South Alabama Jaguars vs Troy Trojans Prediction, 11/6/2021 College Football Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: South Alabama Jaguars vs Troy Trojans

Date: Saturday, November 6, 2021

Location: Veterans Memorial Stadium in Troy, AL

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Trojans (-3)

Total/Over-Under: 48.5

The Troy Trojans (4-4) are hosting the South Alabama Jaguars (5-3) at Veterans Memorial Stadium on Saturday. Troy opens this game as 3-point favorites. The total has been set at 48.5.

The South Alabama Jaguars head into this game 5-3 for this year. In their last game, the Jaguars played the Arkansas State Red Wolves and took home the win by a score of 31-13. Jake Bentley finished 29/39 with 251 yds through the air and 4 TDs. He had a quarterback rating of 157.1 and finished the contest with 1 interception. Terrion Avery led the offense in rushing for the Jaguars with 22 carries for 113 yds (5.1 yds per carry). The South Alabama Jaguars ran the rock 35 times and amassed 173 yds, which came out to an average of 4.9 yds per attempt. Overall, they tallied 74 plays which gave them 424 yds. South Alabama surrendered 19 pass completions on 37 attempts for 186 yards, and a completion rate of 51.4%. Against the rush, the Jaguars gave up 38 yards on 26 attempts, which is an average of 1.5 yds per run allowed.

When it comes to getting in the endzone, the South Alabama Jaguars have an average of 29.1 PPG. As a team they're averaging 134.8 yards via the ground game ranking them 93rd in the country. The Jaguars have earned 3,170 total yards this season. When it comes to scoring touchdowns, South Alabama has compiled 15 touchdowns via the pass and 14 touchdowns on the ground. South Alabama has accounted for 156 first downs offensively, and they have been hurt by 46 infractions for 460 yds. They have surrendered the ball 13 different times.

Regarding yards through the air, the Jaguars have conceded 1,618 yds which has them ranked 47th in Division 1. They are allowing 202.3 yards per contest through the air in addition to giving up a completion percentage of 55.8%. During the season, they are granting 321.0 yards per game ranking them 33rd in the country. They have granted 8 touchdowns by air and 9 touchdowns pounding the rock. They are allowing 3.4 yards per run and 118.8 yards on the ground per game on the season. In total, they have allowed 950 rushing yards through 8 outings. The Jaguars rank 48th in the nation in terms of the opposition scoring, allowing 21.0 PPG.

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The Trojans come into this matchup with a record of 4-4 for this season. The last time they took the field, the Trojans took a loss by a score of 35-28 against the Coastal Carolina Chanticleers. Gunnar Watson (3 touchdowns) walked away from the game with 225 yds on 17/30 through the air while his QB rating was 152.7. He didn't throw any picks and his average yards per pass attempt was 7.5. Kimani Vidal carried the football 22 times for 142 yards, finishing the contest with 6.5 yards per attempt for Troy. The Trojans finished with a total of 389 yds while they ran 67 plays (5.8 yards per play). Troy ran for 4.6 yards per carry, finishing the game with 164 yards on 36 carries. Troy allowed 40 running attempts for 216 yards (5.4 yards per carry). The Trojans passing defense gave up a completion rate of 53.8%, relinquishing 294 yards on 14 out of 26 passing.

Regarding how much they score, the Trojans are ranked 84th in D-1 maintaining an average of 25.6 PPG. Over the course of the season so far, the Trojans have thrown for a total of 1,890 yards via the pass in addition to holding an average of 236.3 passing yards per contest, ranking them 62nd in the nation. The Troy Trojans have an average of 356.8 yards per game, which has them ranked 95th in college football. The Troy offense has totaled 386 yds of penalties on 45 violations, which ranks 89th in college football in terms of making mistakes.

Troy has yielded a total of 878 rushing yards (109.8 yards per outing) as well as 8 touchdowns by way of the ground game for the season. They have conceded 9 touchdowns via the pass and 204.3 yards/game, which has them ranked 51st in the country. The Trojans defense has been on the field for 503 plays, which is good for 32nd in D-1. The Trojans are giving up 21.5 points per game, which has them 52nd in D-1. This year, they have conceded 172 points.

Who will win tonight's Jaguars/Trojans college football game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Jaguars +3

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