East Carolina Pirates vs Navy Midshipmen Prediction, 11/20/2021 College Football Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: East Carolina Pirates vs Navy Midshipmen

Date: Saturday, November 20, 2021

Location: Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium in Annapolis, MD

TV: CBSSN

Odds/Point Spread: Midshipmen (+4)

Total/Over-Under: 45.5

Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium is the location where the Navy Midshipmen (2-7) will compete against the East Carolina Pirates (6-4) on Saturday. East Carolina opens this contest as 4-point favorites. The total comes in at 45.5.

The East Carolina Pirates head into this matchup 6-4 for this season. In their last game, the Pirates went up against the Memphis Tigers and walked away with a win by a score of 30-3. Holton Ahlers finished 29/46 with 317 yds through the air. He had a quarterback rating of 112.2 and ended the contest with 2 picks. Rahjai Harris led the offense in rushing for the Pirates with 20 carries for 69 yards (3.5 yards per carry). The East Carolina Pirates ran the rock 56 times and accrued 185 yards, which had them averaging 3.3 yds per attempt. In the game, they ran 102 plays which converted into 502 yds. East Carolina surrendered 13 pass completions on 33 attempts for a total of 57 yds, and a completion rate of 39.4%. When it came to stopping the run, the Pirates gave up 111 yards on 30 attempts, which is an average of 3.7 yards per run surrendered.

In terms of getting in the endzone, the East Carolina Pirates are averaging 30.5 points per outing. As a team they are averaging 172.8 yards on the ground which has them sitting 59th in Division 1. The Pirates have earned 4,347 yards in total for the season. With reference to scoring touchdowns, East Carolina has earned 17 passing touchdowns and 19 touchdowns via the ground. East Carolina has accrued 220 1st downs, and they have been flagged for 52 penalties for 491 yards. They have surrendered the football 20 different times.

The Pirates rank 72nd in college football regarding the opposition scoring, allowing 24.5 points per game. They are giving up 4.4 yards per rush and 146.5 rushing yards per contest for the year. Overall, they have conceded 1,465 yards via the ground game in 10 contests. In terms of passing yardage, the Pirates are giving up 2,436 yds which puts them in 99th in college football. They have conceded 243.6 yards per game via the pass as well as giving up a completion percentage of 58.8%. In total, they are allowing 390.1 yards/game which ranks them 86th in the nation. They have given up 13 touchdowns via the pass in addition to 16 touchdowns on the ground.

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The Midshipmen come into this matchup with a record of 2-7 for this season. The last time they took the field, the Midshipmen took a loss by a score of 34-6 when they faced the Notre Dame Fighting Irish. Xavier Arline ended the game with 18 yds on 1/2 passing while his QB rate was 125.6. He didn't toss any picks and his Y/A was 9.0. Isaac Ruoss ran the football 22 times for 73 yards, finishing the contest with 3.3 yds per carry for Navy. The Midshipmen finished the game with a total of 184 yds and they ran 58 plays (3.2 yards per play). Navy ran the ball for 3.0 yards per carry, finishing with 166 yds on 55 attempts. Navy conceded 31 rush attempts for 150 yards (4.8 yards per rush). The Midshipmen secondary conceded a completion rate of 80.0%, relinquishing 280 yards on 24 out of 30 passing.

In terms of the points being put on the board, the Midshipmen rank 125th in the country holding an average of 16.8 PPG. During this campaign so far, the Midshipmen have earned 490 passing yards as well as holding an average of 54.4 throwing yards per contest, which ranks 130th in D-1. The Navy Midshipmen maintain an average of 272.0 yards per contest, which has them sitting 127th in college football. The Navy offense has 336 penalty yards on 41 violations, which is good for 124th in college football in terms of helping out the other team.

The Midshipmen are allowing 30.4 PPG, which has them sitting 109th in D-1. Navy has surrendered a total of 1,206 rushing yards (134.0 yards per game) in addition to 21 touchdowns by way of the ground game for the campaign. Overall, they have relinquished 274 pts. They have yielded 12 touchdowns via the pass in addition to 223.0 yards/outing, which puts them in 64th in the nation. The Midshipmen defense has taken the field for 530 plays, which is good for 14th in Division 1.

Who will win tonight's Pirates/Midshipmen college football game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Midshipmen +4

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