MTSU Blue Raiders vs Western Kentucky Hilltoppers Prediction, 11/6/2021 College Football Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: MTSU Blue Raiders vs Western Kentucky Hilltoppers

Date: Saturday, November 6, 2021

Location: L.T. Smith Stadium in Bowling Green, KY

TV: Stadium

Odds/Point Spread: Hilltoppers (-14)

Total/Over-Under: 70.5

L.T. Smith Stadium is the location where the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (4-4) will meet the MTSU Blue Raiders (4-4) on Saturday. Western Kentucky opens as 14-point favorites from Vegas oddsmakers. The over/under is set at 70.5.

The MTSU Blue Raiders come into this game with a record of 4-4 this season. In their last contest, the Blue Raiders faced the Southern Miss Golden Eagles and notched a win by a score of 35-10. Mike Diliello connected on 8/12 with 78 yds through the air. He had a QB rate of 121.3 and ended the contest without throwing a pick. Mike Diliello was the rushing leader for the Blue Raiders with 11 totes for 77 yds (7.0 yds per carry). The MTSU Blue Raiders ran the ball 35 different times and accounted for 145 yards, which had them averaging 4.1 yards per tote. Overall, they ran 56 plays which converted into 287 yards. MTSU surrendered 18 completions on 41 attempts for 184 yards, and a completion rate of 43.9%. On the ground, the Blue Raiders gave up 51 yards on 40 attempts, which averages out to 1.3 yards per run surrendered.

In terms of putting the ball in the endzone, the MTSU Blue Raiders hold an average of 30.3 PPG. Offensively they're averaging 104.6 yards in the run game which is 120th in Division 1. The Blue Raiders currently have 2,733 total yards for this campaign. When it comes to scoring, MTSU has totaled 20 touchdowns via the pass and 7 touchdowns via the ground. MTSU has earned 149 first downs offensively, and they have committed 55 penalties for 485 yards. They have given the ball to the opposition 11 different times.

The Blue Raiders rank 82nd in D-1 when it comes to the opposition scoring, allowing 26.4 points per game. They are allowing 4.1 yards per run and 154.6 rushing yards per contest for the year. During this campaign, they have conceded 1,237 yards on the ground through 8 outings. In terms of yards via the pass, the Blue Raiders are conceding 1,925 yds which has them ranked 92nd in Division 1. They have allowed 240.6 yards per outing through the air in addition to conceding a completion percentage of 59.5%. In total, they are allowing 395.3 yards per outing ranking them 88th in D-1. They have given up 13 touchdowns through the air as well as 13 touchdowns via the ground game.

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The Hilltoppers head into this game 4-4 this season. In their last game, the Hilltoppers got the win with a final of 45-13 when they played the Charlotte 49ers. Bailey Zappe (4 touchdowns) ended the game with 393 yds on 33/46 through the air while his quarterback rating was 163.5. He had 2 picks and his average yards per pass attempt was 8.5. Noah Whittington ran the ball 10 times for 66 yds, ending the game with 6.6 yds per carry for Western Kentucky. The Hilltoppers finished the game with 469 yds while running 67 plays (7.0 yds per play). Western Kentucky ran the ball for 3.6 yards per attempt, finishing the game with 76 yds on 21 attempts. Western Kentucky relinquished 44 running attempts for 201 yards (4.6 yards per carry). The Hilltoppers secondary allowed a completion rate of 52.0%, relinquishing 118 yds on 13 for 25 passing.

The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers hold an average of 533.6 yards/contest, which ranks them 3rd in D-1. The Western Kentucky offense has 452 yards of penalties on 58 violations, which ranks 28th in the country in terms of making mistakes. For the year to this point, the Hilltoppers have earned 3,461 passing yards in addition to an average of 432.6 passing yards per game, putting them at 1st in D-1. Regarding the points being put on the board, the Hilltoppers currently rank 8th in D-1 holding an average of 40.5 points per outing.

The Hilltoppers are relinquishing 30.5 PPG, ranking them 110th in Division 1. Western Kentucky has allowed a total of 1,406 yards via the ground game (175.8 yards per game) in addition to 18 touchdowns rushing on the year. In total, they have surrendered 244 points. They have surrendered 11 touchdowns via the pass in addition to 256.4 yards/outing, which has them sitting 116th in the country. The Hilltoppers defense has participated in 607 plays, which is good for 122nd in the country.

Who will win tonight's Blue Raiders/Hilltoppers college football game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Blue Raiders +14

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