New Mexico State Aggies vs San Jose State Spartans Prediction, 10/2/2021 College Football Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: New Mexico State Aggies vs San Jose State Spartans

Date: Saturday, October 2, 2021

Location: CEFCU Stadium in San Jose, CA

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Spartans (-26)

Total/Over-Under: 51.5

The San Jose State Spartans (2-2) will play the New Mexico State Aggies (1-4) at CEFCU Stadium on Saturday. New Mexico State opens as 26-point underdogs. The over/under is 51.5.

The New Mexico State Aggies head into this matchup 1-4 for this season. The last time they stepped onto the field, the Aggies played against the Hawaii Warriors and went home with a loss by a final score of 41-21. Jonah Johnson led the offense in rushing for the Aggies with 17 carries for 15 yards (0.9 yds per carry). Jonah Johnson connected on 28/47 with 280 yards through the air and 1 TD. He had a quarterback rating of 112.4 and ended the contest with 1 interception. When it came to the battle of the line of scrimmage, the Aggies conceded 215 yards on 33 tries, which calculates to 6.5 yds per rush allowed. New Mexico State conceded 16 pass completions on 25 tries for a total of 277 yards, and a completion rate of 64.0%. At the end of the game, they ran 88 plays which totaled 401 yards. The New Mexico State Aggies ran the football 41 different times and amassed 121 yards, which is an average of 3.0 yds per carry.

The Aggies have racked up 1,737 total yards this season. When it comes to distribution of touchdowns, New Mexico State has earned 7 passing touchdowns and 4 touchdowns via the ground. They have given the ball to the opposition 9 different times. New Mexico State has tallied 106 1st downs, and they have committed 34 infractions for 311 yds. As a team they're averaging 97.0 yards in the run game ranking them 116th in D-1. In terms of scoring, the New Mexico State Aggies are averaging 20.4 PPG.

Regarding yards via the pass, the Aggies are allowing 1,374 yards which puts them in 139th in the country. They are conceding 274.8 yards per game through the air in addition to allowing a completion percentage of 60.0%. During this campaign, they have given up 458.8 yards/contest putting them at 130th in Division 1. They have conceded 8 touchdowns via the pass as well as 10 touchdowns pounding the rock. Opposing teams are running for an average of 4.8 yards per attempt on the ground and 184.0 rushing yards per contest this season. Overall, they have conceded 920 running yards through 5 games. The Aggies are sitting in 127th in the country when it comes to team defense, allowing 33.6 points per game.

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The Spartans come into this matchup with a record of 2-2 for this season. The last time they took the field, the Spartans walked away with a loss by a score of 23-3 when they played the Western Michigan Broncos. Tyler Nevens carried the ball 15 times for 94 yds, ending the game with 6.3 yards per carry for San Jose State. Nick Starkel finished the contest with 55 yds on 6/14 through the air while his QB rating was 61.6. He threw 1 interception and his Y/A was 3.9. San Jose State conceded 43 rushing attempts for 147 yds (3.4 yds per carry). The Spartans pass defense gave up a completion percentage of 60.7%, surrendering 200 yards on 17 for 28 through the air. The Spartans finished with a total of 119 yards and they ran 56 plays (2.1 yds per play). San Jose State rushed for 2.0 yds per attempt, finishing the contest with 60 yds on 30 attempts.

Regarding their ability to score points, the Spartans are sitting 117th in D-1 averaging 18.0 points per contest. For the season to this point, the Spartans currently sit at 1,012 passing yards in addition to an average of 253.0 throwing yards per game, which ranks 52nd in college football. The San Jose State Spartans average 332.3 yards per outing, which has them sitting 112th in D-1. The San Jose State offense has accrued 305 penalty yds on 34 infractions, which has them sitting 15th in the nation in terms of giving up free yards.

The Spartans are allowing 20.0 points per contest, which has them ranked 60th in the nation. San Jose State has conceded a total of 545 rushing yards (136.3 yards/game) and 2 touchdowns via the rush for the campaign. In total, they have given up 80 points in total. They have yielded 5 touchdowns from the passing game in addition to 209.3 yards/game, which has them ranked 66th in D-1. The Spartans defense has participated in 279 plays, ranking them 96th in the country.

Who will win tonight's Aggies/Spartans college football game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Aggies +26

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