Liberty Flames vs Troy Trojans Prediction, 9/11/2021 College Football Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Liberty Flames vs Troy Trojans

Date: Saturday, September 11, 2021

Location: Veterans Memorial Stadium in Troy, AL

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Trojans (+4.5)

Total/Over-Under: 60.5

The Troy Trojans (1-0) welcome the Liberty Flames (1-0) at Veterans Memorial Stadium on Saturday. Liberty opens as 4.5-point favorites. The total is 60.5.

The Liberty Flames step onto the field holding a record of 1-0 for this year. In their last contest, the Flames played the Campbell Fighting Camels and went home with a win by a final score of 48-7. Malik Willis went 15/23 with 217 yds through the air and 1 touchdown. He had a QB rating of 158.8 and finished the contest with no picks. Joshua Mack was the leader on the ground for the Flames with 19 totes for 60 yds (3.2 yds per carry). At the end of the game, they ran 70 plays for 537 yards. The Liberty Flames ended up running the ball 41 times and recorded 218 yds, which had them averaging 5.3 yards per tote. Against the run, the Flames gave up 86 yards on 29 tries, which is an average of 3.0 yds per rush surrendered. Liberty allowed 15 pass completions on 32 attempts for 183 yds, and a completion percentage of 46.9%.

The Flames have earned 537 total yards for this campaign. In terms of scoring, Liberty has compiled 2 touchdowns via the pass and 4 touchdowns via the ground. Liberty has amassed 27 first downs as a unit, and they have been called for 12 infractions for 98 yards. As a unit they're holding an average of 218.0 yards on the ground which is 40th in the nation. In terms of putting the ball in the endzone, the Liberty Flames have an average of 48.0 points per contest.

In terms of passing yardage, the Flames have conceded 183 yards which has them ranked 57th in D-1. They have allowed 183.0 yards per outing through the air and allowed a completion percentage of 46.9%. In total, they are allowing 269.0 yards/contest ranking them 42nd in D-1. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 3.0 yards per rush on the ground and 86.0 yards on the ground per game so far this year. During this campaign, they have allowed 86 yards via the ground game in 1 game. The Flames are ranked 26th in D-1 regarding their opponents scoring, allowing 7.0 points per game.

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The Trojans head into this matchup 1-0 this season. When they last stepped on the gridiron, the Trojans got the win with a final of 55-3 when they faced the Southern Jaguars. Taylor Powell (2 TDs) finished the game with 231 yds on 17/27 through the air while his quarterback rate was 151.9. He tossed 1 pick and his average yards per attempt was 8.6. Kimani Vidal ran the football 15 times for 81 yds, finishing the game with 5.4 yds per carry for Troy. The Trojans finished the contest with a total of 464 yds while running 71 plays (6.5 yards per play). Troy ran the football for 4.2 yds per attempt, finishing with a total of 164 yards on 39 attempts. Troy relinquished 28 attempts on the ground for 81 yds (2.9 yds per carry). The Trojans secondary allowed a completion rate of 57.1%, surrendering 108 yards on 12 for 21 passing.

The Troy Trojans maintain an average of 464.0 yards per contest, which is good for 36th in college football. The Troy offense has accrued 25 penalty yards on 3 violations, which has them ranked 108th in Division 1 in terms of making mistakes. For the season so far, the Trojans have racked up 300 yards via the pass, which has them ranked 29th in D-1. Regarding the points being put on the board, the Trojans sit 6th in the nation with an average of 55.0 points per game.

The Trojans are allowing 3.0 PPG, which has them sitting 20th in Division 1. Troy has surrendered a total of 81 yards rushing. They have yielded 0 TDs from the passing game and 108.0 yards/outing, which puts them in 26th in Division 1. The Trojans defense has participated in 49 plays, which is 18th in D-1.

Who will win tonight's Flames/Trojans college football game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Flames -4.5

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