Toledo Rockets vs UMass Minutemen Prediction, 10/2/2021 College Football Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Toledo Rockets vs UMass Minutemen

Date: Saturday, October 2, 2021

Location: Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium in Amherst, MA

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Minutemen (+26.5)

Total/Over-Under: 57.5

The UMass Minutemen (0-4) will compete against the Toledo Rockets (2-2) at Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium on Saturday. UMass opens as 26.5-point underdogs from oddsmakers. The over/under comes in at 57.5.

The Toledo Rockets head into this matchup 2-2 this season. The last time they took the field, the Rockets took the field against the Ball State Cardinals and took home the win by a score of 22-12. Carter Bradley went 10/18 with 144 yards passing and 1 touchdown. He had a QB rating of 130.0 and finished the contest with 1 pick. Bryant Koback was the rushing leader for the Rockets with 23 attempts for 84 yards (3.7 yds per attempt). The Toledo Rockets rushed the ball a total of 44 different times and accrued 272 yards, which came out to an average of 6.2 yds per carry. When the final whistle blew, they tallied 64 plays which totaled 444 yds. Toledo surrendered 21 completions on 36 attempts for a total of 190 yards, and a completion rate of 58.3%. Against the run, the Rockets conceded 122 yds on 35 tries, which averages out to 3.5 yards per run surrendered.

Concerning scoring points, the Toledo Rockets hold an average of 26.5 points per contest. As a team they're holding an average of 155.5 yards rushing ranking them 78th in the country. The Rockets have earned 1,529 yards in total this season. In terms of distribution of touchdowns, Toledo has totaled 3 touchdowns via the pass and 6 touchdowns via the ground. Toledo has accumulated 67 1st downs, and they have been called for 41 infractions for 389 yds. They have turned the ball over 3 different times.

Regarding yards through the air, the Rockets have allowed 742 yards which puts them in 53rd in the nation. They have allowed 185.5 yards per outing through the air as well as conceding a completion percentage of 54.2%. During this campaign, they have given up 338.5 yards per contest which puts them 69th in D-1. They have relinquished 4 touchdowns by air and 1 touchdown via the ground game. They are allowing 3.7 yards per rush and 153.0 rushing yards per contest on the year. During this campaign, they have conceded 612 rushing yards through 4 contests. The Rockets are ranked 52nd in Division 1 concerning their opponents scoring, allowing 19.0 points per game.

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The Minutemen step onto the field holding a record of 0-4 for this season. In their last game, the Minutemen took a loss by a final score of 53-3 when they faced the Coastal Carolina Chanticleers. Ellis Merriweather carried the ball 6 times for 30 yards, finishing the contest with 5.0 yds per carry for UMass. Brady Olson finished the game with 86 yards on 14/23 through the air while his QB rate was 92.3. He didn't throw any picks and his average yards per attempt was 3.7. UMass allowed 44 run attempts for 313 yards (7.1 yds per rush). The Minutemen passing defense gave up a completion percentage of 60.0%, relinquishing 246 yards on 15 out of 25 passing. The Minutemen finished the game with a total of 165 yds while they ran 53 plays (3.1 yards per play). UMass rushed the ball for 1.5 yds per carry, finishing the game with 35 yards on 23 attempts.

The UMass Minutemen maintain an average of 307.0 yards/game, ranking them 120th in the country. The UMass offense has racked up 255 penalty yds on 25 violations, which is 72nd in the country in terms of hurting your team. During the season to this point, the Minutemen have a total of 824 yards via the pass as well as an average of 206.0 passing yards per game, which has them ranked 89th in college football. When discussing their scoring prowess, the Minutemen are 125th in Division 1 holding an average of 16.5 PPG.

The Minutemen are conceding 47.8 points per game, ranking them 142nd in the nation. UMass has given up a total of 969 yards rushing (242.3 yards per contest) and 17 touchdowns on the ground this year. This year, they have allowed 191 points. They have conceded 7 touchdowns through the air and 291.3 yards per contest, which has them in 131st in college football. The Minutemen defense has been on the field for 282 plays, ranking them 104th in Division 1.

Who will win tonight's Rockets/Minutemen college football game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Minutemen +26.5

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