Duke Blue Devils vs Virginia Cavaliers Prediction, 10/16/2021 College Football Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Duke Blue Devils vs Virginia Cavaliers

Date: Saturday, October 16, 2021

Location: Scott Stadium in Charlottesville, VA

TV: ESPN3

Odds/Point Spread: Cavaliers (-11)

Total/Over-Under: 68

The Duke Blue Devils (3-3) are traveling to Scott Stadium on Saturday where they will meet the Virginia Cavaliers (4-2). Duke opens this matchup as 11-point dogs. The total is set at 68.

The Duke Blue Devils head into this game 3-3 this year. In their last contest, the Blue Devils played the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets and walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 31-27. Mataeo Durant led the offense in rushing for the Blue Devils with 43 totes for 152 yds (3.5 yds per attempt). Gunnar Holmberg finished 22/29 with 292 yds passing and 2 touchdowns. He had a QB rating of 176.3 and walked away from the game with 1 interception. On the ground, the Blue Devils conceded 143 yards on 39 tries, which averages out to 3.7 yards per rush surrendered. Duke conceded 12 completions on 25 attempts for a total of 297 yards, and a completion percentage of 48.0%. When the final whistle blew, they ran 91 plays which totaled 489 yds. The Duke Blue Devils ran the ball 62 different times and accumulated 197 yds, which earned them an average of 3.2 yards per attempt.

In terms of putting points on the board, the Duke Blue Devils have an average of 31.5 points per game. As a unit they maintain an average of 221.8 yards via the ground game which has them sitting 20th in D-1. The Blue Devils currently have 2,996 yards in total this year. When it comes to distribution of touchdowns, Duke has totaled 6 touchdowns via the pass and 18 touchdowns via the ground. Duke has tallied 142 first downs as a team, and they have been hurt by 41 penalties for 383 yds. They have given the ball to the opposition 10 times.

The Blue Devils sit in 104th in the nation concerning team defense, conceding 28.8 points per contest. They are allowing 4.2 yards per rushing attempt and 167.3 rushing yards per game so far this season. In total, they have conceded 1,004 yards via the ground game in 6 games. In terms of yards through the air, the Blue Devils are conceding 1,581 yards which has them sitting in 123rd in D-1. They have yielded 263.5 yards per game through the air in addition to conceding a completion percentage of 55.4%. Over the course of this season, they are conceding 430.8 yards/game which puts them 113th in Division 1. They have yielded 13 touchdowns by air as well as 8 touchdowns via the ground game.

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The Cavaliers come into this game with a record of 4-2 for this season. In their last game, the Cavaliers got the victory with a final of 34-33 against the Louisville Cardinals. Wayne Taulapapa ran the football 10 times for 42 yards, ending the contest with 4.2 yards per carry for Virginia. Brennan Armstrong (3 touchdowns) ended the contest with 487 yards on 40/60 through the air while his QB rate was 144.7. He had 2 interceptions and his Y/A was 8.1. Virginia gave up 34 attempts on the ground for 233 yards (6.9 yards per rush). The Cavaliers pass defense conceded a completion rate of 60.7%, relinquishing 270 yards on 17 for 28 through the air. The Cavaliers finished the game with a total of 522 yds and they ran 86 plays (6.1 yds per play). Virginia ran the ball for 1.4 yards per carry, finishing the contest with 35 yds on 25 attempts.

The Virginia Cavaliers are averaging 525.3 yards per contest, which ranks them 6th in the nation. The Virginia offense has 397 yards of penalties on 44 infractions, which is 22nd in college football in terms of helping out the other team. Over the course of the season so far, the Cavaliers have thrown for a total of 2,477 passing yards as well as holding an average of 412.8 passing yards per game, putting them at 2nd in the country. Regarding their scoring prowess, the Cavaliers are sitting 36th in college football scoring 34.2 points per contest.

Virginia has given up a total of 1,207 yards rushing (201.2 yards/game) in addition to 10 touchdowns via the rush for the year. They have surrendered 11 touchdowns through the air and 226.7 yards per outing, ranking them 76th in the country. The Cavaliers defense has taken the field for 398 plays, ranking them 87th in the nation. The Cavaliers are surrendering 28.5 PPG, which has them 103rd in Division 1. Overall, they have surrendered 171 points.

Who will win tonight's Blue Devils/Cavaliers college football game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Blue Devils +11

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