Iowa State Cyclones vs Baylor Bears Prediction, 9/25/2021 College Football Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Iowa State Cyclones vs Baylor Bears

Date: Saturday, September 25, 2021

Location: McLane Stadium in Waco, TX

TV: FOX

Odds/Point Spread: Bears (+5.5)

Total/Over-Under: 49

The Iowa State Cyclones (2-1) are on their way to McLane Stadium on Saturday where they will try to beat the Baylor Bears (3-0). Iowa State opens this game as 5.5-point favorites. The total has been set at 49.

The Iowa State Cyclones head into this matchup 2-1 for this season. The last time they took the field, the Cyclones played the UNLV Runnin' Rebels and took home the win by a score of 48-3. Breece Hall led the offense in rushing for the Cyclones with 21 carries for 100 yards (4.8 yards per carry). Brock Purdy went 21/24 with 288 yds passing and 3 TDs. He had a quarterback rating of 229.6 and ended the game without throwing an interception. When it came to stopping the run, the Cyclones conceded 40 yards on 31 attempts, which is 1.3 yards per run surrendered. Iowa State conceded 10 completions on 19 tries for 94 yds, and a completion percentage of 52.6%. Overall, they ran 67 plays for 493 yds. The Iowa State Cyclones ran the football 37 times and had 184 yds, which earned them an average of 5.0 yds per attempt.

Regarding getting in the endzone, the Iowa State Cyclones are sitting at 27.0 points per contest. As a unit they have an average of 135.7 yards rushing ranking this team at 92nd in Division 1. The Cyclones have earned 1,167 total yards this year. With reference to scoring touchdowns, Iowa State has earned 4 touchdowns through the air and 5 touchdowns via the ground. Iowa State has accounted for 65 first downs as a unit, and they have been called for 15 infractions for 108 yds. They have turned the ball over 5 different times.

When talking about passing yardage, the Cyclones have conceded 430 yards which ranks them 28th in D-1. They have conceded 143.3 yards per game via the pass as well as conceding a completion percentage of 56.7%. Overall, they have surrendered 194.0 yards per game which puts them 13th in the nation. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 1.6 yards per tote and 50.7 rushing yards per contest for the year. Over the course of this season, they have allowed 152 running yards through 3 outings. The Cyclones sit in 26th in college football concerning team defense, conceding 13.3 PPG.

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The Bears head into this matchup 3-0 for this year. The last time they took the field, the Bears went home victorious with a score of 45-7 against the Kansas Jayhawks. Abram Smith ran the ball 16 times for 122 yds, walking away from the contest with 7.6 yds per attempt for Baylor. Gerry Bohanon (2 touchdowns) walked away from the contest with 269 yds on 19/23 passing while his quarterback rating was 209.5. He kept the ball away from the defense with no interceptions and his Y/A was 11.7. Baylor gave up 32 running attempts for 132 yds (4.1 yards per rush). The Bears pass defense allowed a completion percentage of 44.4%, relinquishing 57 yds on 8 for 18 through the air. The Bears finished the game with a total of 576 yds on 69 plays (8.3 yds per play). Baylor rushed the football for 6.8 yards per carry, finishing with 307 yards on 45 carries.

When looking at their scoring prowess, the Bears currently rank 5th in the nation with 46.7 points per game. During this campaign thus far, the Bears have compiled 712 yards via the pass as well as holding an average of 237.3 throwing yards per outing, which ranks 64th in D-1. The Baylor Bears maintain an average of 560.7 yards/game, which has them sitting 4th in D-1. The Baylor offense has accrued 176 yards of penalties on 19 violations, which is good for 54th in college football in terms of helping out the opposition.

The Bears are relinquishing 11.3 points per game, which has them 20th in college football. Baylor has surrendered a total of 374 rushing yards (124.7 yards/game) and 2 touchdowns by way of the ground game for the campaign. In total, they have allowed 34 total points. They have allowed 2 touchdowns through the air and 111.0 yards per game, which has them ranked 14th in the nation. The Bears defense has been on the field for 178 plays, which is good for 32nd in Division 1.

Who will win tonight's Cyclones/Bears college football game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Cyclones -5.5

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