Michigan State Spartans vs Purdue Boilermakers Prediction, 11/6/2021 College Football Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Michigan State Spartans vs Purdue Boilermakers

Date: Saturday, November 6, 2021

Location: Ross-Ade Stadium in West Lafayette, IN

TV: ABC

Odds/Point Spread: Boilermakers (+3)

Total/Over-Under: 52

Ross-Ade Stadium is the location where the Purdue Boilermakers (5-3) will attempt to defeat the Michigan State Spartans (8-0) on Saturday. Michigan State opens this matchup as 3-point favorites. The total has been set at 52.

The Michigan State Spartans head into this matchup 8-0 for this season. The last time they stepped onto the field, the Spartans played the Michigan Wolverines and took home the win by a score of 37-33. Kenneth Walker III was the rushing leader for the Spartans with 23 carries for 197 yards (8.6 yards per carry). Payton Thorne finished 19/30 with 196 yds through the air. He had a quarterback rate of 104.9 and finished the contest with 2 interceptions. Against the run, the Spartans gave up 146 yds on 34 attempts, which is an average of 4.3 yards per rush surrendered. Michigan State gave up 31 completions on 48 tries for 406 yds, and a completion rate of 64.6%. At the end of the game, they had 63 plays which gave them 401 yds. The Michigan State Spartans rushed the ball a total of 33 different times and had 205 yards, which earned them an average of 6.2 yards per tote.

Regarding scoring points, the Michigan State Spartans hold an average of 34.6 PPG. As a unit they're averaging 202.5 yards in the run game which is 30th in college football. The Spartans have earned 3,575 total yards this season. When it comes to getting in the endzone, Michigan State has amassed 15 touchdowns through the air and 17 touchdowns on the ground. Michigan State has a total of 163 first downs, and they have been called for 60 penalties for 567 yards. They have turned the football over 9 times.

In terms of yards through the air, the Spartans have conceded 2,408 yards which ranks them 136th in the country. They have allowed 301.0 yards per contest via the pass and allowed a completion percentage of 62.6%. For the year, they have relinquished 424.4 yards/outing putting them at 115th in D-1. They have relinquished 12 touchdowns by air as well as 5 touchdowns on the ground. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 3.4 yards per tote and 123.4 yards on the ground per game for the year. In total, they have allowed 987 rushing yards through 8 games. The Spartans rank 42nd in the country in terms of team defense, allowing 20.5 points per game.

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The Boilermakers come into this game with a record of 5-3 for this season. When they last played, the Boilermakers walked away with a victory by a final of 28-23 against the Nebraska Cornhuskers. Aidan O'Connell (2 TDs) finished the game with 233 yds on 34/45 through the air while his quarterback rate was 133.7. He didn't throw any picks and his Y/A was 5.2. King Doerue carried the ball 17 times for 74 yards, walking away from the game with 4.4 yds per carry for Purdue. Purdue rushed the football for 3.2 yds per carry, finishing with 120 yds on 38 carries. The Boilermakers finished the contest with a total of 353 yds while they ran 83 plays (4.3 yards per play). The Boilermakers passing defense conceded a completion percentage of 48.3%, surrendering 269 yards on 14 for 29 passing. Purdue gave up 29 attempts on the ground for 130 yards (4.5 yards per carry).

The Purdue Boilermakers hold an average of 387.6 yards per game, which ranks them 77th in the nation. The Purdue offense has totaled 300 penalty yds on 32 violations, which is 125th in the country in terms of making mistakes. For the season to this point, the Boilermakers have compiled 2,457 passing yards as well as an average of 307.1 passing yards per outing, putting them at 16th in college football. Concerning their ability to score points, the Boilermakers are sitting 103rd in the nation with an average of 22.9 PPG.

The Boilermakers are giving up 17.1 points per game, which has them sitting 23rd in the country. Purdue has allowed a total of 1,133 rushing yards (141.6 yards/game) as well as 10 touchdowns rushing on the season. Over the course of the season, they have relinquished 137 pts. They have yielded 5 touchdowns from the passing game in addition to 174.0 yards/outing, which has them ranked 22nd in the nation. The Boilermakers defense has participated in 482 plays, which has them ranked 23rd in Division 1.

Who will win tonight's Spartans/Boilermakers college football game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Spartans -3

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