North Carolina Tar Heels vs NC State Wolfpack Prediction, 11/26/2021 College Football Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: North Carolina Tar Heels vs NC State Wolfpack

Date: Friday, November 26, 2021

Location: Carter-Finley Stadium in Raleigh, NC

TV: ESPN

Odds/Point Spread: Wolfpack (-6.5)

Total/Over-Under: 63

The NC State Wolfpack (8-3) host the North Carolina Tar Heels (6-5) at Carter-Finley Stadium on Friday. NC State opens as 6.5-point favorites. The total comes in at 63.

The North Carolina Tar Heels head into this matchup 6-5 this year. The last time they stepped onto the field, the Tar Heels went up against the Wofford Terriers and walked away with a win by a score of 34-14. Ty Chandler was the best rusher for the Tar Heels with 10 carries for 78 yds (7.8 yds per carry). Jacolby Criswell went 11/19 with 125 yds passing. He had a QB rating of 113.2 and finished the game with no picks. Against the run, the Tar Heels conceded 209 yds on 45 tries, which is an average of 4.6 yds per run allowed. North Carolina relinquished 8 completions on 10 attempts for a total of 93 yards, and a completion rate of 80.0%. In all, they ran 67 plays which totaled 519 yards. The North Carolina Tar Heels rushed the ball a total of 39 times and had 305 yds, which earned them an average of 7.8 yds per attempt.

Regarding putting the ball in the endzone, the North Carolina Tar Heels are averaging 37.0 points per outing. As a team they're averaging 212.7 yards via the ground game which ranks them 19th in the nation. The Tar Heels have earned 5,312 yards in total for the season. When it comes to distribution of touchdowns, North Carolina has earned 24 passing touchdowns and 28 rushing touchdowns. North Carolina has 275 first downs offensively, and they have committed 84 infractions for 798 yds. They have surrendered the football 13 times.

Regarding yards via the pass, the Tar Heels have conceded 2,605 yds which has them ranked 95th in D-1. They are giving up 236.8 yards per contest via the pass and giving up a completion percentage of 60.1%. Over the course of this year, they are giving up 412.4 yards per contest which puts them 101st in the nation. They have given up 21 touchdowns by air in addition to 21 touchdowns running the ball. They are giving up 4.6 yards per rush on the ground and 175.5 rushing yards per contest for the season. For the year, they have given up 1,931 yards on the ground through 11 contests. The Tar Heels rank 110th in Division 1 when it comes to the opposition scoring, allowing 31.4 points per game.

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The Wolfpack come into this matchup with a record of 8-3 for this year. The last time they took the gridiron, the Wolfpack got the victory with a final of 41-17 against the Syracuse Orange. Devin Leary (2 touchdowns) ended the contest with 303 yards on 17/24 passing while his quarterback rate was 204.4. He didn't toss any picks and his average yards per attempt was 12.6. Ricky Person carried the football 12 times for 50 yards, finishing the contest with 4.2 yards per carry for NC State. NC State rushed for 3.2 yards per tote, totaling 96 yards on 30 carries. The Wolfpack ended up finishing with 399 yards while running 54 plays (7.4 yds per play). The Wolfpack secondary gave up a completion percentage of 42.9%, relinquishing 66 yards on 9 for 21 through the air. NC State gave up 33 rushing attempts for 170 yards (5.2 yards per rush).

The NC State Wolfpack average 420.0 yards/game, ranking them 55th in college football. The NC State offense has accrued 718 yds of penalties on 81 violations, which has them ranked 21st in the nation in terms of making mistakes. For the season to this point, the Wolfpack have thrown for a total of 3,214 yards through the air as well as holding an average of 292.2 passing yards per contest, which ranks 19th in D-1. In terms of this team's ability to score points, the Wolfpack currently rank 33rd in Division 1 with 33.0 points per outing.

The Wolfpack are giving up 18.7 points per game, which puts them 27th in Division 1. NC State has allowed a total of 1,192 yards rushing (108.4 yards per game) in addition to 7 touchdowns via the rush on the campaign. In total, they have allowed 206 total points. They have surrendered 18 touchdowns from the passing game in addition to 213.1 yards/outing, which has them in 58th in college football. The Wolfpack defense has been on the field for 734 plays, which ranks them 62nd in college football.

Who will win tonight's Tar Heels/Wolfpack college football game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Tar Heels +6.5

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