Texas Tech Red Raiders vs Baylor Bears Prediction, 11/27/2021 College Football Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Texas Tech Red Raiders vs Baylor Bears

Date: Saturday, November 27, 2021

Location: McLane Stadium in Waco, TX

TV: FS1

Odds/Point Spread: Bears (-14)

Total/Over-Under: 52

The Baylor Bears (9-2) will play the Texas Tech Red Raiders (6-5) at McLane Stadium on Saturday. Texas Tech opens this matchup as 14-point dogs. The over/under has been set at 52.

The Texas Tech Red Raiders head into this game 6-5 this season. In their last contest, the Red Raiders played the Oklahoma State Cowboys and ended up losing by a score of 23-0. Donovan Smith went 9/29 with 83 yards passing. He had a quarterback rating of 55.1 and finished the game without throwing a pick. SaRodorick Thompson led the offense in rushing for the Red Raiders with 5 totes for 12 yards (2.4 yards per carry). In all, they had 58 plays which gave them 108 yds. The Texas Tech Red Raiders ended up rushing 26 different times and totaled 25 yds, earning them an average of 1.0 yards per attempt. Against the run, the Red Raiders conceded 188 yards on 48 tries, which is 3.9 yards per rush allowed. Texas Tech allowed 19 pass completions on 39 attempts for 239 yds, and a completion rate of 48.7%.

The Red Raiders currently have 4,516 yards in total for the season. In terms of getting the ball in the endzone, Texas Tech has totaled 15 touchdowns via the pass and 26 touchdowns via the ground. They have turned the football over 18 different times. Texas Tech has 215 1st downs offensively, and they have been hurt by 59 penalties for 492 yds. As a unit they're averaging 153.3 yards on the ground which is 75th in D-1. Regarding getting in the endzone, the Texas Tech Red Raiders have an average of 30.5 points per game.

The Red Raiders are ranked 120th in Division 1 when it comes to team defense, conceding 32.5 points per game. They are giving up 4.2 yards per tote and 142.0 rushing yards per contest for the year. Over the course of this season, they have conceded 1,562 yards via the ground game in 11 games. When it comes to yards via the pass, the Red Raiders are allowing 2,933 yards which ranks them 126th in the country. They are allowing 266.6 yards per outing via the pass as well as allowing a completion percentage of 67.2%. Overall, they have relinquished 408.6 yards per outing which ranks them 97th in the nation. They have allowed 26 touchdowns via the pass as well as 17 touchdowns via the ground game.

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The Bears head into this game 9-2 for this year. In their last game, the Bears went home victorious with a score of 20-10 when they faced the Kansas State Wildcats. Abram Smith carried the ball 21 times for 46 yards, finishing the contest with 2.2 yards per carry for Baylor. Blake Shapen ended the game with 137 yards on 16/21 passing while his QB rating was 131.0. He didn't toss any interceptions and his Y/A was 6.5. Baylor allowed 21 rushing attempts for 105 yards (5.0 yards per rush). The Bears secondary gave up a completion rate of 50.0%, relinquishing 158 yds on 15 out of 30 passing. The Bears finished the game with 387 yards while running 83 plays (4.7 yards per play). Baylor rushed for 3.6 yards per attempt, finishing with 174 yds on 48 carries.

In terms of putting points on the board, the Bears are sitting 26th in the nation averaging 34.0 points per game. During this campaign so far, the Bears have a total of 2,374 passing yards as well as holding an average of 215.8 passing yards per outing, ranking them 85th in the country. The Baylor Bears maintain an average of 447.8 yards per contest, which is good for 24th in D-1. The Baylor offense has 548 yards of penalties on 61 violations, which is 85th in the country in terms of hurting your team.

The Bears are surrendering 19.0 PPG, which has them sitting 28th in the country. Baylor has conceded a total of 1,351 yards on the ground (122.8 yards/game) in addition to 14 touchdowns by way of the ground game so far this year. Overall, they have given up 209 pts. They have yielded 10 touchdowns via the pass as well as 225.5 yards/game, which puts them in 73rd in the country. The Bears defense has taken part in 710 plays, which ranks 40th in college football.

Who will win tonight's Red Raiders/Bears college football game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Red Raiders +14

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