New Mexico State Aggies vs New Mexico Lobos Prediction, 9/11/2021 College Football Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: New Mexico State Aggies vs New Mexico Lobos

Date: Saturday, September 11, 2021

Location: Dreamstyle Stadium in Albuquerque, NM

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Lobos (-18.5)

Total/Over-Under: 54

The New Mexico State Aggies (0-2) are headed to Dreamstyle Stadium on Saturday where they will go up against the New Mexico Lobos (1-0). New Mexico State opens this game as 18.5-point dogs. The betting total comes in at 54.

The New Mexico State Aggies step onto the field holding a record of 0-2 this season. In their last contest, the Aggies played against the San Diego State Aztecs and took a loss by a score of 28-10. Jonah Johnson connected on 34/56 with 326 yards passing and 1 TD. He had a QB rating of 104.8 and finished the contest with 3 interceptions. Juwuan Price was the leader on the ground for the Aggies with 8 totes for 20 yds (2.5 yds per attempt). The New Mexico State Aggies ran the football 26 different times and accrued 48 yds, which earned them an average of 1.8 yards per carry. Overall, they tallied 82 plays which gave them a total of 374 yards. New Mexico State relinquished 7 pass completions on 20 tries for a total of 115 yds, and a completion rate of 35.0%. In the running game, the Aggies gave up 248 yards on 42 tries, which averages out to 5.9 yds per rush surrendered.

Concerning putting the ball in the endzone, the New Mexico State Aggies are averaging 6.5 points per contest. Offensively they're maintaining an average of 74.5 yards in the run game which is 112th in Division 1. The Aggies have attained 564 total yards for the season. With reference to scoring touchdowns, New Mexico State has amassed 1 touchdown through the air and 0 rushing touchdowns. New Mexico State has tallied 41 1st downs offensively, and they have committed 14 penalties for 131 yds.

Regarding yards through the air, the Aggies have conceded 364 yds which has them ranked 129th in college football. They have surrendered 182.0 yards per contest through the air and giving up a completion percentage of 45.0%. Overall, they are granting 407.5 yards/outing ranking them 102nd in the nation. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 5.4 yards per tote and 225.5 rushing yards per game for the year. During the season, they have given up 451 yards on the ground through 2 games. The Aggies are ranked 97th in Division 1 in terms of the opposition scoring, conceding 29.0 PPG.

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The Lobos come into this matchup with a record of 1-0 for this season. When they last stepped on the gridiron, the Lobos went home victorious with a score of 27-17 when they faced the Houston Baptist Huskies. Terry Wilson (3 touchdowns) ended the game with 174 yards on 20/26 through the air while his QB rate was 171.2. He didn't throw any interceptions and his average yards per attempt was 6.7. Aaron Dumas carried the ball 15 times for 57 yds, finishing the game with 3.8 yds per carry for New Mexico. New Mexico ran the ball for 3.2 yards per tote, totaling 129 yards on 40 carries. The Lobos finished the game with a total of 308 yards while running 67 plays (4.6 yds per play). The Lobos passing defense conceded a completion rate of 57.4%, surrendering 196 yards on 27 for 47 through the air. New Mexico gave up 23 attempts on the ground for -9 yds (-0.4 yds per carry).

Regarding their scoring prowess, the Lobos sit 76th in D-1 maintaining an average of 27.0 points per game. Over the course of the season thus far, the Lobos currently sit at 179 passing yards, which is ranked 92nd in Division 1. The New Mexico Lobos have an average of 308.0 yards per contest, which ranks them 102nd in college football. The New Mexico offense has totaled 16 penalty yds on 3 violations, which ranks 113th in D-1 in terms of making mistakes.

The Lobos are surrendering 17.0 PPG, which has them 67th in the nation. New Mexico has conceded a total of -9 yards via the ground game. They have allowed 1 touchdown via the pass and 196.0 yards/game, ranking them 73rd in the nation. The Lobos defense has been on the field for 70 plays, which ranks them 91st in Division 1.

Who will win tonight's Aggies/Lobos college football game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Aggies +18.5

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