Illinois Fighting Illini vs Purdue Boilermakers Prediction, 9/25/2021 College Football Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Illinois Fighting Illini vs Purdue Boilermakers

Date: Saturday, September 25, 2021

Location: Ross-Ade Stadium in West Lafayette, IN

TV: BTN

Odds/Point Spread: Boilermakers (-10)

Total/Over-Under: 55.5

The Purdue Boilermakers (2-1) will try to beat the Illinois Fighting Illini (1-3) at Ross-Ade Stadium on Saturday. Purdue opens this matchup as 10-point favorites. The total is set at 55.5.

The Illinois Fighting Illini head into this matchup 1-3 for this season. In their last matchup, the Fighting Illini played the Maryland Terrapins and went home with a loss by a final score of 20-17. Brandon Peters connected on 10/26 with 185 yds through the air. He had a QB rating of 90.5 and finished the contest with 1 interception. Chase Brown was the best rusher for the Fighting Illini with 14 carries for 57 yards (4.1 yds per attempt). The Illinois Fighting Illini ended up running the ball 45 different times and compiled 150 yds, which had them averaging 3.3 yds per carry. When all was said and done, they had 71 plays which totaled 335 yards. Illinois allowed 32 pass completions on 43 tries for a total of 350 yds, and a completion percentage of 74.4%. In the running game, the Fighting Illini conceded 131 yds on 27 attempts, which calculates to 4.9 yds per rush allowed.

The Fighting Illini have tallied 1,410 total yards for the season. When it comes to scoring touchdowns, Illinois has amassed 6 touchdowns via the pass and 4 rushing touchdowns. They have surrendered the ball 5 different times. Illinois has accounted for 81 first downs, and they have been called for 24 penalties for 235 yds. As a unit they hold an average of 144.8 yards in the run game which is 81st in Division 1. Regarding putting points on the board, the Illinois Fighting Illini have an average of 22.8 points per outing.

The Fighting Illini are ranked 116th in the country when it comes to team defense, conceding 30.3 PPG. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 4.3 yards per run and 160.3 yards on the ground per game so far this year. During this campaign, they have allowed 641 running yards through 4 games. Regarding yards via the pass, the Fighting Illini have conceded 1,285 yards which puts them in 142nd in the nation. They have surrendered 321.3 yards per game via the pass and conceding a completion percentage of 65.2%. Over the course of this year, they have relinquished 481.5 yards per outing which puts them 134th in college football.

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The Boilermakers head into this matchup 2-1 this year. The last time they took the field, the Boilermakers went home defeated by a final of 27-13 when they faced the Notre Dame Fighting Irish. Jack Plummer (1 touchdown) ended the game with 187 yards on 25/36 passing while his quarterback rating was 122.2. He didn't toss any interceptions and his average yards per attempt was 5.2. King Doerue carried the football 10 times for 45 yards, ending the contest with 4.5 yds per attempt for Purdue. The Boilermakers finished with a total of 348 yds and they ran 79 plays (4.4 yards per play). Purdue ran the ball for 2.3 yards per tote, finishing the game with 57 yards on 25 carries. Purdue relinquished 34 attempts on the ground for 120 yards (3.5 yards per carry). The Boilermakers pass defense allowed a completion percentage of 46.9%, surrendering 223 yards on 15 for 32 through the air.

The Purdue Boilermakers hold an average of 437.0 yards per outing, which is good for 40th in the country. The Purdue offense has accrued 150 yds of penalties on 17 infractions, ranking them 80th in the nation in terms of giving up free yards. During this campaign thus far, the Boilermakers have earned 979 yards through the air along with an average of 326.3 throwing yards per game, giving them a rank of 14th in the nation. When it comes to this team's ability to score points, the Boilermakers are ranking 63rd in the country holding an average of 30.7 points per game.

Purdue has allowed a total of 322 rushing yards (107.3 yards/game) in addition to 4 touchdowns by way of the ground game this season. They have surrendered 2 touchdowns via the pass in addition to 202.3 yards per outing, which puts them in 68th in college football. The Boilermakers defense has participated in 188 plays, which ranks 47th in the country. The Boilermakers are surrendering 16.0 points per game, which puts them 40th in college football. Over the course of the season, they have relinquished 48 pts.

Who will win tonight's Fighting Illini/Boilermakers college football game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Fighting Illini +10

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