North Carolina Tar Heels vs Pittsburgh Panthers Prediction, 11/11/2021 College Football Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: North Carolina Tar Heels vs Pittsburgh Panthers

Date: Thursday, November 11, 2021

Location: Heinz Field in Pittsburgh, PA

TV: ESPN

Odds/Point Spread: Panthers (-6.5)

Total/Over-Under: 76

Heinz Field is the location where the Pittsburgh Panthers (7-2) will meet the North Carolina Tar Heels (5-4) on Thursday. Pittsburgh opens this contest as 6.5-point favorites from Vegas oddsmakers. The over/under has been set at 76.

The North Carolina Tar Heels come into this game with a record of 5-4 for this season. In their last matchup, the Tar Heels faced the Wake Forest Demon Deacons and notched a win by a score of 58-55. Sam Howell finished 16/26 with 216 yds through the air and 1 TD. He had a QB rate of 144.0 and finished the contest with no picks. Ty Chandler was the rushing leader for the Tar Heels with 22 totes for 213 yds (9.7 yards per carry). In all, they ran 78 plays for 574 yds. The North Carolina Tar Heels ran the ball a total of 52 different times and totaled 358 yds, which is an average of 6.9 yards per attempt. Against the run, the Tar Heels conceded 217 yds on 39 attempts, which calculates to 5.6 yards per rush allowed. North Carolina conceded 25 pass completions on 51 attempts for 398 yards, and a completion percentage of 49.0%.

Regarding scoring, the North Carolina Tar Heels are averaging 38.9 points per game. Offensively they average 219.4 yards on the ground which is 16th in Division 1. The Tar Heels have racked up 4,437 total yards for the season. When it comes to getting the ball in the endzone, North Carolina has compiled 21 touchdowns through the air and 23 touchdowns via the ground. North Carolina has accumulated 229 1st downs as an offense, and they have been hurt by 69 infractions for 666 yards. They have given the ball to the opposition 12 different times.

Regarding yards through the air, the Tar Heels are allowing 2,166 yards which puts them in 97th in college football. They have relinquished 240.7 yards per outing via the pass as well as giving up a completion percentage of 59.8%. In total, they are giving up 421.4 yards per contest which puts them 109th in the nation. They have yielded 18 touchdowns by air in addition to 18 touchdowns on the ground. They are allowing 4.7 yards per run and 180.8 rushing yards per contest on the year. During the season, they have given up 1,627 rushing yards through 9 games. The Tar Heels are ranked 122nd in Division 1 when it comes to the opposition scoring, allowing 33.4 points per game.

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The Panthers head into this matchup 7-2 for this season. The last time they took the field, the Panthers took home the win by a final score of 54-29 when they faced the Duke Blue Devils. Kenny Pickett (3 touchdowns) ended the game with 416 yds on 28/43 passing while his quarterback rate was 169.4. He didn't toss any interceptions and his average yards per attempt was 9.7. Rodney Hammond Jr. ran the ball 16 times for 81 yards, finishing the contest with 5.1 yds per carry for Pittsburgh. Pittsburgh ran the football for 5.4 yards per attempt, totaling 222 yds on 41 carries. The Panthers finished the game with a total of 638 yards while they ran 84 plays (7.6 yds per play). The Panthers passing defense allowed a completion percentage of 60.5%, relinquishing 241 yards on 23 for 38 through the air. Pittsburgh relinquished 50 run attempts for 143 yds (2.9 yards per rush).

When discussing their scoring prowess, the Panthers are sitting 1st in the nation holding an average of 45.0 points per game. For the year to this point, the Panthers have racked up 3,385 yards via the pass along with an average of 376.1 passing yards per outing, which has them ranked 3rd in Division 1. The Pittsburgh Panthers hold an average of 541.2 yards per game, which is good for 3rd in the nation. The Pittsburgh offense has totaled 619 yards of penalties on 63 infractions, which is 31st in D-1 in terms of making mistakes.

The Panthers are giving up 22.7 PPG, ranking them 59th in college football. Pittsburgh has given up a total of 972 yards on the ground (108.0 yards/game) and 11 touchdowns rushing so far this season. Overall, they have allowed 204 points in total. They have yielded 14 touchdowns via the pass and 237.0 yards per outing, which has them in 91st in the nation. The Panthers defense has been on the field for 608 plays, which ranks 69th in the country.

Who will win tonight's Tar Heels/Panthers college football game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Tar Heels +6.5

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