Mississippi State Bulldogs vs Vanderbilt Commodores Prediction, 10/23/2021 College Football Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Mississippi State Bulldogs vs Vanderbilt Commodores

Date: Saturday, October 23, 2021

Location: Vanderbilt Stadium in Nashville, TN

TV: SECN

Odds/Point Spread: Commodores (+21)

Total/Over-Under: 51

The Vanderbilt Commodores (2-5) will try to defeat the Mississippi State Bulldogs (3-3) at Vanderbilt Stadium on Saturday. Vanderbilt opens this game as 21-point underdogs from Vegas oddsmakers. The total has been set at 51.

The Mississippi State Bulldogs step onto the field holding a record of 3-3 for this year. In their last matchup, the Bulldogs took the field against the Alabama Crimson Tide and took a loss by a final of 49-9. Will Rogers finished 35/55 with 300 yards through the air. He had a quarterback rating of 98.5 and ended the game with 3 picks. Dillon Johnson led the offense in rushing for the Bulldogs with 7 carries for 24 yds (3.4 yds per attempt). In all, they had 74 plays which converted into 299 yards. The Mississippi State Bulldogs ended up running the ball 19 different times and accrued -1 yards, which came out to an average of -0.1 yds per attempt. Against the rush, the Bulldogs gave up 195 yards on 41 tries, which is an average of 4.8 yards per rush allowed. Mississippi State conceded 20 completions on 28 attempts for 348 yds, and a completion rate of 71.4%.

The Bulldogs have tallied 2,442 total yards for the year. In terms of notching touchdowns, Mississippi State has earned 14 touchdowns via the pass and 3 rushing touchdowns. They have given the ball to the opposition 10 times. Mississippi State has earned 144 first downs as an offense, and they have been flagged for 49 penalties for 345 yds. As a team they're averaging 46.7 yards via the ground game which is 130th in the nation. When it comes to scoring points, the Mississippi State Bulldogs have an average of 24.7 points per game.

The Bulldogs rank 101st in the country regarding team defense, allowing 29.0 points per contest. They are giving up an average of 3.7 yards per tote and 107.0 rushing yards per contest for the campaign. For the season, they have conceded 642 running yards through 6 games. Concerning passing yardage, the Bulldogs are giving up 1,493 yards which has them sitting in 91st in the nation. They are conceding 248.8 yards per outing through the air as well as allowing a completion percentage of 60.7%. In total, they have surrendered 355.8 yards per contest ranking them 65th in the country. They have relinquished 14 touchdowns via the pass as well as 4 touchdowns on the ground.

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The Commodores come into this matchup with a record of 2-5 for this year. The last time they took the gridiron, the Commodores took a loss by a final score of 21-20 against the South Carolina Gamecocks. Mike Wright (1 TD) ended the contest with 206 yds on 11/21 passing while his QB rating was 141.0. He threw 1 interception and his average yards per attempt was 9.8. Rocko Griffin carried the ball 18 times for 57 yds, finishing the game with 3.2 yards per attempt for Vanderbilt. Vanderbilt ran the ball for 2.7 yards per carry, finishing the game with 106 yds on 39 carries. The Commodores finished the contest with a total of 312 yards and they ran 60 plays (5.2 yards per play). The Commodores passing defense gave up a completion percentage of 62.9%, relinquishing 317 yards on 22 out of 35 passing. Vanderbilt conceded 32 running attempts for 117 yards (3.7 yards per rush).

Regarding the points being put on the board, the Commodores sit 127th in Division 1 holding an average of 14.3 PPG. During the season to this point, the Commodores have compiled 1,387 yards through the air as well as an average of 198.1 passing yards per outing, ranking them 98th in the country. The Vanderbilt Commodores are averaging 310.9 yards per outing, ranking them 120th in Division 1. The Vanderbilt offense has compiled 357 penalty yards on 39 violations, which is 71st in D-1 in terms of helping out the other team.

Vanderbilt has surrendered a total of 1,324 rushing yards (189.1 yards/game) and 12 touchdowns via the rush for the season. They have conceded 17 touchdowns through the air in addition to 261.1 yards/outing, which has them in 118th in D-1. The Commodores defense has been on the field for 468 plays, which ranks them 106th in D-1. The Commodores are conceding 34.0 PPG, ranking them 124th in D-1. In total, they have relinquished 238 points.

Who will win tonight's Bulldogs/Commodores college football game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Commodores +21

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