Nevada Wolf Pack vs San Diego State Aztecs Prediction, 11/13/2021 College Football Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Nevada Wolf Pack vs San Diego State Aztecs

Date: Saturday, November 13, 2021

Location: Dignity Health Sports Park in Carson, CA

TV: CBSSN

Odds/Point Spread: Aztecs (+3)

Total/Over-Under: 47

The San Diego State Aztecs (8-1) host the Nevada Wolf Pack (7-2) at Dignity Health Sports Park on Saturday. Nevada opens this game as 3-point favorites. The total is set at 47.

The Nevada Wolf Pack head into this matchup 7-2 for this year. In their last matchup, the Wolf Pack took the field against the San Jose State Spartans and notched a win by a score of 27-24. Toa Taua led the offense in rushing for the Wolf Pack with 16 attempts for 57 yards (3.6 yds per carry). Carson Strong went 36/54 with 314 yds passing and 1 TD. He had a quarterback rating of 114.2 and ended the contest with 2 picks. Against the run, the Wolf Pack gave up 164 yards on 27 tries, which is 6.1 yds per run surrendered. Nevada conceded 25 completions on 49 attempts for a total of 288 yds, and a completion percentage of 51.0%. On the day, they ran 85 plays for 367 yds. The Nevada Wolf Pack ended up rushing 30 times and amassed 53 yds, which earned them an average of 1.8 yds per carry.

The Wolf Pack have earned 3,654 yards in total this season. When it comes to distribution of touchdowns, Nevada has totaled 25 touchdowns through the air and 7 rushing touchdowns. They have surrendered the football 7 times. Nevada has amassed 184 first downs offensively, and they have been hurt by 64 penalties for 539 yards. As a unit they average 64.6 yards on the ground which ranks them 129th in D-1. When it comes to getting in the endzone, the Nevada Wolf Pack are sitting at 36.4 points per outing.

The Wolf Pack are ranked 73rd in the nation regarding team defense, allowing 24.3 points per game. They are giving up 4.0 yards per rushing attempt and 117.2 rushing yards per game for the year. Overall, they have given up 1,055 rushing yards through 9 games. Concerning passing yardage, the Wolf Pack are allowing 2,005 yds which puts them in 69th in college football. They have given up 222.8 yards per game via the pass and allowed a completion percentage of 64.5%. In total, they have surrendered 340.0 yards/outing which ranks them 45th in D-1. They have relinquished 13 touchdowns via the pass in addition to 11 touchdowns on the ground.

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The Aztecs come into this matchup with a record of 8-1 for this year. The last time they took the field, the Aztecs went home victorious with a score of 17-10 when they faced the Hawaii Warriors. Lucas Johnson walked away from the game with 99 yards on 12/16 through the air while his QB rating was 127. He didn't throw any interceptions and his average yards per pass attempt was 6.2. Greg Bell carried the football 24 times for 77 yds, ending the game with 3.2 yds per attempt for San Diego State. San Diego State ran the football for 3.1 yards per attempt, finishing with a total of 129 yds on 42 attempts. The Aztecs finished the contest with a total of 228 yards and they ran 58 plays (3.9 yards per play). The Aztecs passing defense conceded a completion percentage of 55.9%, relinquishing 175 yds on 19 for 34 passing. San Diego State allowed 30 attempts on the ground for 85 yards (2.8 yds per rush).

Regarding their scoring prowess, the Aztecs are ranking 70th in Division 1 scoring 28.2 PPG. During this campaign to this point, the Aztecs currently have a total of 1,133 yards through the air as well as holding an average of 125.9 passing yards per game, which ranks 127th in the nation. The San Diego State Aztecs are averaging 303.8 yards per game, which has them ranked 121st in Division 1. The San Diego State offense has totaled 494 yds of penalties on 55 infractions, which is good for 70th in Division 1 in terms of making mistakes.

San Diego State has allowed a total of 738 yards rushing (82.0 yards/game) and 4 touchdowns rushing on the season. They have conceded 11 touchdowns through the air and 189.2 yards per outing, which puts them in 32nd in D-1. The Aztecs defense has taken the field for 561 plays, which has them sitting 31st in D-1. The Aztecs are relinquishing 16.7 points per game, which puts them 23rd in the nation. This season, they have conceded 150 points in total.

Who will win tonight's Wolf Pack/Aztecs college football game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Wolf Pack -3

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