Michigan Wolverines vs Wisconsin Badgers Prediction, 10/2/2021 College Football Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Michigan Wolverines vs Wisconsin Badgers

Date: Saturday, October 2, 2021

Location: Camp Randall Stadium in Madison, WI

TV: FOX

Odds/Point Spread: Badgers (-4.5)

Total/Over-Under: 43.5

The Wisconsin Badgers (1-2) will try to beat the Michigan Wolverines (4-0) at Camp Randall Stadium on Saturday. Michigan opens this game as 4.5-point dogs from oddsmakers. The total comes in at 43.5.

The Michigan Wolverines head into this matchup 4-0 for this year. In their last contest, the Wolverines faced off with the Rutgers Scarlet Knights and walked away with a win by a score of 20-13. Cade McNamara went 9/16 with 163 yards passing. He had a QB rating of 141.8 and walked away from the game without throwing an interception. Blake Corum led the offense in rushing for the Wolverines with 21 attempts for 68 yds (3.2 yds per carry). The Michigan Wolverines ran the football 38 times and amassed 112 yds, which is an average of 2.9 yds per attempt. At the end of the game, they had 54 plays which gave them 275 yds. Michigan relinquished 18 completions on 31 attempts for a total of 156 yds, and a completion percentage of 58.1%. Against the run, the Wolverines conceded 196 yards on 42 tries, which calculates to 4.7 yds per run surrendered.

Regarding putting points on the board, the Michigan Wolverines are averaging 40.3 points per game. As a team they're averaging 290.8 yards in the run game which ranks them 5th in college football. The Wolverines have racked up 1,819 yards in total over the course of this year. In terms of distribution of touchdowns, Michigan has totaled 4 touchdowns through the air and 17 touchdowns on the ground. Michigan has amassed 85 1st downs, and they have been flagged for 22 penalties for 212 yards. They have yet to turn the ball over.

In terms of passing yardage, the Wolverines have given up 686 yds which has them ranked 41st in Division 1. They have allowed 171.5 yards per outing through the air as well as allowing a completion percentage of 55.1%. During this campaign, they are allowing 303.3 yards/contest which ranks them 44th in the country. They have conceded 4 touchdowns via the pass in addition to 1 touchdown via the ground game. They are allowing an average of 3.7 yards per tote and 131.8 yards on the ground per game for the season. In total, they have allowed 527 rushing yards through 4 outings. The Wolverines rank 16th in D-1 when it comes to the opposition scoring, giving up 11.8 points per contest.

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The Badgers come into this game with a record of 1-2 this season. When they last stepped on the field, the Badgers took a defeat with a final score of 41-13 when they faced the Notre Dame Fighting Irish. Graham Mertz (1 touchdown) walked away from the contest with 240 yds on 18/41 through the air while his QB rating was 81.6. He had 4 interceptions and his average yards per pass attempt was 5.9. Chez Mellusi carried the rock 18 times for 54 yds, finishing the game with 3.0 yards per carry for Wisconsin. The Badgers ended up finishing with 314 yds and they ran 69 plays (4.6 yards per play). Wisconsin ended up running for 2.6 yards per tote, finishing the contest with 74 yards on 28 attempts. Wisconsin surrendered 32 rush attempts for 3 yds (0.1 yards per carry). The Badgers pass defense conceded a completion percentage of 56.8%, surrendering 239 yards on 21 for 37 through the air.

The Wisconsin Badgers are averaging 397.0 yards per outing, which is good for 68th in college football. The Wisconsin offense has racked up 135 penalty yds on 19 violations, ranking them 112th in the nation in terms of hurting your team. For the season thus far, the Badgers have thrown for 591 passing yards along with holding an average of 197.0 passing yards per game, which ranks 93rd in D-1. When discussing the points being put on the board, the Badgers are 114th in Division 1 by tallying 19.0 points per contest.

Wisconsin has given up a total of 69 yards on the ground (23.0 yards per game) and 1 touchdown on the ground for the campaign. They have conceded 3 touchdowns via the pass as well as 187.3 yards per outing, which has them ranked 50th in the country. The Badgers defense has been on the field for 158 plays, which ranks 13th in college football. The Badgers are giving up 21.3 points per game, which has them 68th in D-1. This year, they have conceded 64 points in total.

Who will win tonight's Wolverines/Badgers college football game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Badgers -4.5

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