Liberty Flames vs Ole Miss Rebels Prediction, 11/6/2021 College Football Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Liberty Flames vs Ole Miss Rebels

Date: Saturday, November 6, 2021

Location: Vaught-Hemingway Stadium in Oxford, MS

TV: SECN

Odds/Point Spread: Rebels (-14.5)

Total/Over-Under: 66

The Liberty Flames (7-2) are on their way to Vaught-Hemingway Stadium on Saturday where they will attempt to defeat the Ole Miss Rebels (6-2). Ole Miss opens this contest as 14.5-point favorites. The over/under is set at 66.

The Liberty Flames come into this matchup with a record of 7-2 for this year. The last time they took the field, the Flames stepped onto the field against the UMass Minutemen and notched a win by a score of 62-17. Malik Willis went 19/27 with 307 yds through the air and 4 touchdowns. He had a QB rating of 214.8 and ended the contest without throwing a pick. Malik Willis was the rushing leader for the Flames with 8 attempts for 37 yards (4.6 yds per carry). In all, they had 63 plays which gave them 604 yards. The Liberty Flames ran the football 30 times and compiled 195 yds, which came out to an average of 6.5 yards per attempt. Against the run, the Flames conceded 210 yds on 46 attempts, which averages out to 4.6 yards per run allowed. Liberty allowed 9 pass completions on 27 attempts for 74 yds, and a completion percentage of 33.3%.

In terms of putting points on the board, the Liberty Flames are sitting at 37.4 points per game. Offensively they have an average of 185.2 yards on the ground which is 43rd in the nation. The Flames have racked up 4,003 yards in total for the year. When it comes to notching touchdowns, Liberty has totaled 26 touchdowns via the pass and 19 rushing touchdowns. Liberty has compiled 206 1st downs as a unit, and they have committed 66 penalties for 626 yds. They have turned the football over 10 times.

In terms of passing yards, the Flames have given up 1,498 yards which ranks them 28th in D-1. They are allowing 166.4 yards per outing via the pass in addition to conceding a completion percentage of 53.2%. During the season, they have yielded 300.0 yards per outing putting them 22nd in D-1. They have conceded 9 touchdowns via the pass in addition to 11 touchdowns via the ground game. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 3.4 yards per run and 133.6 rushing yards per contest for the campaign. For the year, they have conceded 1,202 yards via the running game in 9 games. The Flames rank 25th in the nation in terms of team defense, allowing 17.8 points per contest.

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The Rebels head into this matchup 6-2 this season. In their last game, the Rebels took a loss by a score of 31-20 against the Auburn Tigers. Matt Corral ended the game with 289 yds on 21/37 passing while his quarterback rating was 117.0. He tossed 1 interception and his average yards per attempt was 7.8. Henry Parrish Jr. carried the ball 12 times for 57 yds, ending the game with 4.8 yards per carry for Ole Miss. The Rebels finished the contest with 463 yds while they ran 81 plays (5.7 yds per play). Ole Miss ran for 4.0 yards per carry, finishing with a total of 156 yds on 39 carries. Ole Miss relinquished 46 rush attempts for 207 yards (4.5 yards per carry). The Rebels secondary gave up a completion rate of 71.0%, relinquishing 276 yds on 22 for 31 through the air.

The Ole Miss Rebels average 531.4 yards/contest, which ranks them 4th in the nation. The Ole Miss offense has accrued 693 yards of penalties on 80 infractions, which is 1st in Division 1 in terms of making mistakes. For the year to this point, the Rebels have earned 2,252 passing yards as well as holding an average of 281.5 passing yards per contest, which has them sitting 23rd in Division 1. Regarding the points being put on the board, the Rebels are sitting 12th in college football holding an average of 39.1 PPG.

The Rebels are surrendering 28.6 PPG, which has them ranked 96th in Division 1. Ole Miss has given up a total of 1,474 rushing yards (184.3 yards per contest) in addition to 18 touchdowns via the rush for the year. Overall, they have allowed 229 points in total. They have surrendered 12 touchdowns through the air and 245.4 yards/outing, which has them sitting 103rd in the nation. The Rebels defense has been on the field for 609 plays, which ranks them 124th in the nation.

Who will win tonight's Flames/Rebels college football game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Flames +14.5

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