SMU Mustangs vs Navy Midshipmen Prediction, 10/9/2021 College Football Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: SMU Mustangs vs Navy Midshipmen

Date: Saturday, October 9, 2021

Location: Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium in Annapolis, MD

TV: CBSSN

Odds/Point Spread: Midshipmen (+14.5)

Total/Over-Under: 55.5

The SMU Mustangs (5-0) are traveling to Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium on Saturday where they will meet the Navy Midshipmen (1-3). Navy opens this contest as 14.5-point underdogs. The total is 55.5.

The SMU Mustangs head into this game 5-0 for this season. In their last game, the Mustangs faced the USF Bulls and walked away with a win by a score of 41-17. Tanner Mordecai connected on 29/42 with 301 yds passing and 4 touchdowns. He had a QB rating of 155.9 and finished the contest with 1 interception. Tre Siggers was the rushing leader for the Mustangs with 20 carries for 86 yards (4.3 yds per carry). The SMU Mustangs ended up running the ball 40 different times and amassed 162 yds, which had them averaging 4.1 yards per carry. In all, they tallied 82 plays which totaled 463 yds. SMU conceded 14 pass completions on 22 tries for 223 yards, and a completion rate of 63.6%. Against the run, the Mustangs gave up 113 yards on 37 attempts, which is an average of 3.1 yards per run surrendered.

When talking about scoring points, the SMU Mustangs have an average of 42.6 points per contest. As a unit they're holding an average of 220.6 yards rushing which has them sitting 22nd in the nation. The Mustangs have earned 2,674 yards in total over the course of this year. When it comes to getting the ball in the endzone, SMU has compiled 24 passing touchdowns and 5 touchdowns via the ground. SMU has tallied 137 1st downs as a unit, and they have been flagged for 24 infractions for 235 yards. They have turned the football over 8 times.

Regarding passing yards, the Mustangs are giving up 1,447 yards which ranks them 129th in the country. They are giving up 289.4 yards per contest through the air as well as allowing a completion percentage of 56.6%. During the season, they are giving up 420.6 yards per game which ranks them 112th in D-1. They have conceded 9 touchdowns through the air as well as 4 touchdowns pounding the rock. They are giving up an average of 4.0 yards per rushing attempt and 131.2 rushing yards per game so far this season. For the year, they have allowed 656 yards via the ground game in 5 games. The Mustangs sit in 62nd in Division 1 when it comes to team defense, giving up 21.8 points per game.

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The Midshipmen head into this matchup 1-3 for this year. When they last stepped on the field, the Midshipmen took home the win by a final score of 34-30 against the UCF Knights. Tai Lavatai ended the game with 58 yds on 2/4 passing while his QB rate was 171.8. He didn't toss any picks and his average yards per attempt was 14.5. Isaac Ruoss ran the ball 21 times for 84 yards, ending the contest with 4.0 yds per carry for Navy. Navy rushed the football for 4.6 yards per attempt, finishing with 348 yds on 76 carries. The Midshipmen finished the contest with a total of 406 yds while running 80 plays (5.1 yds per play). The Midshipmen secondary gave up a completion percentage of 59.3%, relinquishing 178 yards on 16 for 27 through the air. Navy surrendered 29 attempts on the ground for 148 yards (5.1 yds per rush).

The Navy Midshipmen average 293.0 yards per game, ranking them 123rd in the country. The Navy offense has accrued 143 yds of penalties on 17 infractions, which has them sitting 127th in D-1 in terms of hurting your team. During this campaign thus far, the Midshipmen have thrown for a total of 249 yards through the air in addition to an average of 62.3 throwing yards per game, ranking them 130th in Division 1. When it comes to their scoring prowess, the Midshipmen currently rank 127th in the nation holding an average of 16.0 points per game.

The Midshipmen are surrendering 32.5 PPG, which puts them 122nd in the country. Navy has allowed a total of 552 rushing yards (138.0 yards per game) and 13 touchdowns rushing for the year. Overall, they have relinquished 130 pts. They have surrendered 4 touchdowns through the air and 211.8 yards/game, which has them sitting 65th in the nation. The Midshipmen defense has taken the field for 250 plays, which has them sitting 16th in the nation.

Who will win tonight's Mustangs/Midshipmen college football game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Mustangs -14.5

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