SMU Mustangs vs TCU Horned Frogs Prediction, 9/25/2021 College Football Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: SMU Mustangs vs TCU Horned Frogs

Date: Saturday, September 25, 2021

Location: Amon G. Carter Stadium in Fort Worth, TX

TV: FS1

Odds/Point Spread: Horned Frogs (-9.5)

Total/Over-Under: 62.5

The SMU Mustangs (3-0) are headed to Amon G. Carter Stadium on Saturday where they will attempt to beat the TCU Horned Frogs (2-0). TCU is 9.5-point favorites from Vegas oddsmakers. The over/under is 62.5.

The SMU Mustangs come into this matchup with a record of 3-0 for this year. In their last matchup, the Mustangs took on the Louisiana Tech Bulldogs and went home with a win by a final score of 39-37. Ulysses Bentley IV was the rushing leader for the Mustangs with 13 carries for 61 yds (4.7 yds per carry). Tanner Mordecai went 36/48 with 395 yards passing and 5 TDs. He had a quarterback rating of 178.5 and ended the game without throwing a pick. In the running game, the Mustangs gave up 132 yards on 30 attempts, which is an average of 4.4 yds per rush surrendered. SMU relinquished 24 pass completions on 41 attempts for 351 yds, and a completion percentage of 58.5%. In the game, they ran 86 plays which gave them 579 yds. The SMU Mustangs rushed the ball a total of 38 times and accounted for 184 yds, which is an average of 4.8 yards per carry.

Concerning scoring points, the SMU Mustangs have an average of 43.3 points per game. Offensively they have an average of 197.0 yards in the run game which is 34th in the nation. The Mustangs have attained 1,616 yards in total for the year. When it comes to getting in the endzone, SMU has amassed 16 touchdowns through the air and 2 touchdowns via the ground. SMU has compiled 78 first downs as an offense, and they have been hurt by 16 penalties for 165 yds. They have turned the football over 4 times.

When it comes to passing yardage, the Mustangs have conceded 948 yds which has them ranked 132nd in college football. They have relinquished 316.0 yards per game via the pass as well as conceding a completion percentage of 55.2%. For the year, they are conceding 440.3 yards per contest which puts them 122nd in the nation. They are allowing an average of 3.8 yards per rushing attempt and 124.3 rushing yards per game for the season. In total, they have allowed 373 rushing yards through 3 contests. The Mustangs rank 59th in the country when it comes to team defense, giving up 19.3 points per contest.

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The Horned Frogs step onto the field holding a record of 2-0 for this season. The last time they took the field, the Horned Frogs walked away with a victory by a final of 34-32 against the California Golden Bears. Zach Evans carried the ball 22 times for 190 yards, ending the contest with 8.6 yards per carry for TCU. Max Duggan (3 touchdowns) walked away from the contest with 234 yds on 17/31 through the air while his quarterback rating was 143.7. He threw 1 pick and his average yards per attempt was 7.5. TCU surrendered 27 rushing attempts for 133 yards (4.9 yds per carry). The Horned Frogs pass defense gave up a completion percentage of 59.3%, relinquishing 309 yds on 16 for 27 passing. The Horned Frogs finished the game with 505 yards while running 81 plays (6.2 yards per play). TCU ran for 5.4 yards per attempt, totaling 271 yds on 50 carries.

When it comes to the points being put on the board, the Horned Frogs rank 28th in the nation with an average of 39.5 points per game. For the year to this point, the Horned Frogs have compiled 487 yards through the air as well as holding an average of 243.5 passing yards per outing, which is ranked 57th in college football. The TCU Horned Frogs average 468.0 yards per game, which has them ranked 28th in the country. The TCU offense has racked up 104 yds of penalties on 11 infractions, which is good for 125th in D-1 in terms of hurting your team.

TCU has allowed the opposition a total of 194 yards on the ground (97.0 yards/game) and 2 touchdowns via the rush so far this year. They have given up 2 touchdowns through the air and 192.5 yards/outing, which has them in 60th in the nation. The Horned Frogs defense has participated in 95 plays, ranking them 14th in the nation. The Horned Frogs are surrendering 17.5 PPG, which has them 49th in the nation. Overall, they have conceded 35 total points.

Who will win tonight's Mustangs/Horned Frogs college football game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Mustangs +9.5

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