San Diego State Aztecs vs UNLV Runnin' Rebels Prediction, 11/20/2021 College Football Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: San Diego State Aztecs vs UNLV Runnin' Rebels

Date: Saturday, November 20, 2021

Location: Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas, NV

TV: CBSSN

Odds/Point Spread: Runnin' Rebels (+10.5)

Total/Over-Under: 40.5

Allegiant Stadium is where the UNLV Runnin' Rebels (2-8) will compete against the San Diego State Aztecs (9-1) on Saturday. San Diego State opens this game as 10.5-point favorites from Vegas oddsmakers. The over/under is 40.5.

The San Diego State Aztecs come into this game with a record of 9-1 for this year. In their last matchup, the Aztecs took on the Nevada Wolf Pack and went home with a win by a final score of 23-10. Lucas Johnson connected on 21/34 with 176 yards passing and 1 touchdown. He had a QB rate of 161.4 and ended the game without throwing a pick. Greg Bell was the leader on the ground for the Aztecs with 16 totes for 104 yards (6.5 yds per carry). In all, they had 73 plays for 362 yards. The San Diego State Aztecs ended up running the ball 39 different times and totaled 186 yards, which is an average of 4.8 yards per tote. When it came to stopping the run, the Aztecs conceded 85 yards on 30 tries, which averages out to 2.8 yds per run allowed. San Diego State allowed 19 completions on 34 tries for a total of 175 yds, and a completion percentage of 55.9%.

Regarding putting the ball in the endzone, the San Diego State Aztecs are sitting at 27.7 points per game. As a team they hold an average of 191.6 yards rushing which ranks them 39th in Division 1. The Aztecs have tallied 3,324 total yards over the course of this year. When it comes to scoring touchdowns, San Diego State has totaled 8 touchdowns through the air and 22 rushing touchdowns. San Diego State has accounted for 178 1st downs offensively, and they have been flagged for 66 penalties for 604 yds. They have turned the ball over 11 times.

The Aztecs are ranked 22nd in Division 1 when it comes to team defense, allowing 17.1 PPG. Opposing teams are running for an average of 2.8 yards per running attempt and 83.1 rushing yards per contest on the year. For the season, they have allowed 831 running yards through 10 outings. Concerning yards through the air, the Aztecs have given up 2,228 yards which has them sitting in 66th in the country. They are conceding 222.8 yards per game via the pass and conceding a completion percentage of 55.7%. Overall, they are surrendering 305.9 yards/game which ranks them 21st in the nation. They have granted 15 touchdowns through the air and 4 touchdowns via the ground game.

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The Runnin' Rebels come into this game with a record of 2-8 for this season. The last time they took the gridiron, the Runnin' Rebels got the victory with a final of 27-17 when they faced the Hawaii Warriors. Cameron Friel walked away from the game with 172 yds on 15/25 through the air while his quarterback rate was 97.3. He had 2 picks and his Y/A was 6.9. Charles Williams carried the rock 38 times for 266 yards, ending the contest with 7.0 yards per carry for UNLV. The Runnin' Rebels finished the contest with a total of 465 yards while they ran 74 plays (6.3 yds per play). UNLV rushed the ball for 6.0 yds per carry, finishing the contest with 293 yards on 49 attempts. UNLV conceded 48 run attempts for 260 yds (5.4 yards per rush). The Runnin' Rebels passing defense gave up a completion rate of 62.5%, surrendering 36 yards on 10 for 16 through the air.

In terms of their ability to score points, the Runnin' Rebels are ranked 114th in the nation averaging 21.5 points per outing. For the year to this point, the Runnin' Rebels have racked up 1,931 passing yards along with an average of 193.1 throwing yards per contest, which ranks 103rd in D-1. The UNLV Runnin' Rebels have an average of 313.9 yards/contest, which ranks them 119th in college football. The UNLV offense has compiled 406 yds of penalties on 48 violations, which ranks 114th in the country in terms of giving up free yards.

The Runnin' Rebels are giving up 31.8 points per game, ranking them 117th in Division 1. UNLV has conceded a total of 1,455 yards rushing (145.5 yards per game) and 13 touchdowns on the ground so far this season. Over the course of the season, they have surrendered 318 points. They have given up 23 touchdowns through the air in addition to 266.1 yards per game, which puts them in 124th in Division 1. The Runnin' Rebels defense has taken the field for 673 plays, which is good for 67th in the nation.

Who will win tonight's Aztecs/Runnin' Rebels college football game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Runnin' Rebels +10.5

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