Texas Longhorns vs TCU Horned Frogs Prediction, 10/2/2021 College Football Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Texas Longhorns vs TCU Horned Frogs

Date: Saturday, October 2, 2021

Location: Amon G. Carter Stadium in Fort Worth, TX

TV: ABC

Odds/Point Spread: Horned Frogs (+5)

Total/Over-Under: 65.5

The TCU Horned Frogs (2-1) will go up against the Texas Longhorns (3-1) at Amon G. Carter Stadium on Saturday. Texas opens this contest as 5-point favorites. The total comes in at 65.5.

The Texas Longhorns head into this game 3-1 this season. In their last matchup, the Longhorns faced the Texas Tech Red Raiders and earned the victory with a final of 70-35. Bijan Robinson led the offense in rushing for the Longhorns with 18 attempts for 137 yds (7.6 yards per carry). Casey Thompson went 18/23 with 303 yards through the air and 5 TDs. He had a quarterback rate of 252.0 and ended the game with 1 interception. When it came to stopping the run, the Longhorns gave up 128 yds on 33 attempts, which is an average of 3.9 yds per run allowed. Texas allowed 26 pass completions on 34 attempts for 392 yards, and a completion rate of 76.5%. In all, they had 75 plays for 639 yds. The Texas Longhorns rushed the ball a total of 52 different times and accrued 336 yds, which earned them an average of 6.5 yds per carry.

When it comes to scoring points, the Texas Longhorns hold an average of 46.8 PPG. Offensively they're averaging 267.8 yards in the run game which has them sitting 7th in college football. The Longhorns have racked up 1,950 total yards for the season. In terms of scoring touchdowns, Texas has compiled 10 touchdowns through the air and 15 rushing touchdowns. Texas has accumulated 89 1st downs as a unit, and they have been called for 18 penalties for 127 yds. They have turned the ball over 3 different times.

The Longhorns sit in 81st in the nation regarding the opposition scoring, conceding 23.3 points per contest. They are giving up an average of 4.9 yards per rush and 173.3 rushing yards per game for the season. Overall, they have conceded 693 rushing yards through 4 contests. Concerning yards via the pass, the Longhorns have allowed 940 yards which ranks them 91st in college football. They have surrendered 235.0 yards per contest through the air and conceding a completion percentage of 74.4%. For the year, they are giving up 408.3 yards per contest which puts them 99th in D-1. They have yielded 4 touchdowns via the pass as well as 7 touchdowns pounding the rock.

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The Horned Frogs head into this game 2-1 for this season. When they last stepped on the field, the Horned Frogs took a loss by a final score of 42-34 against the SMU Mustangs. Max Duggan (3 TDs) ended the game with 276 yds on 16/28 through the air while his QB rating was 175.3. He didn't toss any picks and his average yards per pass attempt was 9.9. Zach Evans carried the ball 15 times for 113 yds, ending the game with 7.5 yards per attempt for TCU. TCU ran the ball for 5.7 yards per carry, finishing the contest with 170 yards on 30 attempts. The Horned Frogs finished the game with 446 yards while running 58 plays (7.7 yards per play). The Horned Frogs pass defense allowed a completion percentage of 60.7%, relinquishing 245 yards on 17 for 28 passing. TCU relinquished 52 attempts on the ground for 350 yds (6.7 yards per carry).

The TCU Horned Frogs average 460.7 yards per game, which ranks them 29th in the country. The TCU offense has racked up 165 yds of penalties on 20 infractions, which has them sitting 98th in D-1 in terms of helping out the opposition. For the season thus far, the Horned Frogs have compiled 763 yards through the air as well as holding an average of 254.3 throwing yards per game, ranking them 50th in the country. In relation to how much they score, the Horned Frogs are sitting 28th in college football scoring 37.7 points per game.

TCU has allowed a total of 544 rushing yards (181.3 yards per contest) and 4 touchdowns via the rush for the year. They have allowed 6 touchdowns through the air as well as 210.0 yards per outing, which has them in 68th in the nation. The Horned Frogs defense has taken part in 175 plays, which is 14th in the nation. The Horned Frogs are relinquishing 25.7 points per contest, which has them 91st in the nation. In total, they have allowed 77 points.

Who will win tonight's Longhorns/Horned Frogs college football game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Longhorns -5

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