Florida Atlantic Owls vs Western Kentucky Hilltoppers Prediction, 11/20/2021 College Football Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Florida Atlantic Owls vs Western Kentucky Hilltoppers

Date: Saturday, November 20, 2021

Location: L.T. Smith Stadium in Bowling Green, KY

TV: Stadium

Odds/Point Spread: Hilltoppers (-10.5)

Total/Over-Under: 64.5

The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (6-4) will take on the Florida Atlantic Owls (5-5) at L.T. Smith Stadium on Saturday. Western Kentucky opens this contest as 10.5-point favorites from oddsmakers. The over/under is set at 64.5.

The Florida Atlantic Owls come into this matchup with a record of 5-5 this year. In their last contest, the Owls went up against the Old Dominion Monarchs and walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 28-16. Johnny Ford was the rushing leader for the Owls with 19 attempts for 101 yds (5.3 yards per attempt). N'Kosi Perry went 12/21 with 187 yards passing and 1 touchdown. He had a QB rating of 147.7 and finished the game without throwing a pick. When it came to stopping the run, the Owls conceded 96 yds on 25 attempts, which is an average of 3.8 yds per run surrendered. Florida Atlantic conceded 26 completions on 38 attempts for a total of 351 yds, and a completion rate of 68.4%. On the day, they ran 55 plays for 308 yds. The Florida Atlantic Owls ran the ball a total of 34 different times and amassed 121 yards, which had them averaging 3.6 yds per attempt.

In terms of scoring points, the Florida Atlantic Owls have an average of 27.1 points per contest. Offensively they hold an average of 173.3 yards on the ground which is 58th in Division 1. The Owls have tallied 4,111 total yards this season. In terms of distribution of touchdowns, Florida Atlantic has totaled 17 touchdowns through the air and 18 touchdowns on the ground. Florida Atlantic has earned 204 first downs as a unit, and they have been hurt by 67 penalties for 559 yards. They have surrendered the football 14 different times.

The Owls sit in 60th in Division 1 when it comes to team defense, giving up 23.0 points per game. They are giving up 4.5 yards per attempt on the ground and 165.8 yards on the ground per game for the season. In total, they have given up 1,658 yards via the ground game in 10 outings. Concerning passing yards, the Owls have given up 2,287 yards which has them ranked 75th in the country. They have conceded 228.7 yards per outing through the air and allowed a completion percentage of 55.2%. During the season, they have given up 394.5 yards per outing which has them ranked 92nd in the nation. They have conceded 12 touchdowns via the pass in addition to 15 touchdowns running the ball.

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The Hilltoppers come into this matchup with a record of 6-4 for this year. For their last game, the Hilltoppers got the victory with a final of 42-21 against the Rice Owls. Bailey Zappe (5 touchdowns) finished the game with 482 yards on 34/42 passing while his quarterback rate was 211.9. He tossed 1 interception and his Y/A was 11.5. Kye Robichaux carried the ball 12 times for 61 yds, ending the game with 5.1 yards per carry for Western Kentucky. The Hilltoppers finished with 587 yards while they ran 72 plays (8.2 yds per play). Western Kentucky ran for 3.7 yards per attempt, finishing with a total of 92 yds on 25 attempts. Western Kentucky relinquished 35 attempts on the ground for 123 yds (3.5 yds per rush). The Hilltoppers pass defense gave up a completion rate of 58.7%, surrendering 226 yds on 27 out of 46 through the air.

Regarding their ability to score points, the Hilltoppers are 7th in D-1 with an average of 41.4 points per game. Over the course of the season to this point, the Hilltoppers have thrown for a total of 4,237 yards through the air as well as an average of 423.7 throwing yards per outing, ranking them 1st in D-1. The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers have an average of 520.8 yards/game, which ranks them 4th in D-1. The Western Kentucky offense has totaled 542 yards of penalties on 69 infractions, which is 39th in D-1 in terms of making mistakes.

Western Kentucky has conceded a total of 1,653 yards rushing (165.3 yards/game) in addition to 21 touchdowns via the rush this year. They have surrendered 14 touchdowns via the pass in addition to 265.7 yards per outing, which has them in 122nd in the country. The Hilltoppers defense has been on the field for 773 plays, which is 135th in the country. The Hilltoppers are allowing 28.6 PPG, ranking them 94th in the country. In total, they have given up 286 points.

Who will win tonight's Owls/Hilltoppers college football game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Hilltoppers -10.5

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