New Mexico State Aggies vs Nevada Wolf Pack Prediction, 10/9/2021 College Football Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: New Mexico State Aggies vs Nevada Wolf Pack

Date: Saturday, October 9, 2021

Location: Mackay Stadium in Reno, NV

TV: CBSSN

Odds/Point Spread: Wolf Pack (-33.5)

Total/Over-Under: 62.5

The New Mexico State Aggies (1-5) are headed to Mackay Stadium on Saturday where they will meet the Nevada Wolf Pack (3-1). Nevada opens this contest as 33.5-point favorites. The betting total is set at 62.5.

The New Mexico State Aggies come into this matchup with a record of 1-5 this season. In their last contest, the Aggies faced the San Jose State Spartans and ended up losing by a score of 37-31. O'Maury Samuels was the leader on the ground for the Aggies with 11 totes for 57 yds (5.2 yards per carry). Jonah Johnson connected on 30/44 with 300 yds through the air and 3 touchdowns. He had a QB rating of 143.4 and finished the game with 1 interception. When it came to the battle of the line of scrimmage, the Aggies conceded 212 yds on 34 attempts, which calculates to 6.2 yards per rush surrendered. New Mexico State relinquished 15 pass completions on 18 tries for 193 yards, and a completion percentage of 83.3%. In all, they had 68 plays which converted into 386 yards. The New Mexico State Aggies ran the ball 24 different times and tallied 86 yards, which had them averaging 3.6 yards per carry.

The Aggies have earned 2,123 total yards for the year. With reference to getting in the endzone, New Mexico State has amassed 10 touchdowns via the pass and 5 touchdowns via the ground. They have surrendered the ball 10 different times. New Mexico State has accounted for 129 1st downs as a unit, and they have been hurt by 37 infractions for 346 yards. As a team they average 95.2 yards via the ground game ranking this team at 118th in Division 1. When it comes to putting the ball in the endzone, the New Mexico State Aggies are sitting at 22.2 points per game.

The Aggies rank 127th in the nation when it comes to team defense, allowing 34.2 PPG. Opposing teams are running for an average of 5.1 yards per rush and 188.7 rushing yards per game so far this season. Overall, they have given up 1,132 running yards through 6 outings. When it comes to passing yards, the Aggies are giving up 1,567 yards which has them ranked 134th in college football. They are giving up 261.2 yards per contest through the air as well as giving up a completion percentage of 62.5%. Over the course of this year, they have allowed 449.8 yards per game which ranks them 125th in the country. They have granted 11 touchdowns by air and 12 touchdowns pounding the rock.

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The Wolf Pack come into this game with a record of 3-1 this season. In their last game, the Wolf Pack got the victory with a final of 41-31 when they played the Boise State Broncos. Carson Strong (1 TD) ended the contest with 263 yds on 25/37 through the air while his quarterback rate was 136.2. He didn't toss any picks and his average yards per pass attempt was 7.1. Toa Taua ran the ball 12 times for 124 yds, ending the game with 10.3 yards per carry for Nevada. Nevada rushed the ball for 4.3 yards per attempt, finishing with 130 yards on 30 attempts. The Wolf Pack finished the contest with 393 yds on 67 plays (5.9 yards per play). The Wolf Pack secondary gave up a completion rate of 70.8%, relinquishing 388 yards on 34 out of 48 passing. Nevada conceded 32 run attempts for 62 yards (1.9 yds per rush).

Regarding how much they score, the Wolf Pack are ranking 51st in the country scoring 32.3 points per game. For the season to this point, the Wolf Pack have compiled 1,322 passing yards in addition to holding an average of 330.5 passing yards per contest, which ranks 9th in Division 1. The Nevada Wolf Pack maintain an average of 420.8 yards/contest, which is good for 51st in the country. The Nevada offense has racked up 242 yards of penalties on 33 infractions, which ranks 48th in Division 1 in terms of hurting your team.

The Wolf Pack are relinquishing 24.0 PPG, which has them ranked 79th in college football. Nevada has allowed the opposition a total of 625 yards rushing (156.3 yards/game) and 5 touchdowns on the ground on the campaign. In total, they have allowed 96 points. They have surrendered 6 touchdowns from the passing game in addition to 209.0 yards/outing, which has them ranked 62nd in Division 1. The Wolf Pack defense has been on the field for 273 plays, which is 25th in Division 1.

Who will win tonight's Aggies/Wolf Pack college football game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Aggies +33.5

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