Liberty Flames vs North Texas Mean Green Prediction, 10/23/2021 College Football Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Liberty Flames vs North Texas Mean Green

Date: Saturday, October 23, 2021

Location: Apogee Stadium in Denton, TX

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Mean Green (+21.5)

Total/Over-Under: 60.5

Apogee Stadium is where the North Texas Mean Green (1-5) will take on the Liberty Flames (5-2) on Saturday. Liberty opens this game as 21.5-point favorites from oddsmakers. The betting total is set at 60.5.

The Liberty Flames come into this game with a record of 5-2 this season. In their last contest, the Flames played the UL Monroe Warhawks and took a loss by a score of 31-28. Malik Willis finished 16/28 with 135 yds through the air and 1 touchdown. He had a QB rate of 88.0 and ended the contest with 3 picks. Malik Willis led the offense in rushing for the Flames with 23 totes for 157 yds (6.8 yds per attempt). The Liberty Flames ran the rock 49 times and accounted for 251 yds, which came out to an average of 5.1 yds per carry. Overall, they had 77 plays which gave them a total of 386 yds. Liberty allowed 16 completions on 25 attempts for 225 yards, and a completion percentage of 64.0%. In the running game, the Flames conceded 140 yards on 47 attempts, which averages out to 3.0 yds per run surrendered.

The Flames have earned 3,049 total yards for the season. When it comes to distribution of touchdowns, Liberty has totaled 16 passing touchdowns and 16 touchdowns on the ground. They have surrendered the football 9 times. Liberty has recorded 159 first downs, and they have been hurt by 51 infractions for 489 yds. As a team they're holding an average of 203.9 yards via the ground game which is 30th in D-1. In terms of getting in the endzone, the Liberty Flames are averaging 34.3 points per contest.

The Flames are ranked 27th in the country when it comes to the opposition scoring, allowing 16.7 PPG. Opposing teams are running for an average of 3.1 yards per rushing attempt and 107.1 rushing yards per game for the season. During the season, they have allowed 750 rushing yards through 7 contests. Regarding yards via the pass, the Flames have conceded 1,212 yards which has them sitting in 36th in the country. They have conceded 173.1 yards per outing via the pass as well as conceding a completion percentage of 54.4%. For the year, they are granting 280.3 yards/contest putting them at 17th in Division 1. They have allowed 7 touchdowns via the pass as well as 8 touchdowns via the ground game.

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The Mean Green come into this game with a record of 1-5 for this season. When they last played, the Mean Green went home defeated by a final of 49-21 when they played the Marshall Thundering Herd. Austin Aune ended the contest with 121 yds on 16/31 through the air while his quarterback rating was 71.5. He had 2 picks and his Y/A was 3.9. Deandre Torrey carried the ball 20 times for 179 yds, walking away from the contest with 9.0 yds per attempt for North Texas. North Texas ended up running for 6.0 yds per attempt, finishing with a total of 277 yds on 46 carries. The Mean Green finished the game with 411 yards while they ran 78 plays (5.3 yards per play). The Mean Green pass defense gave up a completion rate of 75.0%, relinquishing 323 yards on 24 for 32 through the air. North Texas relinquished 40 running attempts for 154 yards (3.9 yds per carry).

When it comes to how much they score, the Mean Green are 106th in Division 1 holding an average of 22.5 points per game. Over the course of the season to this point, the Mean Green have thrown for a total of 1,196 yards through the air in addition to an average of 199.3 passing yards per contest, ranking them 97th in college football. The North Texas Mean Green are averaging 415.0 yards per contest, ranking them 56th in Division 1. The North Texas offense has accrued 477 yds of penalties on 55 violations, which has them sitting 13th in college football in terms of giving up free yards.

The Mean Green are conceding 35.0 points per game, ranking them 129th in college football. North Texas has conceded a total of 1,206 yards on the ground (201.0 yards/game) as well as 14 touchdowns via the rush so far this season. This year, they have relinquished 210 pts. They have allowed 13 touchdowns through the air and 232.0 yards per outing, which has them ranked 89th in the nation. The Mean Green defense has been on the field for 415 plays, which is 54th in college football.

Who will win tonight's Flames/Mean Green college football game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Mean Green +21.5

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