New Mexico State Aggies vs San Diego State Aztecs Prediction, 9/4/2021 College Football Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: New Mexico State Aggies vs San Diego State Aztecs

Date: Saturday, September 4, 2021

Location: Dignity Health Sports Park in Carson, CA

TV: CBSSN

Odds/Point Spread: Aztecs (-30)

Total/Over-Under: 50

The San Diego State Aztecs (4-4 last season) are hosting the New Mexico State Aggies (2-10 last year) at Dignity Health Sports Park on Saturday. San Diego State opens as 30-point favorites. The over/under has been set at 50.

The New Mexico State Aggies finished the season having earned a 2-10 record. In their last contest, the Aggies played the Dixie State Trailblazers and took home the win by a score of 36-29. Juwuan Price was the rushing leader for the Aggies with 19 attempts for 165 yds (8.7 yards per attempt). Jonah Johnson went 19/29 with 171 yds passing. He had a quarterback rate of 115.0 and ended the contest without throwing a pick. On the ground, the Aggies conceded 124 yds on 22 tries, which averages out to 5.6 yds per run allowed. New Mexico State surrendered 25 pass completions on 37 tries for a total of 359 yds, and a completion percentage of 67.6%. In the game, they tallied 88 plays which gave them a total of 561 yds. The New Mexico State Aggies rushed the ball a total of 51 different times and accrued 329 yds, earning them an average of 6.5 yds per carry.

The Aggies earned 4,333 total yards over the course of last year. They surrendered the ball 28 times. New Mexico State totaled 16 touchdowns via the pass and 16 rushing touchdowns. New Mexico State accumulated 227 1st downs offensively, and they were flagged for 68 penalties for 604 yards. As a team they maintained an average of 143.5 yds via the ground game, which was 83rd in college football. Regarding putting points on the board, the New Mexico State Aggies were sitting at 21.7 points per game.

Concerning yards via the pass, the Aggies conceded 2,650 yards which had them ranked 111th in the nation. In their 12 games played, they yielded 220.8 yards per contest through the air and surrendering a completion percentage of 60.6%. They gave up 480.2 yards/contest which had them ranked 132nd in the country. They gave up 22 throwing touchdowns and 35 rushing touchdowns. They allowed an average of 6.1 yards per rushing attempt and 259.4 rushing yards per game last year. For the year, they allowed 3,113 rushing yards through 12 outings. The Aggies were ranked 137th in D-1 regarding their opponents scoring, conceding 41.0 PPG.

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The Aztecs ended the season holding a 4-4 record. When they last stepped on the gridiron, the Aztecs walked away with a loss by a score of 28-14 when they faced the BYU Cougars. Kaegun Williams carried the football 17 times for 92 yards, walking away from the game with 5.4 yds per attempt for San Diego State. Jordon Brookshire (1 touchdown) finished the contest with 230 yards on 21/31 through the air while his QB rating was 134.3. He threw 1 interception and his Y/A was 7.4. San Diego State gave up 19 rush attempts for 83 yards (4.4 yds per rush). The Aztecs passing defense allowed a completion percentage of 74.3%, surrendering 303 yards on 26 out of 35 passing. The Aztecs finished the contest with 412 yds and they ran 77 plays (5.4 yards per play). San Diego State rushed for 4.0 yards per tote, finishing with 182 yds on 46 attempts.

The San Diego State Aztecs had an average of 350.8 yards per game which had them ranked 99th in college football. They threw 5 interceptions while allowing opponents to recover 6 fumbles and they tallied 152 first downs. They maintained an average of 199.4 yards per game via the ground game and toted the ball for 1,595 yards in total. The San Diego State offense totaled 339 yards of penalties on 38 infractions, which was 100th in D-1 in terms of helping out the opposition. Last season, the Aztecs racked up 1,211 yards via the pass as well as averaging 151.4 throwing yards per game, which had them ranked 118th in D-1. When it comes to this team's ability to score points, the Aztecs had a ranking of 93rd in the nation holding an average of 24.6 points per game.

San Diego State allowed a total of 782 yards via the ground game (97.8 yards per outing) as well as 5 touchdowns via the rush last year. They totaled 5 fumbles and 8 picks in the previous season. They allowed the opposition 11 touchdowns from the passing game in addition to 186.1 yards/outing, ranking them 26th in D-1. The Aztecs defense took the field for 518 plays, which was good for 56th in college football. Over the course of the season, they allowed 142 total points. The Aztecs relinquished 17.8 points per game, which had them in 23rd in college football.

Who will win tonight's Aggies/Aztecs college football game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Aztecs -30

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