Ole Miss Rebels vs Mississippi State Bulldogs Prediction, 11/25/2021 College Football Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Ole Miss Rebels vs Mississippi State Bulldogs

Date: Thursday, November 25, 2021

Location: Davis Wade Stadium in Starkville, MS

TV: ESPN

Odds/Point Spread: Bulldogs (-1)

Total/Over-Under: 61

The Mississippi State Bulldogs (7-4) are welcoming the Ole Miss Rebels (9-2) at Davis Wade Stadium on Thursday. Mississippi State is 1-point favorites. The total comes in at 61.

The Ole Miss Rebels step onto the field holding a record of 9-2 this season. In their last game, the Rebels played the Vanderbilt Commodores and earned the victory with a final of 31-17. Matt Corral connected on 27/36 with 326 yards passing and 2 TDs. He had a quarterback rate of 163.8 and walked away from the contest with 1 interception. Snoop Conner was the leader on the ground for the Rebels with 12 carries for 52 yards (4.3 yards per attempt). The Ole Miss Rebels ended up running the ball 29 times and accumulated 144 yards, earning them an average of 5.0 yards per tote. For the game, they ran 65 plays which gave them 470 yards. Ole Miss surrendered 22 completions on 44 attempts for 241 yards, and a completion rate of 50.0%. In the running game, the Rebels gave up 213 yds on 49 tries, which calculates to 4.3 yards per run surrendered.

When it comes to scoring points, the Ole Miss Rebels are averaging 36.4 PPG. As a team they average 231.1 yards in the run game which has them sitting 7th in college football. The Rebels have earned 5,691 total yards for this campaign. When it comes to getting in the endzone, Ole Miss has compiled 19 touchdowns via the pass and 30 rushing touchdowns. Ole Miss has accounted for 296 1st downs, and they have been flagged for 100 penalties for 861 yds. They have surrendered the ball 7 different times.

Regarding passing yards, the Rebels have conceded 2,614 yards which puts them in 97th in college football. They are conceding 237.6 yards per outing through the air and conceding a completion percentage of 61.6%. During the season, they are conceding 429.6 yards per contest which has them ranked 112th in D-1. They have granted 12 touchdowns through the air in addition to 23 touchdowns pounding the rock. They are allowing 4.3 yards per run and 192.0 yards on the ground per game on the campaign. During this campaign, they have allowed 2,112 yards via the running game in 11 games. The Rebels are sitting in 72nd in the nation in terms of team defense, allowing 25.4 points per contest.

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The Bulldogs come into this game with a record of 7-4 for this year. The last time they took the field, the Bulldogs walked away with a victory by a final of 55-10 when they faced the Tennessee State Tigers. Dillon Johnson carried the ball 5 times for 56 yds, finishing the game with 11.2 yds per carry for Mississippi State. Will Rogers (5 touchdowns) walked away from the game with 391 yards on 28/34 passing while his quarterback rating was 227.5. He didn't toss any picks and his average yards per pass attempt was 11.5. Mississippi State conceded 34 rush attempts for 35 yds (1.0 yards per carry). The Bulldogs secondary conceded a completion rate of 70.4%, relinquishing 170 yds on 19 for 27 passing. The Bulldogs finished with 600 yards while running 61 plays (9.8 yards per play). Mississippi State ran the ball for 7.1 yards per carry, finishing the game with 107 yards on 15 attempts.

The Mississippi State Bulldogs hold an average of 452.3 yards per outing, which has them ranked 21st in Division 1. The Mississippi State offense has accrued 634 yds of penalties on 86 violations, which is 11th in D-1 in terms of hurting your team. During the season thus far, the Bulldogs have a total of 4,292 yards via the pass in addition to holding an average of 390.2 throwing yards per outing, which ranks 3rd in the country. When it comes to their scoring prowess, the Bulldogs are sitting 44th in Division 1 with an average of 31.8 points per contest.

Mississippi State has surrendered a total of 1,060 yards via the ground game (96.4 yards/game) and 10 touchdowns rushing on the year. They have allowed 18 touchdowns via the pass and 229.7 yards/game, ranking them 80th in Division 1. The Bulldogs defense has been on the field for 657 plays, which has them ranked 21st in the country. The Bulldogs are giving up 24.7 points per game, which has them sitting 67th in the nation. Overall, they have relinquished 272 points in total.

Who will win tonight's Rebels/Bulldogs college football game against the spread?

Parlays Pundit's Pick: Take the Bulldogs -1

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