Liberty Flames vs UL Monroe Warhawks Prediction, 10/16/2021 College Football Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Liberty Flames vs UL Monroe Warhawks

Date: Saturday, October 16, 2021

Location: Malone Stadium in Monroe, LA

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Warhawks (+32.5)

Total/Over-Under: 56.5

The Liberty Flames (5-1) are en route to Malone Stadium on Saturday where they will meet the UL Monroe Warhawks (2-3). UL Monroe opens this contest as 32.5-point dogs from oddsmakers. The total comes in at 56.5.

The Liberty Flames head into this matchup 5-1 this season. In their last matchup, the Flames faced off with the MTSU Blue Raiders and notched a win by a score of 41-13. Malik Willis was the rushing leader for the Flames with 16 attempts for 80 yards (5.0 yards per carry). Malik Willis connected on 17/30 with 222 yds through the air and 2 TDs. He had a quarterback rating of 120.8 and walked away from the contest with 3 picks. On the ground, the Flames gave up 35 yds on 21 tries, which calculates to 1.7 yards per run allowed. Liberty surrendered 22 pass completions on 42 tries for a total of 230 yds, and a completion rate of 52.4%. Once the final whistle blew, they tallied 72 plays which converted into 449 yds. The Liberty Flames ran the rock 42 times and tallied 227 yds, earning them an average of 5.4 yards per carry.

When it comes to scoring, the Liberty Flames hold an average of 35.3 points per outing. Offensively they have an average of 196.0 yards on the ground which has them sitting 37th in D-1. The Flames have racked up 2,663 yards in total for the season. When it comes to notching touchdowns, Liberty has amassed 15 touchdowns via the pass and 13 touchdowns via the ground. Liberty has accrued 137 1st downs offensively, and they have been called for 45 infractions for 409 yards. They have surrendered the football 6 times.

The Flames are ranked 18th in Division 1 regarding team defense, conceding 14.3 points per game. The opposition is running for an average of 3.1 yards per tote and 101.7 rushing yards per game so far this year. During the season, they have given up 610 rushing yards through 6 contests. Regarding yards through the air, the Flames have allowed 987 yds which ranks them 28th in college football. They have relinquished 164.5 yards per game via the pass in addition to giving up a completion percentage of 52.9%. In total, they have allowed 266.2 yards per contest which puts them 17th in the country. They have allowed 5 touchdowns via the pass in addition to 6 touchdowns on the ground.

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The Warhawks come into this matchup with a record of 2-3 for this season. When they last stepped on the gridiron, the Warhawks took a loss by a score of 55-21 when they faced the Georgia State Panthers. Chandler Rogers (2 touchdowns) ended the game with 208 yds on 15/23 through the air while his quarterback rate was 169.9. He didn't toss any interceptions and his Y/A was 9.0. Chandler Rogers ran the ball 14 times for 72 yds, ending the game with 5.1 yards per attempt for UL Monroe. UL Monroe ended up running for 3.3 yards per tote, finishing with a total of 122 yards on 37 carries. The Warhawks finished with 359 yards on 69 plays (5.2 yards per play). The Warhawks pass defense allowed a completion percentage of 69.0%, surrendering 246 yds on 20 for 29 through the air. UL Monroe relinquished 58 rushing attempts for 326 yds (5.6 yards per carry).

The UL Monroe Warhawks are averaging 238.0 yards per game, which ranks them 130th in the nation. The UL Monroe offense has 217 yards of penalties on 25 violations, which is 117th in the country in terms of giving up free yards. For the year so far, the Warhawks currently have a total of 762 yards via the pass as well as an average of 152.4 passing yards per contest, putting them at 123rd in D-1. In relation to their ability to score points, the Warhawks are ranked 127th in D-1 with an average of 15.6 points per outing.

The Warhawks are relinquishing 36.4 points per contest, which has them 130th in Division 1. UL Monroe has allowed a total of 839 yards on the ground (167.8 yards per outing) and 9 touchdowns via the rush so far this year. This season, they have given up 182 total points. They have conceded 15 touchdowns through the air as well as 303.4 yards/outing, which has them sitting 137th in the nation. The Warhawks defense has participated in 350 plays, which ranks them 44th in the nation.

Who will win tonight's Flames/Warhawks college football game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Flames -32.5

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