MTSU Blue Raiders vs Liberty Flames Prediction, 10/9/2021 College Football Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: MTSU Blue Raiders vs Liberty Flames

Date: Saturday, October 9, 2021

Location: Williams Stadium in Lynchburg, VA

TV: ESPN3

Odds/Point Spread: Flames (-18.5)

Total/Over-Under: 58.5

The Liberty Flames (4-1) are welcoming the MTSU Blue Raiders (2-3) at Williams Stadium on Saturday. Liberty opens as 18.5-point favorites. The betting total is set at 58.5.

The MTSU Blue Raiders come into this matchup with a record of 2-3 this season. In their last matchup, the Blue Raiders faced the Marshall Thundering Herd and went home with a win by a final score of 34-28. Chase Cunningham connected on 12/21 with 105 yards passing and 2 TDs. He had a QB rate of 121.0 and ended the game with 1 interception. Chaton Mobley was the rushing leader for the Blue Raiders with 15 totes for 132 yds (8.8 yards per attempt). When the final whistle blew, they tallied 70 plays which converted into 314 yards. The MTSU Blue Raiders ended up running the ball 49 times and totaled 209 yards, which had them averaging 4.3 yds per attempt. On the ground, the Blue Raiders conceded 172 yds on 35 tries, which calculates to 4.9 yds per run surrendered. MTSU gave up 31 completions on 47 attempts for 321 yds, and a completion percentage of 66.0%.

Concerning scoring points, the MTSU Blue Raiders hold an average of 30.0 points per game. As a team they are averaging 100.4 yards on the ground ranking them 117th in the nation. The Blue Raiders currently have 1,708 total yards this season. When it comes to getting the ball in the endzone, MTSU has earned 14 passing touchdowns and 4 touchdowns on the ground. MTSU has tallied 91 first downs, and they have committed 35 penalties for 302 yds. They have turned the ball over 5 times.

The Blue Raiders rank 108th in the country concerning the opposition scoring, allowing 29.4 points per contest. They are giving up an average of 4.6 yards per running attempt and 178.4 yards on the ground per game this season. Over the course of this year, they have conceded 892 running yards through 5 outings. When talking about yards via the pass, the Blue Raiders have conceded 1,282 yards which has them ranked 117th in the country. They have conceded 256.4 yards per contest via the pass as well as giving up a completion percentage of 63.6%. In total, they are giving up 434.8 yards per outing ranking them 118th in Division 1. They have allowed 9 touchdowns via the pass and 10 touchdowns via the ground game.

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The Flames come into this matchup with a record of 4-1 for this season. The last time they took the gridiron, the Flames went home victorious with a score of 36-12 when they played the UAB Blazers. Malik Willis (1 touchdown) ended the game with 287 yards on 13/19 through the air while his quarterback rate was 212.7. He didn't throw any interceptions and his average yards per attempt was 15.1. Malik Willis carried the football 15 times for 144 yards, finishing the contest with 9.6 yards per attempt for Liberty. The Flames finished the game with a total of 544 yds while running 60 plays (9.1 yds per play). Liberty ran for 5.5 yds per attempt, finishing with a total of 213 yards on 39 carries. Liberty relinquished 36 rushing attempts for 173 yards (4.8 yards per rush). The Flames pass defense allowed a completion percentage of 46.2%, surrendering 152 yards on 12 for 26 passing.

Regarding their ability to score points, the Flames currently sit 39th in the country with 34.2 PPG. During this campaign to this point, the Flames have thrown for a total of 1,265 yards via the pass in addition to holding an average of 253.0 passing yards per game, which has them ranked 51st in Division 1. The Liberty Flames maintain an average of 442.8 yards per game, which ranks them 34th in D-1. The Liberty offense has racked up 347 penalty yards on 38 infractions, which has them ranked 18th in the country in terms of helping out the other team.

Liberty has conceded a total of 575 rushing yards (115.0 yards/game) in addition to 6 touchdowns rushing for the season. They have conceded 3 touchdowns via the pass as well as 151.4 yards per contest, which has them ranked 22nd in D-1. The Flames defense has been on the field for 302 plays, which ranks 41st in Division 1. The Flames are allowing 14.6 PPG, which puts them 21st in D-1. This season, they have surrendered 73 points in total.

Who will win tonight's Blue Raiders/Flames college football game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Flames -18.5

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