East Carolina Pirates vs UCF Knights Prediction, 10/9/2021 College Football Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: East Carolina Pirates vs UCF Knights

Date: Saturday, October 9, 2021

Location: Bounce House in Orlando, FL

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Knights (-9.5)

Total/Over-Under: 68.5

Bounce House is the location where the UCF Knights (2-2) will compete against the East Carolina Pirates (3-2) on Saturday. East Carolina opens as 9.5-point dogs from oddsmakers. The total is set at 68.5.

The East Carolina Pirates head into this game 3-2 this season. In their last game, the Pirates stepped onto the field against the Tulane Green Wave and took home the win by a score of 52-29. Rahjai Harris was the leader on the ground for the Pirates with 20 carries for 70 yards (3.5 yards per carry). Holton Ahlers went 21/32 with 288 yds passing and 2 touchdowns. He had a QB rating of 161.9 and finished the contest without throwing a pick. On the ground, the Pirates gave up 124 yds on 31 attempts, which averages out to 4.0 yards per rush surrendered. East Carolina conceded 23 pass completions on 38 attempts for a total of 280 yards, and a completion percentage of 60.5%. On the day, they had 78 plays for 612 yds. The East Carolina Pirates ended up running the ball 44 times and accounted for 310 yards, which came out to an average of 7.0 yds per attempt.

When it comes to scoring, the East Carolina Pirates are averaging 32.2 points per contest. As a team they average 164.6 yards rushing which is 64th in Division 1. The Pirates have earned 2,205 yards in total for the year. In terms of getting in the endzone, East Carolina has compiled 10 passing touchdowns and 10 touchdowns via the ground. East Carolina has accumulated 98 first downs as an offense, and they have committed 29 infractions for 329 yds. They have given the ball to the opposition 7 times.

In terms of yards via the pass, the Pirates are allowing 1,591 yards which ranks them 136th in the country. They are allowing 318.2 yards per outing through the air in addition to allowing a completion percentage of 62.1%. During the season, they have surrendered 477.2 yards per outing putting them at 134th in college football. They have granted 7 touchdowns by air and 11 touchdowns running the ball. They are allowing an average of 4.4 yards per rush and 159.0 rushing yards per game for the year. In total, they have conceded 795 rushing yards through 5 outings. The Pirates are ranked 110th in Division 1 regarding their opponents scoring, allowing 29.6 points per game.

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The Knights come into this game with a record of 2-2 for this season. For their last game, the Knights walked away with a loss by a score of 34-30 against the Navy Midshipmen. Mikey Keene (2 TDs) ended the contest with 178 yards on 16/26 passing while his QB rate was 136.7. He had 1 pick and his average yards per attempt was 6.8. Johnny Richardson carried the football 11 times for 59 yards, finishing the contest with 5.4 yards per carry for UCF. UCF ran the football for 5.1 yards per carry, finishing with a total of 148 yards on 29 attempts. The Knights finished the contest with a total of 326 yards while running 56 plays (5.8 yards per play). The Knights secondary allowed a completion percentage of 50.0%, surrendering 58 yds on 2 out of 4 passing. UCF allowed 76 rush attempts for 348 yards (4.6 yds per rush).

The UCF Knights are averaging 497.5 yards per outing, which is good for 13th in Division 1. The UCF offense has totaled 176 penalty yards on 22 violations, which is 116th in Division 1 in terms of helping out the other team. During the season thus far, the Knights have thrown for a total of 1,085 yards through the air as well as holding an average of 271.3 throwing yards per outing, which has them sitting 36th in the country. In relation to how much they score, the Knights rank 9th in the nation scoring 41.0 points per outing.

UCF has given up a total of 583 yards rushing (145.8 yards/game) as well as 7 touchdowns via the rush this year. They have allowed 6 touchdowns from the passing game and 221.5 yards per game, which has them in 75th in D-1. The Knights defense has been on the field for 286 plays, which has them ranked 32nd in college football. The Knights are relinquishing 30.3 points per game, which has them ranked 112th in the country. In total, they have relinquished 121 total points.

Who will win tonight's Pirates/Knights college football game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Knights -9.5

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