Penn State Nittany Lions vs Wisconsin Badgers Prediction, 9/4/2021 College Football Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Penn State Nittany Lions vs Wisconsin Badgers

Date: Saturday, September 4, 2021

Location: Camp Randall Stadium in Madison, WI

TV: FOX

Odds/Point Spread: Badgers (-4.5)

Total/Over-Under: 53.5

The Penn State Nittany Lions (4-5 last year) are on their way to Camp Randall Stadium on Saturday where they will take on the Wisconsin Badgers (4-3 last season). Wisconsin opens this contest as 4.5-point favorites from oddsmakers. The total is 53.5.

The Penn State Nittany Lions wrapped up their year with a 4-5 mark. In their last matchup, the Nittany Lions took the field against the Illinois Fighting Illini and took home the win by a score of 56-21. Sean Clifford went 16/22 with 285 yards passing and 2 touchdowns. He had a QB rating of 211.5 and finished the game without throwing an interception. Keyvone Lee led the offense in rushing for the Nittany Lions with 19 carries for 85 yds (4.5 yds per carry). In all, they had 80 plays which converted into 580 yds. The Penn State Nittany Lions ran the rock 53 different times and recorded 253 yds, which earned them an average of 4.8 yards per carry. When it came to stopping the run, the Nittany Lions gave up 153 yards on 38 tries, which is an average of 4.0 yds per rush surrendered. Penn State surrendered 8 completions on 22 tries for 120 yds, and a completion rate of 36.4%.

The Nittany Lions tallied 3,873 yards in total for the prior campaign. They surrendered the ball 17 different times. Penn State totaled 17 passing touchdowns and 15 touchdowns on the ground. Penn State totaled 223 1st downs as a unit, and they were called for 39 penalties for 335 yards. As a team they maintained an average of 174.3 yards on the ground, which was 56th in the nation. When it comes to scoring, the Penn State Nittany Lions had an average of 29.8 PPG.

The Nittany Lions ranked 68th in the nation in terms of their opponents scoring, allowing 27.7 points per game. They gave up an average of 3.7 yards per running attempt and 129.7 yards on the ground per game last year. Over the course of last season, they gave up 1,167 running yards through 9 contests. Concerning passing yardage, the Nittany Lions conceded 1,787 yards which put them in 63rd in Division 1. In their 9 games played last year, they yielded 198.6 yards per contest via the pass in addition to surrendering a completion percentage of 58.8%. They conceded 15 touchdowns through the air and 13 touchdowns on the ground. They surrendered 328.2 yards/outing which ranked them 29th in the nation.

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The Badgers finished the season having earned a 4-3 record. When they last played, the Badgers took home the win by a final score of 42-28 when they faced the Wake Forest Demon Deacons. Graham Mertz (1 TD) finished the game with 130 yds on 11/17 through the air while his QB rating was 148.4. He didn't toss any picks and his Y/A was 7.6. Jalen Berger carried the football 15 times for 34 yards, walking away from the game with 2.3 yards per carry for Wisconsin. Wisconsin rushed the football for 2.8 yards per attempt, totaling 122 yds on 44 carries. The Badgers finished the game with a total of 266 yards on 64 plays (4.2 yds per play). The Badgers secondary gave up a completion rate of 46.2%, surrendering 407 yds on 24 for 52 through the air. Wisconsin allowed 35 rush attempts for 111 yards (3.2 yds per carry).

The Wisconsin Badgers averaged 345.6 yards/contest which had them ranked 104th in the country. They tossed 7 interceptions while conceding 5 fumbles and they tallied 137 1st downs. They averaged 164.6 yards via the ground game and toted the ball for 1,152 yards overall. The Wisconsin offense compiled 296 yards of penalties on 36 infractions, which ranked 105th in D-1 in terms of making mistakes. For the prior season, the Badgers compiled 1,267 passing yards as well as averaging 181.0 passing yards per outing, which had them ranked 110th in college football. In relation to the points being put on the board, the Badgers ranked 89th in the country with 25.1 PPG.

Wisconsin allowed a total of 673 yards rushing (96.1 yards per contest) as well as 2 touchdowns via the rush throughout last season. Their defense totaled 4 fumbles recovered and 8 interceptions in the previous season. They conceded 12 touchdowns through the air as well as 203.7 yards/outing, which put them in 44th in Division 1. The Badgers defense took the field for 419 plays, which was good for 38th in the nation. In total, they conceded 122 points in total. The Badgers gave up 17.4 points per contest, ranking them 22nd in Division 1.

Who will win tonight's Nittany Lions/Badgers college football game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Badgers -4.5

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