SMU Mustangs vs Cincinnati Bearcats Prediction, 11/20/2021 College Football Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: SMU Mustangs vs Cincinnati Bearcats

Date: Saturday, November 20, 2021

Location: Nippert Stadium in Cincinnati, OH

TV: ESPN

Odds/Point Spread: Bearcats (-11.5)

Total/Over-Under: 64.5

The Cincinnati Bearcats (10-0) will play the SMU Mustangs (8-2) at Nippert Stadium on Saturday. SMU opens as 11.5-point dogs. The total is 64.5.

The SMU Mustangs head into this matchup 8-2 for this year. The last time they took the field, the Mustangs played the UCF Knights and walked away with a win by a score of 55-28. Tanner Mordecai connected on 37/54 with 377 yards through the air and 3 TDs. He had a quarterback rating of 171.8 and ended the game with 1 pick. Ulysses Bentley IV was the rushing leader for the Mustangs with 14 totes for 97 yards (6.9 yards per carry). The SMU Mustangs ended up rushing 36 different times and had 241 yards, which is an average of 6.7 yards per tote. Overall, they had 94 plays which gave them a total of 631 yards. SMU relinquished 35 completions on 54 attempts for 432 yds, and a completion rate of 64.8%. On the ground, the Mustangs conceded 31 yards on 37 attempts, which calculates to 0.8 yards per rush surrendered.

The Mustangs have earned 4,999 yards in total over the course of this year. With reference to getting in the endzone, SMU has earned 37 touchdowns via the pass and 16 rushing touchdowns. They have surrendered the football 15 different times. SMU has a total of 260 1st downs as an offense, and they have been called for 50 infractions for 475 yards. As a unit they hold an average of 170.9 yards on the ground which is 61st in college football. Concerning scoring, the SMU Mustangs have an average of 41.6 points per game.

The Mustangs sit in 76th in the country when it comes to team defense, conceding 25.9 PPG. They are allowing an average of 3.5 yards per run and 125.9 rushing yards per game on the season. For the season, they have conceded 1,259 rushing yards through 10 outings. When talking about passing yards, the Mustangs are giving up 2,798 yards which puts them in 133rd in Division 1. They are allowing 279.8 yards per game through the air in addition to giving up a completion percentage of 58.3%. Overall, they have given up 405.7 yards per contest which ranks them 98th in Division 1. They have yielded 21 touchdowns via the pass and 10 touchdowns on the ground.

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The Bearcats head into this game 10-0 this season. The last time they took the field, the Bearcats walked away with a victory by a final of 45-20 against the USF Bulls. Desmond Ridder carried the football 13 times for 65 yards, walking away from the game with 5.0 yds per carry for Cincinnati. Desmond Ridder (2 TDs) walked away from the contest with 304 yards on 31/39 passing while his QB rating was 156.8. He threw 1 pick and his Y/A was 7.8. Cincinnati gave up 57 run attempts for 297 yards (5.2 yards per carry). The Bearcats passing defense gave up a completion percentage of 65.4%, surrendering 149 yds on 17 for 26 passing. The Bearcats finished the contest with a total of 512 yards while running 75 plays (6.8 yards per play). Cincinnati rushed for 5.9 yards per tote, finishing with a total of 208 yds on 35 attempts.

Regarding putting points on the board, the Bearcats are ranking 9th in the country with 39.2 points per game. During this campaign thus far, the Bearcats have thrown for a total of 2,447 yards via the pass in addition to an average of 244.7 throwing yards per game, giving them a rank of 56th in college football. The Cincinnati Bearcats hold an average of 418.9 yards per outing, ranking them 58th in D-1. The Cincinnati offense has totaled 533 yards of penalties on 70 violations, which is 34th in D-1 in terms of giving up free yards.

The Bearcats are allowing 16.2 points per game, which has them sitting 18th in the nation. Cincinnati has allowed a total of 1,514 rushing yards (151.4 yards per contest) and 13 touchdowns via the rush so far this year. This season, they have conceded 162 points in total. They have surrendered 6 touchdowns via the pass in addition to 163.3 yards per game, ranking them 17th in D-1. The Bearcats defense has been on the field for 713 plays, which is good for 108th in the country.

Who will win tonight's Mustangs/Bearcats college football game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Bearcats -11.5

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