Texas Longhorns vs Baylor Bears Prediction, 10/30/2021 College Football Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Texas Longhorns vs Baylor Bears

Date: Saturday, October 30, 2021

Location: McLane Stadium in Waco, TX

TV: ABC

Odds/Point Spread: Bears (-3)

Total/Over-Under: 64

The Texas Longhorns (4-3) are en route to McLane Stadium on Saturday where they will play the Baylor Bears (6-1). Baylor is 3-point favorites. The total is set at 64.

The Texas Longhorns come into this matchup with a record of 4-3 this year. In their last matchup, the Longhorns played against the Oklahoma State Cowboys and took a loss by a final of 32-24. Casey Thompson finished 15/27 with 179 yds through the air and 1 touchdown. He had a quarterback rating of 108.7 and ended the game with 2 picks. Bijan Robinson was the rushing leader for the Longhorns with 21 attempts for 135 yards (6.4 yds per attempt). The Texas Longhorns ended up rushing 33 times and recorded 138 yds, which came out to an average of 4.2 yards per carry. On the day, they had 60 plays which gave them a total of 317 yds. Texas relinquished 19 pass completions on 33 tries for a total of 178 yds, and a completion rate of 57.6%. In the running game, the Longhorns gave up 220 yds on 49 tries, which is an average of 4.5 yards per run allowed.

Concerning putting the ball in the endzone, the Texas Longhorns hold an average of 41.6 points per outing. As a team they're averaging 230.0 yards on the ground which has them sitting 13th in college football. The Longhorns have earned 3,198 total yards over the course of this year. When it comes to scoring, Texas has totaled 17 touchdowns via the pass and 20 touchdowns via the ground. Texas has accumulated 149 1st downs offensively, and they have been flagged for 42 infractions for 332 yards. They have turned the football over 7 different times.

When it comes to passing yardage, the Longhorns are giving up 1,623 yds which puts them in 78th in Division 1. They have conceded 231.9 yards per contest through the air and giving up a completion percentage of 68.8%. During this campaign, they have given up 434.9 yards per outing which puts them 118th in D-1. They have yielded 8 touchdowns by air as well as 14 touchdowns via the ground game. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 5.2 yards per rush and 203.0 rushing yards per contest for the year. In total, they have allowed 1,421 rushing yards through 7 games. The Longhorns are ranked 107th in Division 1 concerning team defense, allowing 29.6 points per game.

Get all of our College Football Expert Picks

The Bears come into this game with a record of 6-1 for this year. The last time they took the field, the Bears went home victorious with a score of 38-24 when they faced the BYU Cougars. Abram Smith carried the rock 27 times for 188 yards, walking away from the game with 7.0 yards per attempt for Baylor. Gerry Bohanon (1 TD) finished the contest with 231 yds on 18/28 through the air while his quarterback rating was 138.2. He tossed 1 pick and his Y/A was 8.3. Baylor gave up 24 running attempts for 67 yds (2.8 yards per rush). The Bears pass defense conceded a completion percentage of 71.0%, relinquishing 342 yards on 22 out of 31 passing. The Bears finished with a total of 534 yds while running 75 plays (7.1 yards per play). Baylor ended up running for 6.4 yards per tote, finishing the game with 303 yds on 47 carries.

The Baylor Bears have an average of 471.9 yards/game, ranking them 14th in Division 1. The Baylor offense has totaled 393 penalty yds on 43 violations, which is 74th in the nation in terms of making mistakes. Over the course of the season so far, the Bears currently sit at 1,634 yards via the pass along with an average of 233.4 throwing yards per outing, ranking them 69th in the nation. In relation to their scoring prowess, the Bears sit 14th in the country with an average of 38.3 points per game.

Baylor has given up a total of 964 yards via the ground game (137.7 yards per outing) and 9 touchdowns via the rush this season. They have given up 6 touchdowns through the air as well as 198.9 yards per outing, which has them ranked 41st in Division 1. The Bears defense has taken the field for 464 plays, which has them ranked 48th in the nation. The Bears are relinquishing 18.7 points per game, which has them ranked 31st in the nation. Over the course of the season, they have surrendered 131 points in total.

Who will win tonight's Longhorns/Bears college football game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Bears -3

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here