Florida Gators vs Kentucky Wildcats Prediction, 10/2/2021 College Football Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Florida Gators vs Kentucky Wildcats

Date: Saturday, October 2, 2021

Location: Kroger Field in Lexington, KY

TV: ESPN

Odds/Point Spread: Wildcats (+7.5)

Total/Over-Under: 54.5

The Kentucky Wildcats (4-0) will play the Florida Gators (3-1) at Kroger Field on Saturday. Kentucky opens this game as 7.5-point dogs from oddsmakers. The over/under is 54.5.

The Florida Gators come into this matchup with a record of 3-1 for this season. The last time they took the field, the Gators took the field against the Tennessee Volunteers and went home with a win by a final score of 38-14. Emory Jones finished 21/27 with 209 yards passing and 3 touchdowns. He had a QB rate of 179.5 and finished the game with no picks. Emory Jones was the best rusher for the Gators with 15 carries for 144 yards (9.6 yards per carry). The Florida Gators ran the ball a total of 40 times and tallied 283 yds, which came out to an average of 7.1 yards per carry. On the day, they had 68 plays which gave them a total of 505 yds. Florida surrendered 15 completions on 31 attempts for a total of 275 yards, and a completion percentage of 48.4%. Against the run, the Gators gave up 148 yards on 37 tries, which is an average of 4.0 yards per rush allowed.

Regarding putting points on the board, the Florida Gators are sitting at 36.0 PPG. As a unit they're averaging 323.0 yards in the run game which has them sitting 3rd in the country. The Gators have earned 2,164 total yards this year. In terms of getting the ball in the endzone, Florida has totaled 7 passing touchdowns and 13 rushing touchdowns. Florida has accrued 102 first downs offensively, and they have committed 26 infractions for 248 yards. They have turned the ball over 6 different times.

The Gators rank 56th in D-1 regarding the opposition scoring, conceding 19.8 PPG. They are allowing an average of 3.1 yards per tote and 110.0 rushing yards per contest this season. For the season, they have given up 440 rushing yards through 4 games. When talking about yards via the pass, the Gators have given up 964 yards which ranks them 101st in D-1. They are allowing 241.0 yards per game through the air and conceding a completion percentage of 56.7%. For the season, they have yielded 351.0 yards per contest ranking them 74th in the country. They have allowed 6 touchdowns via the pass as well as 4 touchdowns on the ground.

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The Wildcats come into this game with a record of 4-0 this season. When they last played, the Wildcats got the victory with a final of 16-10 when they faced the South Carolina Gamecocks. Christopher Rodriguez Jr. carried the ball 26 times for 144 yds, ending the game with 5.5 yards per attempt for Kentucky. Will Levis walked away from the contest with 102 yds on 15/22 passing while his QB rate was 98.0. He tossed 1 pick and his average yards per attempt was 4.6. Kentucky conceded 26 attempts on the ground for 58 yds (2.2 yards per rush). The Wildcats secondary conceded a completion percentage of 68.0%, relinquishing 158 yds on 17 for 25 through the air. The Wildcats finished with a total of 332 yards while running 66 plays (5.0 yards per play). Kentucky ran the football for 5.2 yds per carry, finishing the game with 230 yards on 44 attempts.

Regarding how much they score, the Wildcats currently sit 59th in the nation by tallying 31.0 points per outing. For the year thus far, the Wildcats have thrown for 954 yards through the air as well as an average of 238.5 passing yards per contest, ranking them 60th in the nation. The Kentucky Wildcats hold an average of 443.0 yards per contest, which is good for 39th in college football. The Kentucky offense has 189 penalty yds on 22 infractions, ranking them 86th in Division 1 in terms of making mistakes.

The Wildcats are surrendering 17.8 PPG, which puts them 41st in college football. Kentucky has conceded a total of 351 yards rushing (87.8 yards per game) and 2 touchdowns via the rush so far this season. Overall, they have conceded 71 pts. They have allowed the opposition 6 touchdowns through the air and 172.5 yards/game, which has them ranked 39th in the nation. The Wildcats defense has taken the field for 252 plays, which ranks 48th in the nation.

Who will win tonight's Gators/Wildcats college football game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Wildcats +7.5

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