LSU Tigers vs Mississippi State Bulldogs Prediction, 9/25/2021 College Football Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: LSU Tigers vs Mississippi State Bulldogs

Date: Saturday, September 25, 2021

Location: Davis Wade Stadium in Starkville, MS

TV: ESPN

Odds/Point Spread: Bulldogs (+3.5)

Total/Over-Under: 57

The LSU Tigers (2-1) are on their way to Davis Wade Stadium on Saturday where they will attempt to defeat the Mississippi State Bulldogs (2-1). Mississippi State opens this contest as 3.5-point underdogs from Vegas oddsmakers. The total comes in at 57.

The LSU Tigers head into this matchup 2-1 for this year. In their last game, the Tigers faced the Central Michigan Chippewas and took home the win by a score of 49-21. Max Johnson finished 26/35 with 372 yds passing and 5 TDs. He had a quarterback rating of 205.0 and ended the contest with 1 interception. Corey Kiner was the rushing leader for the Tigers with 12 attempts for 74 yds (6.2 yds per carry). The LSU Tigers ran the ball 24 times and totaled 84 yards, earning them an average of 3.5 yards per tote. For the game, they tallied 63 plays for 484 yards. LSU gave up 25 pass completions on 39 attempts for 228 yds, and a completion rate of 64.1%. When it came to the battle of the line of scrimmage, the Tigers gave up 56 yards on 31 attempts, which calculates to 1.8 yds per rush allowed.

The Tigers have attained 1,168 total yards over the course of this year. When it comes to distribution of touchdowns, LSU has amassed 11 passing touchdowns and 2 rushing touchdowns. They have turned the football over 2 times. LSU has accounted for 64 first downs as an offense, and they have been hurt by 10 penalties for 92 yards. As a team they average 86.0 yards on the ground which is 120th in Division 1. Regarding scoring, the LSU Tigers are averaging 36.7 points per contest.

Regarding passing yards, the Tigers have given up 579 yards which has them ranked 60th in the country. They are conceding 193.0 yards per game via the pass and allowed a completion percentage of 58.8%. In total, they are surrendering 303.0 yards per game putting them at 49th in the country. Opposing teams are running for an average of 2.8 yards per attempt on the ground and 110.0 rushing yards per game on the year. In total, they have given up 330 yards on the ground through 3 contests. The Tigers are sitting in 77th in college football concerning the opposition scoring, allowing 22.0 PPG.

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The Bulldogs come into this matchup with a record of 2-1 for this season. When they last played, the Bulldogs took a loss by a final score of 31-29 when they faced the Memphis Tigers. Will Rogers (3 TDs) ended the contest with 419 yards on 50/67 passing while his QB rate was 141.9. He didn't throw any interceptions and his average yards per pass attempt was 6.3. Dillon Johnson carried the ball 7 times for 49 yds, ending the game with 7.0 yards per attempt for Mississippi State. The Bulldogs finished the contest with a total of 468 yds while running 83 plays (5.6 yards per play). Mississippi State rushed the ball for 3.1 yards per tote, totaling 49 yds on 16 attempts. Mississippi State allowed 25 attempts on the ground for 87 yds (3.5 yards per rush). The Bulldogs passing defense allowed a completion rate of 57.1%, surrendering 159 yds on 16 out of 28 through the air.

In terms of how much they score, the Bulldogs currently sit 70th in college football with an average of 29.3 PPG. For the season to this point, the Bulldogs currently sit at 1,083 passing yards not to mention an average of 361.0 passing yards per outing, ranking them 7th in college football. The Mississippi State Bulldogs maintain an average of 406.3 yards/game, ranking them 72nd in college football. The Mississippi State offense has racked up 219 yds of penalties on 30 infractions, which has them ranked 8th in the country in terms of hurting your team.

The Bulldogs are allowing 25.0 points per contest, which has them sitting 87th in the country. Mississippi State has allowed the opposition a total of 222 yards rushing (74.0 yards per game) and 1 touchdown via the rush on the season. Overall, they have conceded 75 points in total. They have conceded 5 touchdowns through the air and 243.3 yards/game, which has them sitting 106th in the country. The Bulldogs defense has been on the field for 191 plays, ranking them 54th in college football.

Who will win tonight's Tigers/Bulldogs college football game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Bulldogs +3.5

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