. The last time they took the field, the Midshipmen walked away with a loss by a score of 28-20 when they played the Houston Cougars. Xavier Arline carried the rock 19 times for 64 yds, finishing the game with 3.4 yards per carry for Navy. Xavier Arline finished the game with 83 yards on 3/6 through the air while his quarterback rate was 166.2. He didn't toss any picks and his Y/A was 13.8. Navy surrendered 31 rushing attempts for 127 yards (4.1 yards per rush). The Midshipmen secondary gave up a completion rate of 71.0%, relinquishing 257 yards on 22 for 31 passing. The Midshipmen finished with 300 yards while running 63 plays (4.8 yards per play). Navy ran the ball for 3.7 yards per attempt, finishing with a total of 202 yards on 55 attempts.

The Navy Midshipmen average 255.3 yards per outing, which has them sitting 127th in the country. The Navy offense has totaled 71 yards of penalties on 9 infractions, which is 130th in the nation in terms of helping out the opposition. For the season thus far, the Midshipmen have earned 191 yards through the air together with holding an average of 63.7 passing yards per game, ranking them 130th in D-1. Regarding their ability to score points, the Midshipmen are sitting 130th in the country maintaining an average of 10.0 points per game.

The Midshipmen are surrendering 33.3 points per game, ranking them 125th in Division 1. Navy has surrendered a total of 404 yards on the ground (134.7 yards per game) as well as 11 touchdowns rushing so far this year. This year, they have surrendered 100 total points. They have allowed 2 touchdowns through the air and 223.0 yards/game, which has them sitting 82nd in the nation. The Midshipmen defense has been on the field for 194 plays, ranking them 17th in college football.

Who will win tonight's Knights/Midshipmen college football game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Midshipmen +14

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