New Mexico Lobos vs San Diego State Aztecs Prediction, 10/9/2021 College Football Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: New Mexico Lobos vs San Diego State Aztecs

Date: Saturday, October 9, 2021

Location: Dignity Health Sports Park in Carson, CA

TV: FS1

Odds/Point Spread: Aztecs (-18)

Total/Over-Under: 43.5

Dignity Health Sports Park is where the San Diego State Aztecs (4-0) will try to defeat the New Mexico Lobos (2-3) on Saturday. New Mexico opens this contest as 18-point underdogs. The total has been set at 43.5.

The New Mexico Lobos come into this matchup with a record of 2-3 this season. The last time they stepped onto the field, the Lobos faced off with the Air Force Falcons and walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 38-10. Terry Wilson finished 14/23 with 179 yards passing and 1 touchdown. He had a quarterback rating of 131.9 and finished the contest with 1 interception. Bobby Cole was the rushing leader for the Lobos with 5 totes for 15 yards (3.0 yards per attempt). On the day, they tallied 43 plays which gave them a total of 226 yds. The New Mexico Lobos rushed the ball a total of 20 different times and compiled 47 yds, which is an average of 2.4 yards per attempt. When it came to the battle of the line of scrimmage, the Lobos conceded 408 yds on 73 tries, which is an average of 5.6 yds per run allowed. New Mexico gave up 1 completions on 2 tries for 33 yds, and a completion rate of 50.0%.

Regarding scoring points, the New Mexico Lobos are sitting at 16.8 points per contest. Offensively they're averaging 113.2 yards on the ground ranking them 110th in D-1. The Lobos have tallied 1,503 total yards for the year. When it comes to getting the ball in the endzone, New Mexico has earned 7 passing touchdowns and 2 touchdowns on the ground. New Mexico has amassed 85 1st downs as a team, and they have been called for 36 infractions for 289 yds. They have surrendered the football 7 different times.

The Lobos are ranked 93rd in the country concerning the opposition scoring, allowing 26.8 points per game. Opposing teams are running for an average of 3.8 yards per rush on the ground and 142.6 yards on the ground per game on the campaign. In total, they have allowed 713 yards via the running game in 5 outings. Concerning yards via the pass, the Lobos have given up 1,033 yds which has them ranked 67th in the nation. They are conceding 206.6 yards per outing via the pass and conceding a completion percentage of 51.3%. Overall, they have yielded 349.2 yards per outing putting them at 67th in Division 1. They have given up 7 touchdowns by air in addition to 7 touchdowns pounding the rock.

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The Aztecs come into this matchup with a record of 4-0 for this season. In their last game, the Aztecs got the victory with a final of 48-21 when they played the Towson Tigers. Lucas Johnson (1 TD) finished the contest with 149 yards on 16/25 through the air while his QB rate was 119.3. He threw 1 interception and his Y/A was 6.0. Jaylon Armstead carried the rock 13 times for 38 yds, ending the game with 2.9 yds per attempt for San Diego State. The Aztecs finished the game with a total of 450 yds while they ran 73 plays (6.2 yds per play). San Diego State ran the ball for 6.0 yds per attempt, finishing with a total of 281 yards on 47 carries. San Diego State gave up 20 running attempts for 15 yards (0.8 yards per rush). The Aztecs passing defense conceded a completion percentage of 52.8%, surrendering 213 yds on 19 out of 36 passing.

The San Diego State Aztecs hold an average of 378.8 yards/contest, which ranks them 78th in college football. The San Diego State offense has 247 penalty yards on 26 infractions, which is good for 100th in D-1 in terms of making mistakes. During the season so far, the Aztecs have racked up 511 yards through the air along with holding an average of 127.8 throwing yards per contest, which has them ranked 125th in the country. In relation to the points being put on the board, the Aztecs currently rank 23rd in D-1 averaging 36.8 points per game.

The Aztecs are conceding 19.0 PPG, which has them ranked 45th in college football. San Diego State has surrendered a total of 184 rushing yards (46.0 yards per game) and 0 touchdown via the rush on the season. In total, they have conceded 76 points in total. They have allowed 9 touchdowns via the pass and 243.8 yards/outing, which puts them in 100th in the nation. The Aztecs defense has taken the field for 283 plays, which ranks 30th in Division 1.

Who will win tonight's Lobos/Aztecs college football game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Aztecs -18

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