Memphis Tigers vs Arkansas State Red Wolves Prediction, 9/11/2021 College Football Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Memphis Tigers vs Arkansas State Red Wolves

Date: Saturday, September 11, 2021

Location: Centennial Bank Stadium in Jonesboro, AR

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Red Wolves (+4.5)

Total/Over-Under: 65

Centennial Bank Stadium is the site where the Arkansas State Red Wolves (1-0) will compete against the Memphis Tigers (1-0) on Saturday. Memphis opens as 4.5-point favorites. The total comes in at 65.

The Memphis Tigers come into this matchup with a record of 1-0 for this season. The last time they stepped onto the field, the Tigers faced the Nicholls State Colonels and went home with a win by a final score of 42-17. Seth Henigan finished 19/32 with 265 yds passing and 1 TD. He had a QB rate of 139.3 and ended the game without throwing an interception. Brandon Thomas was the best rusher for the Tigers with 16 attempts for 147 yds (9.2 yds per attempt). Overall, they had 84 plays which gave them a total of 589 yds. The Memphis Tigers ended up rushing 52 different times and amassed 324 yds, which had them averaging 6.2 yards per attempt. Against the run, the Tigers conceded 102 yards on 27 tries, which averages out to 3.8 yards per rush surrendered. Memphis allowed 19 pass completions on 34 tries for 199 yards, and a completion percentage of 55.9%.

In terms of scoring, the Memphis Tigers have an average of 42.0 points per game. As a team they average 324.0 yards rushing which ranks them 10th in the nation. The Tigers have tallied 589 total yards this season. When it comes to notching touchdowns, Memphis has compiled 1 touchdown through the air and 3 touchdowns via the ground. Memphis has accumulated 32 1st downs, and they have been hurt by 6 infractions for 55 yds.

When talking about passing yards, the Tigers are allowing 199 yds which puts them in 70th in D-1. They have conceded 199.0 yards per outing through the air and allowed a completion percentage of 55.9%. Over the course of this year, they are allowing 301.0 yards per outing ranking them 57th in college football. They are allowing an average of 3.8 yards per rushing attempt and 102.0 rushing yards per game on the year. In total, they have allowed 102 yards via the ground game in 1 game. The Tigers sit in 65th in the country concerning team defense, giving up 17.0 points per contest.

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The Red Wolves step onto the field holding a record of 1-0 this year. When they last stepped on the field, the Red Wolves got the victory with a final of 40-21 when they played the Central Arkansas Bears. Alan Lamar carried the ball 18 times for 67 yards, finishing the contest with 3.7 yds per attempt for Arkansas State. James Blackman ended the game with 169 yds on 16/26 through the air while his QB rate was 116.1. He didn't throw any interceptions and his average yards per attempt was 6.5. Arkansas State gave up 20 rush attempts for 42 yards (2.1 yards per carry). The Red Wolves pass defense allowed a completion rate of 54.8%, relinquishing 296 yards on 23 for 42 through the air. The Red Wolves finished the contest with a total of 515 yards while running 76 plays (6.8 yds per play). Arkansas State ran the ball for 5.2 yds per carry, finishing the game with 196 yards on 38 attempts.

The Arkansas State Red Wolves maintain an average of 515.0 yards per contest, which has them sitting 22nd in college football. The Arkansas State offense has compiled 50 penalty yds on 6 violations, which ranks 63rd in the nation in terms of giving up free yards. During the season to this point, the Red Wolves have compiled 319 passing yards, which ranks 22nd in the nation. Regarding how much they score, the Red Wolves are ranked 33rd in D-1 by tallying 40.0 PPG.

Arkansas State has given up a total of 42 yards on the ground. They have given up 3 touchdowns through the air as well as 296.0 yards per outing, which has them sitting 118th in the country. The Red Wolves defense has been on the field for 62 plays, which is good for 53rd in the nation. The Red Wolves are relinquishing 21.0 PPG, which has them 76th in Division 1.

Who will win tonight's Tigers/Red Wolves college football game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Red Wolves +4.5

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