Michigan State Spartans vs Indiana Hoosiers Prediction, 10/16/2021 College Football Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Michigan State Spartans vs Indiana Hoosiers

Date: Saturday, October 16, 2021

Location: Memorial Stadium in Champaign, IL

TV: FS1

Odds/Point Spread: Hoosiers (+4.5)

Total/Over-Under: 51.5

The Indiana Hoosiers (2-3) host the Michigan State Spartans (6-0) at Memorial Stadium on Saturday. Michigan State opens this game as 4.5-point favorites. The over/under is set at 51.5.

The Michigan State Spartans come into this game with a record of 6-0 this season. In their last contest, the Spartans faced the Rutgers Scarlet Knights and walked away with a win by a score of 31-13. Kenneth Walker III was the rushing leader for the Spartans with 29 totes for 233 yards (8.0 yards per attempt). Payton Thorne connected on 16/27 with 339 yards passing and 3 TDs. He had a quarterback rating of 194.0 and finished the game with 1 pick. Against the rush, the Spartans conceded 111 yds on 36 tries, which is an average of 3.1 yds per run surrendered. Michigan State surrendered 22 completions on 41 attempts for 266 yards, and a completion percentage of 53.7%. In all, they had 63 plays for 600 yards. The Michigan State Spartans ran the rock 36 different times and accounted for 261 yards, earning them an average of 7.3 yards per carry.

The Spartans have earned 2,933 total yards this season. When it comes to notching touchdowns, Michigan State has totaled 14 touchdowns through the air and 12 rushing touchdowns. They have turned the football over 5 times. Michigan State has recorded 129 first downs as an offense, and they have been hurt by 41 penalties for 358 yards. As a unit they average 219.2 yards via the ground game giving them a rank of 22nd in Division 1. In terms of putting points on the board, the Michigan State Spartans have an average of 36.7 PPG.

When it comes to passing yards, the Spartans are allowing 1,814 yards which puts them in 136th in the nation. They have surrendered 302.3 yards per outing via the pass as well as allowing a completion percentage of 63.9%. Overall, they are giving up 420.2 yards/game putting them 106th in Division 1. They have conceded 9 touchdowns through the air and 4 touchdowns pounding the rock. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 3.3 yards per attempt on the ground and 117.8 rushing yards per contest for the campaign. Overall, they have allowed 707 rushing yards through 6 outings. The Spartans are ranked 39th in Division 1 concerning team defense, allowing 19.3 points per game.

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The Hoosiers come into this matchup with a record of 2-3 for this year. When they last stepped on the field, the Hoosiers took a defeat with a final score of 24-0 when they played the Penn State Nittany Lions. Michael Penix Jr. finished the game with 118 yds on 10/22 passing while his QB rate was 81.4. He had 1 pick and his average yards per attempt was 5.4. Stephen Carr carried the rock 15 times for 50 yards, walking away from the game with 3.3 yards per attempt for Indiana. Indiana rushed the ball for 2.9 yards per attempt, finishing the game with 69 yds on 24 carries. The Hoosiers finished the contest with a total of 264 yds and they ran 58 plays (4.6 yards per play). The Hoosiers passing defense conceded a completion percentage of 52.9%, relinquishing 199 yards on 18 for 34 passing. Indiana allowed 42 rush attempts for 209 yds (5.0 yards per rush).

When discussing their scoring prowess, the Hoosiers currently rank 99th in D-1 by scoring 23.8 points per game. During the season thus far, the Hoosiers have thrown for 1,107 yards via the pass as well as an average of 221.4 passing yards per game, giving them a rank of 78th in college football. The Indiana Hoosiers average 343.6 yards per contest, which is good for 107th in college football. The Indiana offense has racked up 202 penalty yds on 24 infractions, which ranks them 121st in college football in terms of making mistakes.

Indiana has allowed the opposition a total of 643 yards via the ground game (128.6 yards per game) as well as 6 touchdowns rushing for the year. They have conceded 9 touchdowns through the air and 223.0 yards/game, which has them sitting 72nd in Division 1. The Hoosiers defense has taken the field for 337 plays, ranking them 35th in college football. The Hoosiers are allowing 28.2 PPG, which has them sitting 102nd in D-1. This season, they have conceded 141 total points.

Who will win tonight's Spartans/Hoosiers college football game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Spartans -4.5

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